2512 N US 150 St · St. Mary of the Woods, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,149
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
200 Amp Service
Key facts
- 200 amp service
- 0.77 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Vigo County School Corporation (urban): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Vigo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $437 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vigo County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 592 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 592 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.20%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,702
- List price
- $63,149
- Delta
- -66.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $6,861
- Equity at exit
- $9,416
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $28,032
- Equity at exit
- $5,460
Cash invested: $17,682 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47885
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $898 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$331
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,787
- Closing costs
- $1,894
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $63,149 Active 592 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $63,149 Active 591 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $63,149 Active 590 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $63,149 Active 589 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $63,149 Active 588 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $63,149 Active 586 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $63,149 Active 585 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $63,149 Active 583 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $63,149 Active 582 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $63,149 Active 581 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $63,149 Active 580 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $63,149 Active 577 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $63,149 Active 575 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $63,149 Active 574 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $63,149 Active 573 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $63,149 Active 572 DOM
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2026-04-13status Active 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
200 Amp Service
-
2025-12-22price $63,149 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
200 Amp Service
-
2025-09-05price $63,650 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
200 Amp Service
-
2024-11-05$67,000 Active 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
200 Amp Service
-
2024-10-03historical
-
2024-07-13$49,000 Active
-
2024-06-17$49,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,005 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,005 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,537
- − Property taxes
- −$1,005
- − Insurance
- −$316
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$862
- − Management
- −$862
- − Depreciation
- −$1,837
- Taxable income
- $2,356
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$565
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vigo County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1812090
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,100
- Composite
- 28.97/100
- National rank
- #6625
- State rank
- #202 of 301 in IN
Livability — St. Mary of the Woods
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 361
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,287
Population outlook (Vigo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,366 people
- By 2030
- 105,674 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 103,731 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 101,200 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 95,674 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 85,910 · -19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vigo
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.1) · D 40.0% · R 58.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.8pp · 2024: -18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.1 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+15.2 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.51%
- Current HPI
- 189.7491
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+28.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $63,149 IRMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $63,650 IRMLS
- 2024-11-05 Listed $67,000 IRMLS
- 2024-10-03 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-13 Listed $49,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-17 Listed $49,000 THAAR
Property tax history
+26.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,005 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…