808 Woodland Ct · Hemlock Farms, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.5/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$479,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Privacy you Can't Replace! This home backs to State game lands! Country contemporary Spacious split level layout with a screened porch and deck overlooking peaceful woods. Vaulted ceilings offer a dramatic front with abundant natural sunlight throughout the home! 2 car garage and large lower-level family room ideal for guests, family, office or private retreat. propane fireplace and heat pump with central air conditioning. This 3 Bedroom 2 baths offers a comfortable, functional layout!Schedule your appointment today! Owner Occupied.
Key facts
- Propane fireplace
- Heat pump
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Association amenities: clubhouse, indoor pool, outdoor pool, spa/hot tub, sauna, tennis courts, basketball court, trails, fitness center, exercise course, game room, dog park, beach access/rights, lake access, playground, park, golf, fishing, trash service, snow removal, gated community, security included
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener (garage faces side); Driveway
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Septic tank
- Home design: Single family house; Three or more levels; Residential property; Located in Hemlock Farms subdivision
- Construction: Shingle roof not specified; Basement present (daylight, partially finished)
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch (rear porch, screened); Community pool; Shed(s); Wooded lot with many trees; Located on a cul-de-sac; Views including community lake
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Granite counters
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Cathedral ceilings; Walk-in closets; Granite counters; Daylight, partially finished basement; Living room propane fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $479k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (45.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (44.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $260k (45.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 6.9% in Hemlock Farms — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wallenpaupack South El Sch (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 255 students, 72% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Ms (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 644 students, 59% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Hs (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #48 of 437 statewide, top 11%, 990 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 44% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $479k implies a 858% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.55% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.10%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 15.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $351,168
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 Forest Pl | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,876 (-5%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $141 | 79 |
| 119 Lone Pine Bay Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 2,018 (+2%) | 11mo | $312,000 | $155 | 75 |
| 805 Woodland Ct | 0.05mi | 3/3.0 | 1,948 (-2%) | 19mo | $449,000 | $230 | 75 |
| 128 Forest Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,260 (+14%) | 17mo | $695,000 | $308 | 52 |
| 100 Forest Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,735 (-13%) | 4mo | $365,900 | $211 | 50 |
| 106 Basswood Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-9%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $150 | 48 |
| 810 Dogwood Ct | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (+6%) | 21mo | $699,000 | $333 | 45 |
| 127 Basswood Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 2,200 (+11%) | 20mo | $380,000 | $173 | 43 |
| 114 Blackbirch Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,122 (+7%) | 18mo | $380,000 | $179 | 40 |
| 116 Blackbirch Ln | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (-13%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $124 | 33 |
| 116 Lookout Dr | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,276 (+15%) | 23mo | $403,000 | $177 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $181,950
- Equity at exit
- $431,521
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.46×
- Total profit
- $598,031
- Equity at exit
- $930,592
Cash invested: $134,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18428
- Home prices YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 375
- Price-to-rent
- 15.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,512
- Tax from tax record
- −$372 /mo · $4,465/yr
- Insurance
- −$200
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $-1,240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-969 | -5% $-1,104 | +0% $-1,240 | +5% $-1,376 | +10% $-1,511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,449 | -5% $-1,345 | +0% $-1,240 | +5% $-1,135 | +10% $-1,031 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-999 | -0.5pp $-1,118 | base $-1,240 | +0.5pp $-1,364 | +1.0pp $-1,490 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,750
- Closing costs
- $14,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Surrey Dr Hawley, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $2,650 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $479,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $479,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $479,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $479,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $479,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $479,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $479,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 538-char remark
-
2026-06-08$479,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,465 · $372/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,016 · $501/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,552/yr (+$129/mo · 34.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,831
- − Property taxes
- −$4,465
- − Insurance
- −$2,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$13,935
- Taxable loss
- −$23,914
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,739
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hemlock Farms
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #884
- US rank
- #9421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemlock Farms, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,446
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.60%
- Current HPI
- 340.8254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+858.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $479,000 PWMLS
- 2005-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $4,465 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…