11512 Pippin Rd · Pleasant Run, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity on this bi-level home on Pippin Road. Handyman special, needs some TLC. Property sold as is, no seller repairs.
Key facts
- Split-level home
- Cozy fireplace
- Generous backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Built-in front garage with 2 garage spaces; Driveway and off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Second floor area noted (approx. 960)
- Construction: Poured foundation; Built with aluminum siding and brick
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Insulated windows; Aluminum siding and brick exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom approx. 11 x 15 (level 1); Bedroom 2 approx. 10 x 12 (level 1); Bedroom 3 approx. 9 x 9 (level 1)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (level 2); One half bathroom (level 1)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
- Interior features: Six total rooms; One inoperable fireplace
- Laundry & utility: No dedicated laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#460 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Northwest Local (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #508 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.60%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,804
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11484 Ravensburg Ct | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-0%) | 3mo | $238,000 | $159 | 74 |
| 11480 Riga Ct | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,492 (-1%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $161 | 66 |
| 11424 Riga Ct | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (-10%) | 1mo | $256,000 | $189 | 58 |
| 11439 Riga Ct | 0.48mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,484 (-2%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 11501 Raphael Pl | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,438 (-5%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $163 | 55 |
| 11483 Ravensburg Ct | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,640 (+9%) | 16mo | $210,000 | $128 | 48 |
| 2234 Rubicon Pl | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,335 (-12%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $169 | 42 |
| 11440 Raphael Pl | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,438 (-5%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $170 | 42 |
| 11542 Raphael Pl | 0.75mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,438 (-5%) | 13mo | $227,000 | $158 | 42 |
| 2159 Rangoon Ct | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (-10%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $174 | 39 |
| 11494 Raphael Pl | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,438 (-5%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $153 | 38 |
| 2052 Rubicon Pl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,281 (-15%) | 12mo | $259,900 | $203 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-4,226
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $67,832
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45231
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,386 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,618/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $401 | +0% $339 | +5% $276 | +10% $214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $150 | -5% $244 | +0% $339 | +5% $433 | +10% $527 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $449 | -0.5pp $395 | base $339 | +0.5pp $282 | +1.0pp $224 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2504 Houston Rd Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $2,995 | $2.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2300 Walden Glen Cir Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 830 | $1,599 | $1.93 | 2d | 9 | 0.96mi |
| 11702 Elkwood Dr Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1544 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$219,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,618 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,618 · $302/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$3,618
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,291
- − Management
- −$2,291
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $619
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$149
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,916/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904736
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,765
- Composite
- 36.97/100
- National rank
- #4528
- State rank
- #508 of 656 in OH
Livability — Pleasant Run
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #7616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pleasant Run, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,463
- Household income
- $71,353
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 846.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 40% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.25%
- Current HPI
- 228.2912
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.92%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+131.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $219,900 Cincy MLS
- 2024-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $1,957,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-17 Sold (MLS) $62,888 Cincy MLS
- 2016-03-02 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2016-02-11 Listed $57,200 Cincy MLS
- 2005-06-27 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Cincy MLS
- 2005-04-29 Listed $99,000 Cincy MLS
- 2003-11-16 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2003-08-15 Listed $118,900 Cincy MLS
- 2003-07-16 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2003-04-14 Listed $125,900 Cincy MLS
- 2002-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $116,300 Public Records
- 2002-04-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Cincy MLS
- 2002-02-05 Listed $95,000 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,618 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…