1205 Oryx Dr · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$273,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open floorplan
- Secondary bedrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $274k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: David L Walker Elt (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 417 students, 87% FRL); H F Stevens Middle (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 747 students, 84% FRL); Crowley H S (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 2,351 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 52% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1036 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.59%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-39,631
- Equity at exit
- $40,854
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-33,114
- Equity at exit
- $23,690
Cash invested: $76,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76036
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 1036
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,261 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,437
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $257 | -5% $179 | +0% $102 | +5% $24 | +10% $-53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-77 | -5% $13 | +0% $102 | +5% $191 | +10% $281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $240 | -0.5pp $172 | base $102 | +0.5pp $31 | +1.0pp $-41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,500
- Closing costs
- $8,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 Hidden Dale Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 517 Misty Mountain Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $2,050 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 10009 Quail Glen Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,795 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 10600 Bilsky Bay Dr Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $1,765 | $1.93 | 26d | 24 | 0.99mi |
| 220 Elk Run Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1781 | $1,965 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1312 Hunters Ridge Dr Crowley, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2155 | $2,700 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 10905 Fawn Valley Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $1,885 | $1.05 | 7d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9100 Cranwell Ct Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1748 | $1,950 | $1.12 | 26d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 10516 Park City Trl Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,799 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1804 Lincolnshire Way Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 7d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 720 Watson Way Crowley, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,095 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 205 Crescent Ridge Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1866 | $2,010 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 212 Crescent Ridge Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $2,130 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 744 Walls Blvd Crowley, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9004 Willoughby Ct Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,015 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 752 Rutherford Dr Crowley, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,209 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1812 Hunting Green Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,985 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 10512 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,865 | $1.24 | 9d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 10512 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,865 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 10540 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1808 | $1,975 | $1.09 | 26d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 10540 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1808 | $1,950 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1253 Rosedale Springs Ln Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1757 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2604 Mill Springs Pass Fort Worth, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1822 | $2,340 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8457 Asheville Ln Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,049 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8440 Asheville Ln Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $2,250 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 708 Cheryl St Crowley, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $2,100 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 625 Hutchins Dr Crowley, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,885 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 705 Loftin St Crowley, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2720 Gains Mill Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1757 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-22status Pending
-
2026-03-20price $273,999
-
2026-03-10$276,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,099 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,014 · $418/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,915/yr (+$326/mo · 356.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,348
- − Property taxes
- −$1,099
- − Insurance
- −$1,370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,171
- − Management
- −$2,171
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$7,971
- Taxable loss
- −$3,497
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$839
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,062/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This single-level home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good roof and flooring, and the systems appear to be in good condition. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior siding and a thorough gutter inspection.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve curb appeal and increase the home's value.
- Both Inspect and clean the gutters — Maintaining the gutters can prevent water damage and improve the home's overall appearance.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve curb appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Inspect and clean the gutters — Maintaining the gutters can prevent water damage and improve the home's overall appearance. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crowley ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815910
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,810
- Composite
- 25.04/100
- National rank
- #7549
- State rank
- #643 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,044
- Household income
- $97,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 584.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.45%
- Current HPI
- 238.6365
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-1.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $273,999 NTREIS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $276,999 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…