122 5th St · Clinton, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,035
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home located in the heart of Clinton, MN, featuring a spacious layout with multiple bedrooms and bathrooms. The property gives a cozy living area, a well-equipped kitchen, and ample storage throughout. Enjoy the outdoor space with a generous yard, appropriate for relaxation or entertainment. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home promises comfort and accessibility for its residents.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 4 garage spots
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above- and below-grade finished area reported (main level finished area included); Total living area reported as 2,048 square feet
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Multiple garages, 4 garage spaces
- Utilities: Natural gas fuel; Water: other; Sewer: other
- Home design: Residential property; One story
- Construction: Foundation area approximately 1,024; Foundation described as 'Other'
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.31 acres (50 x 100)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air listed
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Accessibility features present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#366 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Clinton-Graceville-Beardsley (rural): math 50% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #116 of 467 in MN (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Big Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($270 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Big Stone County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.55%
- DSCR
- 3.12
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $40,609
- Equity at exit
- $26,348
- IRR
- 53.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.93×
- Total profit
- $97,595
- Equity at exit
- $49,426
Cash invested: $10,930 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56225
- Home prices YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $977 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,418/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $455 | -5% $444 | +0% $433 | +5% $422 | +10% $411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $356 | -5% $394 | +0% $433 | +5% $472 | +10% $510 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $453 | -0.5pp $443 | base $433 | +0.5pp $423 | +1.0pp $413 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,759
- Closing costs
- $1,171
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,035 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,035 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,035 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,035 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $39,035 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,035 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,035 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,035 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,035 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $39,035
-
2026-05-18price $41,089
-
2026-05-15price $43,251
-
2026-05-12price $45,527
-
2026-05-07price $47,923
-
2026-05-05price $48,902
-
2026-04-29$49,900 Active
-
2020-07-15soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,187
- − Property taxes
- −$1,418
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$938
- − Management
- −$938
- − Depreciation
- −$1,136
- Taxable income
- $4,917
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,180
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton-Graceville-Beardsley
- NCES district ID
- 2700150
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,940
- Composite
- 54.51/100
- National rank
- #2891
- State rank
- #116 of 467 in MN
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #8612
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 733
Population outlook (Big Stone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,608 people
- By 2030
- 4,380 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 3,941 · -14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,551 · -22.9%
- By 2075
- 2,917 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 2,284 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 16% Iranian 4% Scottish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 11% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Big Stone
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.6) · D 34.2% · R 63.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.9pp toward R · 2008: 6.4pp · 2024: -29.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.6 2020: R+27.2 2016: R+25.1 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+6.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Current HPI
- 119.835
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-2.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $39,035 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $41,089 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $43,251 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $45,527 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $47,923 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $48,902 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,418 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…