846 SW Frazier Ave · Topeka, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor/handyperson special. Cute home with a lot of potential. Large fenced-in back yard. Interior needs updating and repairs. Price reflects the work needed. Selling as-is only. Seller is unable to perform any repairs.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1941
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.3% in Topeka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Topeka Public Schools (urban): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #158 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Meadows Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #507 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 417 students, 85% FRL); Landon Middle School (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 219 statewide, top 65%, 457 students, 68% FRL); Topeka West High (math 13% / reading 20%, grade F, #244 of 327 statewide, top 75%, 1,085 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.32%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,998
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 SW Oakley Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,173 (-10%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $149 | 48 |
| 1107 SW Wayne Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+6%) | 21mo | $154,900 | $112 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $8,643
- Equity at exit
- $11,615
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $35,058
- Equity at exit
- $6,735
Cash invested: $21,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66606
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,176 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,861/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,475
- Closing costs
- $2,337
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 937 SW Jewell Ave Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1297 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 728 SW Lindenwood Ave Topeka, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1275 SW Mulvane St Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1791 | $1,350 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5231 SW West Dr Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,260 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5307 SW West Dr Topeka, KS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $935 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-19historical
-
2026-05-18$77,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,861 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,861 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,364
- − Property taxes
- −$1,861
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,129
- − Management
- −$1,129
- − Depreciation
- −$2,266
- Taxable income
- $2,975
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$714
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,283/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Topeka Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2012260
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,405
- Composite
- 16.69/100
- National rank
- #9167
- State rank
- #158 of 169 in KS
Livability — Topeka
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #8848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Topeka, KS
- County
- Shawnee County · 118,130 people
- City population
- 118,130
- Metro
- Topeka, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,842
- Household income
- $57,169
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 521.0
Population outlook (Shawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,277 people
- By 2030
- 177,762 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 172,341 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 166,330 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 152,417 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 134,782 · -24.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Shawnee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+3.0 2016: R+2.8 2012: R+1.7 2008: R+0.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.02%
- Current HPI
- 227.5883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Topeka, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Delisted — Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-18 Listed $77,900 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,861 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…