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2104 Exeter Rd
B Composite 74.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$42,500

2104 Exeter Rd · Appalachia, VA 24216
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1940 10,018 sqft lot $34/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located beside of the Imboden United Community Church and less than two miles to downtown Appalachia this home awaits its new family! The home has been remodeled to include vinyl siding, metal roof, new windows and an updated interior finishes! Make your appointment for a private showing today! Buyers and buyers agents to verify all information contained in this listing.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with gravel surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Water connected; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Concrete basement with interior and exterior entry; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storm door(s); Sloped lot; Zoned General Res

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Double-pane windows; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#505 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Wise County Public School District (town): math 74% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #11 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Union Primary (math 72% / reading 79%, grade A, #207 of 1,108 statewide, top 19%, 861 students, 84% FRL); Union Middle (math 58% / reading 70%, grade B+, #127 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 583 students, 89% FRL); Union High (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 601 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 55% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wise County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $36k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $41,225 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.62%
Cap rate
23.82%
Cash-on-cash
62.58%
DSCR
3.78
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,705
List price
$42,500
Delta
-58.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.5%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$29,131
Equity at exit
$6,337
10-year hold
IRR
60.5%
Equity multiple
7.04×
Total profit
$71,830
Equity at exit
$3,675

Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24216

Home prices YoY
-3.3%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,115 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$223
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $239/yr
Insurance
$18
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$565

Break-even live

Break-even rent $400
Max offer price $42,500
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,625
Closing costs
$1,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,500 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,500 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,500 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,500 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,500 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $42,500 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $42,500 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,500 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,500 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,500 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,500 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $42,500 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,500 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,500 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,500 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $49,000 Active 358-char remark
  17. 2019-02-25
    soldstatus $36,000 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Located beside of the Imboden United Community Church and less than two miles to downtown Appalachia this home awaits its new family! The home has been remodeled to include vinyl siding, metal roof, new windows and an updated interior finishes! Make your appointment for a private showing today! Buyers and buyers agents to verify all information contained in this listing.

  18. 2019-02-25
    soldstatus $36,000
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Located beside of the Imboden United Community Church and less than two miles to downtown Appalachia this home awaits its new family! The home has been remodeled to include vinyl siding, metal roof, new windows and an updated interior finishes! Make your appointment for a private showing today! Buyers and buyers agents to verify all information contained in this listing.

  19. 2018-03-12
    listed $39,900 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Located beside of the Imboden United Community Church and less than two miles to downtown Appalachia this home awaits its new family! The home has been remodeled to include vinyl siding, metal roof, new windows and an updated interior finishes! Make your appointment for a private showing today! Buyers and buyers agents to verify all information contained in this listing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$239 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$349 · $29/mo
Expected delta
+$109/yr (+$9/mo · 45.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,384
− Mortgage interest
−$2,381
− Property taxes
−$239
− Insurance
−$879
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,071
− Management
−$1,071
− Depreciation
−$1,236
Taxable income
$6,507
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,562
After-tax cash flow
$5,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wise County Public School District
NCES district ID
5104080
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$35,624
Composite
63.37/100
National rank
#625
State rank
#11 of 131 in VA

Livability — Appalachia

Score
56/100
State rank
#505
US rank
#22417

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,356

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,714 people
By 2030
33,742 · -5.5%
By 2040
29,870 · -16.4%
By 2050
26,233 · -26.5%
By 2075
18,296 · -48.8%
By 2100
12,147 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.3) · D 18.1% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.7pp · 2024: -63.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.3 2020: R+61.7 2016: R+62.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+27.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.82%
Current HPI
112.8878
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $42,500 TVRMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $49,000 TVRMLS
  • 2019-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 2019-02-25 Sold (MLS) $36,000 TVRMLS
  • 2018-03-12 Listed $39,900 TVRMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $239 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…