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1205 Oryx Dr
D Composite 44.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$273,999

1205 Oryx Dr · Fort Worth, TX 76036
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,667 sqft · Other · 12 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 5,489 sqft lot $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open floorplan
  • Secondary bedrooms

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSECONDARY BEDROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $274k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: David L Walker Elt (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 417 students, 87% FRL); H F Stevens Middle (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 747 students, 84% FRL); Crowley H S (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 2,351 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 52% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1036 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $226,142 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-39,631
Equity at exit
$40,854
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-33,114
Equity at exit
$23,690

Cash invested: $76,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76036

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
1036
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,261 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,437
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,099/yr
Insurance
$114
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,132
Max offer price $273,999
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $257 -5% $179 +0% $102 +5% $24 +10% $-53
Rent -10% $-77 -5% $13 +0% $102 +5% $191 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $240 -0.5pp $172 base $102 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-41

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,500
Closing costs
$8,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
605 Hidden Dale Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1161 $1,875 $1.61 45d 1 0.50mi
517 Misty Mountain Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1342 $2,050 $1.53 0d 1 0.58mi
10009 Quail Glen Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1130 $1,795 $1.59 45d 1 0.69mi
10600 Bilsky Bay Dr Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 914 $1,765 $1.93 26d 24 0.99mi
220 Elk Run Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1781 $1,965 $1.10 17d 1 0.99mi
1312 Hunters Ridge Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 3.0 2155 $2,700 $1.25 12d 1 1.04mi
10905 Fawn Valley Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1796 $1,885 $1.05 7d 1 1.09mi
9100 Cranwell Ct Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1748 $1,950 $1.12 26d 1 1.11mi
10516 Park City Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,799 $1.18 0d 1 1.21mi
1804 Lincolnshire Way Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1496 $1,850 $1.24 7d 1 1.23mi
720 Watson Way Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1782 $2,095 $1.18 45d 1 1.24mi
205 Crescent Ridge Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1866 $2,010 $1.08 4d 1 1.24mi
212 Crescent Ridge Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1545 $2,130 $1.38 45d 1 1.27mi
744 Walls Blvd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1792 $2,300 $1.28 45d 1 1.28mi
9004 Willoughby Ct Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,015 $1.41 0d 1 1.30mi
752 Rutherford Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1856 $2,209 $1.19 45d 1 1.33mi
1812 Hunting Green Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,985 $1.42 45d 1 1.35mi
10512 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,865 $1.24 9d 1 1.37mi
10512 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,865 $1.24 0d 1 1.37mi
10540 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1808 $1,975 $1.09 26d 1 1.38mi
10540 Flagstaff Run Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1808 $1,950 $1.08 14d 1 1.38mi
1253 Rosedale Springs Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1757 $2,000 $1.14 14d 1 1.39mi
2604 Mill Springs Pass Fort Worth, TX 5.0 2.0 1822 $2,340 $1.28 45d 1 1.40mi
8457 Asheville Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1796 $2,049 $1.14 45d 1 1.40mi
8440 Asheville Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2048 $2,250 $1.10 14d 1 1.42mi
708 Cheryl St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1659 $2,100 $1.27 20d 1 1.43mi
625 Hutchins Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,885 $1.39 45d 1 1.47mi
705 Loftin St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1514 $2,200 $1.45 45d 1 1.48mi
2720 Gains Mill Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1757 $2,000 $1.14 0d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-20
    price $273,999
  3. 2026-03-10
    listed $276,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,099 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,014 · $418/mo
Expected delta
+$3,915/yr (+$326/mo · 356.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,137
− Mortgage interest
−$15,348
− Property taxes
−$1,099
− Insurance
−$1,370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,171
− Management
−$2,171
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$7,971
Taxable loss
−$3,497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$839
After-tax cash flow
$2,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-level home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good roof and flooring, and the systems appear to be in good condition. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior siding and a thorough gutter inspection.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Inspect and clean the gutters — Maintaining the gutters can prevent water damage and improve the home's overall appearance.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Inspect and clean the gutters — Maintaining the gutters can prevent water damage and improve the home's overall appearance.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley ISD
NCES district ID
4815910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,810
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7549
State rank
#643 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,044
Household income
$97,973
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.45%
Current HPI
238.6365
Rent YoY
▲ 2.28%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-22 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $273,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $276,999 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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