3945 Grass Valley Hwy #36 · North Auburn, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 32 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 41 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great alternative to buying a Tiny House - Welcome to the quiet 55+ Elders Mobile Home Park off hwy 49. This home is remodeled with high-end appliances, dual pane windows, energy efficient tankless water heater, ductless air and heating. Move in ready home for under $60,000. Located in NW Auburn at the foothills of the Sierra Nevada. Enjoy the relaxed, small-town feel while still enjoying the convenience of nearby shopping, dining, healthcare and outdoor recreation. Quiet, established, and ideal for low-maintenance senior living. Affordable space rent at $700/month!
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Outdoor recreation
- Dual pane windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Situated in a community of about 50 units; Senior community
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Land lease required ($625)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Public water; Public sewer; Internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-wide; Updated/Remodeled; Built in 1976; Located in a senior community; Address: 3945 Grass Valley Hwy #36, Auburn, CA 95602
- Construction: Metal roof; Metal skirting; Single-wide manufactured construction; Year built 1976
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Regular-shaped lot; Skirted (metal)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Stone countertops
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower stall
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: Stone countertops; Dining and living room combined; Dual-pane full windows with screens; Updated/remodeled interior; Appliances are energy-efficient
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 2.6% in North Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#519 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A-, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Placer Union High (suburban): math 39% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #98 of 517 in CA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.10%
- DSCR
- 3.99
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $50,054
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 70.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.19×
- Total profit
- $120,610
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95602
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,711 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $938
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11325 Quartz Dr Auburn, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,775 | $2.29 | 1d | 10 | 0.53mi |
| 11754 Jones St Unit 11754 Auburn, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 574-char remark
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 41 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,534
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,643
- − Management
- −$1,643
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $10,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully renovated manufactured home is move-in ready with new appliances, flooring, and dual-pane windows. It offers a great value for under $60,000 in a quiet, established neighborhood.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both Add a small garden or planter box — Improves curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Add a small garden or planter box — Improves curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Placer Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0630750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,119
- Composite
- 49.04/100
- National rank
- #2060
- State rank
- #98 of 517 in CA
Livability — North Auburn
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #519
- US rank
- #17512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Auburn, CA
- County
- Placer County · 390,510 people
- City population
- 28,195
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,701
- Household income
- $97,466
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 521.0
Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 422,709 people
- By 2030
- 444,249 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 480,192 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 506,390 · +19.8%
- By 2075
- 550,219 · +30.2%
- By 2100
- 547,760 · +29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Placer
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -426.11%
- Current HPI
- 257.0087
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…