1650 Villa Ave #28 · Clovis, CA
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.09%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 57 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 60 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Campus Corral, a Senior Mobile Home Park. Brand new double-wide manufactured home built by Fleetwood Homes, energy efficient and move-in ready. This spacious 2BR/2BA + den features an open, light and airy floor plan, vaulted ceilings, dual pane windows, ceiling fans in all rooms, blinds, all neutral colors throughout, and central air & heating. Beautiful kitchen with breakfast bar, stainless-steel appliances, gas stove, refrigerator, dishwasher and canned lighting. The master bedroom has a nice size closet, large bathroom with dual sinks and large shower. Spacious utility room features gas hook-ups, cabinets, and access to the carport. This mobile home park is a 55+ community and features, club house, swimming pool, RV parking and is conveniently located near shopping centers and restaurants. Come see this beautiful home, located in an awesome community!
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Cozy breakfast nook
- Gas appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Shaw and Villa go north on Villa, turn west into Campus Corral Mobile Home Park to space #28
- HOA & community: Monthly association fees; Community amenities include pool and clubhouse
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Has carport
- Utilities: Electric on; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home; Mobile home with park space rented; Fleetwood Homes Inc. make
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Other roof material; Wood subfloor foundation; Built as a manufactured/mobile home
- Exterior features: One level; Covered patio/porch; Shed(s); Urban setting; Private community in-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: F/S Range/Oven; Gas appliances; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms; Tub/shower and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heat and central air
- Interior features: Office; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.0% in Clovis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in CA, #3,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, cost of living F.
- Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sierra Vista Elementary (503 students, 87% FRL); Clark Intermediate (1,462 students, 61% FRL); Clovis High (2,905 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 32% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.49%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,968
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 Villa Ave #146 | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-4%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $141 | 85 |
| 1724 Minnewawa #8 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 712 (-2%) | 1mo | $54,800 | $77 | 82 |
| 1500 Villa Ave #143 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-1%) | 12mo | $54,000 | $75 | 79 |
| 1724 Minnewawa Ave #94 | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-1%) | 8mo | $58,500 | $81 | 78 |
| 1500 W Villa Ave N Spc 7 | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+10%) | 1mo | $59,500 | $74 | 77 |
| 1272 Villa Ave #28 | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+8%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $108 | 77 |
| 1724 Minnewawa Ave #164 | 0.30mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 664 (-9%) | 2mo | $52,500 | $79 | 65 |
| 1724 Minnewawa Ave #215 | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+10%) | 9mo | $72,500 | $91 | 62 |
| 1724 Minnewawa Ave #227 | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+10%) | 6mo | $65,200 | $82 | 61 |
| 1272 Villa Ave #60 | 0.23mi | 2/1.5 | 650 (-11%) | 11mo | $10,000 | $15 | 60 |
| 1724 Minnewawa Ave Spc 90 | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-14%) | 8mo | $22,000 | $35 | 56 |
| 1001 Sylmar Ave #230 | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+10%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $119 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,268
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $21,959
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93612
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,481 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $392 | -5% $349 | +0% $306 | +5% $263 | +10% $220 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $189 | -5% $247 | +0% $306 | +5% $364 | +10% $423 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $369 | -0.5pp $338 | base $306 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $241 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 Villa Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $1,300 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 361 W Santa Ana Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,150 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 563 W Alamos Ave Unit D Clovis, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 139 Santa Ana Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,365 | $2.20 | 11d | 3 | 0.65mi |
| 400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 145A Clovis, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,500 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 220A Clovis, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,350 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 55 W Bullard Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,771 | $2.21 | 2d | 13 | 0.86mi |
| 2777 Willow Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,769 | $2.18 | 2d | 8 | 0.92mi |
| 835 W Pico Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,595 | $2.10 | 2d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 5082 Primitivo Way Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,945 | $2.30 | 12d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,389 | $2.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2800 Willow Ave Clovis, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 774 | $1,633 | $2.11 | 2d | 7 | 1.04mi |
| 1008 Jefferson Ave Unit D Clovis, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,375 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19status $125,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $125,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$125,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 57 unhealthy d/yr today · 60 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,422
- − Management
- −$1,422
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,787
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$429
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clovis Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609030
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,950
- Composite
- 58.7/100
- National rank
- #2003
- State rank
- #152 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Clovis
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #3307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clovis, CA
- County
- Fresno County · 834,801 people
- City population
- 139,989
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,755
- Household income
- $66,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2487.0
Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,042,971 people
- By 2030
- 1,072,198 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 1,122,408 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 1,157,251 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 1,182,575 · +13.4%
- By 2100
- 1,105,899 · +6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fresno
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -352.97%
- Current HPI
- 357.6089
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+47.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $125,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2020-09-17 Sold (MLS) $85,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2020-06-26 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2020-06-23 Listed $85,000 FRESNOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…