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129 W Ellawood Ave W
B- Composite 68.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

129 W Ellawood Ave W · Cedartown, GA 30125
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,136 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 157 Days on market
Built 1932 5,662 sqft lot $92/sqft · 28% below area Est $145k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.

Key facts

  • Red shed
  • Ranch
  • Great location

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSRANCHGREAT LOCATIONRED SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.2% in Cedartown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#253 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Polk County (town): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #128 of 174 in GA (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.63%
Cash-on-cash
11.92%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,483
List price
$105,000
Delta
-27.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
234 Brooks St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (+1%) 5mo $87,000 $76 81
1327 Brooks St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,035 (-9%) 2mo $138,000 $133 70
204 Marietta St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,182 (+4%) 16mo $139,000 $118 64
153 Irwin St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+11%) 10mo $235,000 $187 63
149 Irwin St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+14%) 5mo $240,000 $185 60
793 Georgia Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,247 (+10%) 13mo $180,000 $144 53
158 Irwin St Lot 3 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,292 (+14%) 18mo $265,000 $205 52
158 Irwin Street Lot 3 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,292 (+14%) 18mo $265,000 $205 52
716 Jones St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+14%) 12mo $179,900 $138 42
405 Marietta St 0.41mi 3/2.0 994 (-12%) 18mo $178,000 $179 41
403 Park St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+15%) 10mo $40,000 $31 32
526 Olive St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+13%) 14mo $70,000 $54 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,559
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$25,220
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30125

Home prices YoY
-7.7%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,210 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $836/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $841
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
117 Cason Rd Cedartown, GA 3.0 2.0 1467 $1,500 $1.02 10d 1 0.56mi
336 Cason Rd Cedartown, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 22d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-03-19
    price $107,500 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.

  9. 2026-03-19
    price $107,500 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.

  10. 2026-01-27
    price $110,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.

  11. 2026-01-27
    price $110,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.

  12. 2025-12-22
    listed $115,000 Active 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.

  13. 2025-12-12
    listed $115,000 New 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.

  14. 2024-02-20
    soldstatus $100,000
  15. 2024-02-16
    soldstatus $100,000 Closed
  16. 2024-02-16
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold
  17. 2024-01-31
    status Under Contract
  18. 2024-01-31
    status Pending
  19. 2024-01-26
    status Back On Market
  20. 2024-01-26
    status Active
  21. 2024-01-23
    status Under Contract
  22. 2024-01-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2024-01-16
    listed $100,000 Active
  24. 2024-01-16
    listed $100,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$836 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$966 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$130/yr (+$11/mo · 15.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,521
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$836
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,162
− Management
−$1,162
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,901
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$456
After-tax cash flow
$3,047/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk County
NCES district ID
1304200
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,318
Composite
20.6/100
National rank
#8550
State rank
#128 of 174 in GA

Livability — Cedartown

Score
64/100
State rank
#253
US rank
#14084

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cedartown, GA
City population
24,071
Population (ZIP)
24,071

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,729 people
By 2030
40,103 · -1.5%
By 2040
38,594 · -5.2%
By 2050
36,753 · -9.8%
By 2075
31,687 · -22.2%
By 2100
25,448 · -37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.6% · R 80.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.1pp · 2024: -60.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.5 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+45.6 2008: R+41.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.75%
Current HPI
331.4271
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $107,500 FMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $107,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $110,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $115,000 FMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 FMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Pending FMLS
  • 2024-01-26 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2024-01-26 Relisted FMLS
  • 2024-01-23 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-01-23 Contingent FMLS
  • 2024-01-16 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-01-16 Listed $100,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $836 · +25.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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