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509 Maryland Ave Multi-family
D+ Composite 48.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$29,500

509 Maryland Ave · Westernport, MD 21562
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,524 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1919 2,100 sqft lot $19/sqft · 66% below area ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

Key facts

  • 2,100 sq ft lot
  • Built 1919
  • Listed 77 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#188 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $583 of equity ($204 loan paydown + $379 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $27,730 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.15%
Cap rate
84.13%
Cash-on-cash
277.99%
DSCR
13.37
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,395
List price
$29,500
Delta
-65.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.45×
Total profit
$119,382
Equity at exit
$10,511
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
32.81×
Total profit
$262,724
Equity at exit
$14,314

Cash invested: $8,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21562

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,699 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$155
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $621/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$567
Net cashflow
$1,858

Break-even live

Break-even rent $347
Max offer price $29,500
Occupancy floor 26%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $2,699

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,375
Closing costs
$885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $29,500 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,500 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,500 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,500 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,500 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,500 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,500 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,500 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,500 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,500 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,500 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,500 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,500 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $29,500 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-04-02
    listed $29,500 Active
  16. 2011-12-21
    historical 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

  17. 2011-12-20
    soldstatus $32,000 Sold 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

  18. 2011-12-20
    soldstatus $32,000
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

  19. 2011-11-30
    status Contract 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

  20. 2011-11-29
    historical
  21. 2011-06-29
    status Active 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

  22. 2011-06-29
    historical Expired 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

  23. 2011-06-28
    listed $39,900 Active 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

  24. 2011-06-28
    listed $39,900
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice Upstairs/downstairs Double house with separate basements. Previously owner occupied first floor and second floor has not been rented in many years at the owners choice. Very close to playgrounds, ballparks, school and shopping. Level area of Westernport. Nice residential street. Owner will consider partial financing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$621 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$621 · $52/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,388
− Mortgage interest
−$1,652
− Property taxes
−$621
− Insurance
−$814
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,591
− Management
−$2,591
− Depreciation
−$858
Taxable income
$23,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,582
After-tax cash flow
$16,713/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Westernport

Score
69/100
State rank
#188
US rank
#8479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westernport, MD
Population (ZIP)
3,192

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.28%
Current HPI
216.4044
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $29,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-12-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-12-20 Sold (MLS) $32,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-12-20 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MRIS
  • 2011-11-30 Pending MRIS
  • 2011-11-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-06-29 Relisted MRIS
  • 2011-06-29 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-06-28 Listed $39,900 MRIS
  • 2011-06-28 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $621 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…