4315 S Cheatham #29 Rd #29 · Spokane, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bed, 2-bath doublewide situated on a spacious corner lot in the desirable Hideaway Park community. This home offers a thoughtful split-bedroom layout with a large primary suite featuring an ensuite bathroom and walk-in closet on one end, and two additional bedrooms plus a full bath on the other. At the heart of the home is a centrally located living room that opens to a bright kitchen and dining area. The kitchen comes equipped with a stainless-steel glass-top range and refrigerator. With plenty of outdoor space and a comfortable interior layout, this home is ready for its next owner.
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Split-bedroom layout
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $921 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.2% in Spokane — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#93 in WA, #1,822 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Cheney School District (town): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #140 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Windsor Elementary (592 students, 42% FRL); Cheney Open Doors (9 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.87%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,552
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4315 S Cheatham #29 Rd #29 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $83 | 99 |
| 4315 S Cheatham Rd #1 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 22mo | $69,500 | $60 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $37,812
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $96,474
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99224
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 381
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,036 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $785/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $921
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5708 S Spotted Rd Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $2,075 | $2.02 | 14d | 49 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-03-17$110,000 Active
-
2026-03-17historical
-
2026-03-02status Active
-
2026-02-23status Pending
-
2026-01-30$110,000 Active
-
2026-01-29historical
-
2025-12-18$110,000 Active
-
2025-12-05$110,000 Active
-
2025-01-30soldstatus $85,000 Closed
-
2025-01-12status Pending
-
2025-01-09historical Under Contract
-
2024-10-01price $94,999
-
2024-10-01price $105,999
-
2024-08-23status Active
-
2024-08-03status Pending
-
2024-07-08price $115,999
-
2024-05-23$129,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $785 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$293/yr (+$24/mo · 37.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$785
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,955
- − Management
- −$1,955
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $9,831
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,359
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath doublewide is ready for its next owner. It features a split-bedroom layout, modern appliances, and a spacious outdoor area. Minor exterior painting and interior updates would significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves aesthetics and value
- Both Replace shower curtain with modern fixtures — Modernizes bathroom and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both Replace shower curtain with modern fixtures — Modernizes bathroom and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheney School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301230
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,800
- Composite
- 45.66/100
- National rank
- #5637
- State rank
- #140 of 291 in WA
Livability — Spokane
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #1822
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Spokane County · 496,401 people
- City population
- 298,820
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,919
- Household income
- $80,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 886.0
Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 531,314 people
- By 2030
- 549,278 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 577,822 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 598,188 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 630,744 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 622,360 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spokane
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.96%
- Current HPI
- 317.2242
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.52%
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-15.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listed $110,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listed $110,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-29 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-18 Listed $110,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Listed $110,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-12 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-09 Contingent — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-01 Price Changed $94,999 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-01 Price Changed $105,999 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-23 Relisted — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-03 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-08 Price Changed $115,999 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-23 Listed $129,999 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $785 · +35.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…