129 W Ellawood Ave W · Cedartown, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.
Key facts
- Red shed
- Ranch
- Great location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.2% in Cedartown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#253 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Polk County (town): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #128 of 174 in GA (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.92%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,483
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -27.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 Brooks St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+1%) | 5mo | $87,000 | $76 | 81 |
| 1327 Brooks St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (-9%) | 2mo | $138,000 | $133 | 70 |
| 204 Marietta St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,182 (+4%) | 16mo | $139,000 | $118 | 64 |
| 153 Irwin St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+11%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $187 | 63 |
| 149 Irwin St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+14%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $185 | 60 |
| 793 Georgia Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (+10%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $144 | 53 |
| 158 Irwin St Lot 3 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+14%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $205 | 52 |
| 158 Irwin Street Lot 3 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+14%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $205 | 52 |
| 716 Jones St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+14%) | 12mo | $179,900 | $138 | 42 |
| 405 Marietta St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 994 (-12%) | 18mo | $178,000 | $179 | 41 |
| 403 Park St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+15%) | 10mo | $40,000 | $31 | 32 |
| 526 Olive St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+13%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $54 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,559
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $25,220
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30125
- Home prices YoY
- -7.7%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $836/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 Cason Rd Cedartown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 336 Cason Rd Cedartown, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 157 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-03-19price $107,500 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.
-
2026-03-19price $107,500 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.
-
2026-01-27price $110,000 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.
-
2026-01-27price $110,000 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.
-
2025-12-22$115,000 Active 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.
-
2025-12-12$115,000 New 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch in the heart of Cedartown. Real hardwood floors in the living and dining room. Perfect for a rental property or owner occupy. Great location to town. Red shed included.
-
2024-02-20soldstatus $100,000
-
2024-02-16soldstatus $100,000 Closed
-
2024-02-16soldstatus $100,000 Sold
-
2024-01-31status Under Contract
-
2024-01-31status Pending
-
2024-01-26status Back On Market
-
2024-01-26status Active
-
2024-01-23status Under Contract
-
2024-01-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-01-16$100,000 Active
-
2024-01-16$100,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$130/yr (+$11/mo · 15.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$836
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,901
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$456
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,047/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk County
- NCES district ID
- 1304200
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,318
- Composite
- 20.6/100
- National rank
- #8550
- State rank
- #128 of 174 in GA
Livability — Cedartown
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #14084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cedartown, GA
- City population
- 24,071
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,071
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,729 people
- By 2030
- 40,103 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 38,594 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 36,753 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 31,687 · -22.2%
- By 2100
- 25,448 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.6% · R 80.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.1pp · 2024: -60.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+45.6 2008: R+41.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.75%
- Current HPI
- 331.4271
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+7.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $107,500 FMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $107,500 GAMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $110,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $115,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2024-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 GAMLS
- 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 FMLS
- 2024-01-31 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-01-31 Pending — FMLS
- 2024-01-26 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2024-01-26 Relisted — FMLS
- 2024-01-23 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-01-23 Contingent — FMLS
- 2024-01-16 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
- 2024-01-16 Listed $100,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $836 · +25.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…