1202 W Cross St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FORECLOSURE * SOME UPDATES * GREAT INVESTMENT !! COME TAKE A LOOK AND SEE
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: End of row townhouse; Assessor-reported year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built-up roof
- Exterior features: Located within city limits (Baltimore City); No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Finished and unfinished below-grade space reported by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.68%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,272
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1121 Cleveland St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (0%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $121 | 92 |
| 1133 Sargeant St | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 | 912 (0%) | 2mo | $67,500 | $74 | 90 |
| 640 Dover St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+3%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $235 | 70 |
| 884 Washington Blvd | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 | 1,040 (+14%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $192 | 69 |
| 649 Dover St | 0.39mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 936 (+3%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $208 | 68 |
| 703 Dover St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (+10%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $223 | 65 |
| 1241 W Lombard St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (+6%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $156 | 63 |
| 1226 W Pratt St | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (+10%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 802 W Barre St | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 990 (+9%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $288 | 62 |
| 1125 Bayard St | 0.34mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,032 (+13%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $116 | 57 |
| 1239 W Lombard St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+10%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $150 | 57 |
| 1607 Lemmon St | 0.67mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 974 (+7%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $21 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $5,601
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $21,205
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21230
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 362
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,755 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,307/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 853 Reinhart St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 780 | $1,800 | $2.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 805 Washington Blvd Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 805 Washington Blvd Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 20d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1163 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1012 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 12d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 519 Scott St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1160 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,575 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1127 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,275 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 776 Washington Blvd Unit 3F Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,601 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 847 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,795 | $1.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,625 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1068 | $1,955 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1215 James St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 812 S Paca St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 638 S Paca St Unit 2404866494 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 725 W Pratt St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 584 | $1,925 | $3.29 | 10d | 9 | 0.36mi |
| 121 S Fremont Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 582 | $2,100 | $3.61 | 20d | 5 | 0.36mi |
| 657 Dover St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 653 Dover St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,900 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 48 S Carrollton Ave Unit 4 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,600 | $2.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 519 W Pratt St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,400 | $2.43 | 2d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,860 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,950 | $1.78 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 101 N Schroeder St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $2,481 | $2.39 | 2d | 12 | 0.59mi |
| 410 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 611 | $1,995 | $3.26 | 1d | 4 | 0.63mi |
| 301 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 499 | $1,775 | $3.56 | 1d | 30 | 0.67mi |
| 28 N Norris St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 617 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $2,200 | $2.26 | 10d | 4 | 0.71mi |
| 11 S Eutaw St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $2,146 | $2.10 | 1d | 11 | 0.72mi |
| 300 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 686 | $1,835 | $2.67 | 2d | 7 | 0.73mi |
| 1 S Eutaw St Unit 1BR Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,245 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1601 Frederick Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 123 W Barre St #112 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,200 | $2.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 300 W Redwood St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 565 | $2,400 | $4.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 311 W Baltimore St #503 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,599 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 311 W Baltimore St Unit 504 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,999 | $1.82 | 19d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $105,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 307-char remark
-
2026-06-02$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,307 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,307 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,061
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$4,307
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,685
- − Management
- −$1,685
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,923
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$942
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,977
- Household income
- $91,842
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1463.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -311.43%
- Current HPI
- 284.338
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.00%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $3,901,500 Public Records
- 2020-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $3,901,500 Public Records
- 2015-01-30 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRIS
- 2015-01-30 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-01-13 Pending — MRIS
- 2015-01-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-12-09 Price Changed $64,500 MRIS
- 2014-08-14 Listed $74,900 MRIS
- 2014-08-14 Listed $64,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-09-06 Delisted — MRIS
- 2011-09-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-07-30 Listed — MRIS
- 2011-07-30 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-05-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-05-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-04-12 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2010-03-02 Listed — MRIS
- 2010-03-02 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-11-11 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2008-09-25 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2008-09-17 Listed — MRIS
- 2008-01-13 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-11-16 Listed — MRIS
- 2007-11-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-10-04 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2007-09-07 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2007-08-22 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2007-08-07 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2007-07-26 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2007-01-08 Listed — MRIS
- 2007-01-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-08-16 Listed — MRIS
- 2006-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-09 Sold (MLS) $105,000 MRIS
- 2005-09-26 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-07-25 Listed $115,000 MRIS
- 2003-03-27 Delisted — MRIS
- 2003-01-21 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,307 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…