518 Wyss Ave · Alton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this spacious and comfortable casa with great location on a dead end street. Features large eat in kitchen, formal dining room, large bedrooms, enclosed front porch, two car insulated garage and fenced yard. Updates include: laminate floors, a 100 amp breaker box; the roof and windows are approximately 2 years old. Includes stove, fridge, washer and dryer. NOTES: Sqft & info from Tax Assessor’s records and/or appraisal –Buyer or Buyer’s Agent to verify
Key facts
- Newer ac unit
- Flexible layout
- Versatile bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller may consider concessions
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage (22 x 18)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Ameren electric; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; House structure; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Panel doors; Level lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 6.4% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#701 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities D-.
- Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: West Elementary School (math 7% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,621 of 2,056 statewide, top 79%, 400 students, 0% FRL); Alton Middle School (math 10% / reading 11%, grade F, #580 of 665 statewide, top 88%, 1,241 students, 0% FRL); Alton High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 1,990 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.38%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,167
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 33.53%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 Sheppard St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,172 (+13%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $26 | 68 |
| 241 Arbor Dr | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 996 (-4%) | 4mo | $92,000 | $92 | 66 |
| 2617 Plainview Ter | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,134 (+9%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $106 | 65 |
| 1215 Clawson St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,125 (+8%) | 4mo | $52,000 | $46 | 62 |
| 1205 Florence St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (-10%) | 1mo | $99,500 | $106 | 62 |
| 206 Longfellow Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+5%) | 4mo | $184,900 | $169 | 52 |
| 3505 Coronado Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 937 (-10%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $128 | 50 |
| 1053 Washington Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 918 (-12%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $109 | 49 |
| 809 Maurice St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 886 (-15%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $62 | 48 |
| 1207 Milton Rd | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 918 (-12%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 1429 S Rodgers Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 952 (-8%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $95 | 44 |
| 3305 Fernwood Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,196 (+15%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $91 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $5,658
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $44,585
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62002
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $963 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,645/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $242 | -5% $220 | +0% $199 | +5% $178 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $123 | -5% $161 | +0% $199 | +5% $237 | +10% $275 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $237 | -0.5pp $218 | base $199 | +0.5pp $180 | +1.0pp $160 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 Sheppard St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $875 | $0.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 306 Lampert St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 0d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2418 Sanford Ave Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $875 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3305 Franor St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $549 | $0.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3400 Milton Dr Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 5d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3303 Jackson St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 504 Cherry St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 140 Illinois St East Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $695 | $0.72 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-09$75,000 Active 990-char remark
-
2018-11-14soldstatus $52,000
-
2018-10-31soldstatus Closed 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious and comfortable casa with great location on a dead end street. Features large eat in kitchen, formal dining room, large bedrooms, enclosed front porch, two car insulated garage and fenced yard. Updates include: laminate floors, a 100 amp breaker box; the roof and windows are approximately 2 years old. Includes stove, fridge, washer and dryer. NOTES: Sqft & info from Tax Assessor’s records and/or appraisal –Buyer or Buyer’s Agent to verify
-
2018-10-19status Pending 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious and comfortable casa with great location on a dead end street. Features large eat in kitchen, formal dining room, large bedrooms, enclosed front porch, two car insulated garage and fenced yard. Updates include: laminate floors, a 100 amp breaker box; the roof and windows are approximately 2 years old. Includes stove, fridge, washer and dryer. NOTES: Sqft & info from Tax Assessor’s records and/or appraisal –Buyer or Buyer’s Agent to verify
-
2018-09-26$55,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious and comfortable casa with great location on a dead end street. Features large eat in kitchen, formal dining room, large bedrooms, enclosed front porch, two car insulated garage and fenced yard. Updates include: laminate floors, a 100 amp breaker box; the roof and windows are approximately 2 years old. Includes stove, fridge, washer and dryer. NOTES: Sqft & info from Tax Assessor’s records and/or appraisal –Buyer or Buyer’s Agent to verify
-
2016-07-26price $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,645 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,674 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$29/yr (+$2/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,645
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$924
- − Management
- −$924
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $1,304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$313
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,076/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alton CUSD 11
- NCES district ID
- 1703600
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,257
- Composite
- 11.34/100
- National rank
- #9710
- State rank
- #544 of 620 in IL
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #14289
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alton, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 29,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,543
- Household income
- $61,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.43%
- Current HPI
- 194.7313
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+29.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-31 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-19 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-26 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-26 Price Changed $58,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+16.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,645 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…