450 Old Cranberry Rd · Hazleton, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Casa amplia y actualizada en Hazle Township, cerca de empleos y a solo minutos de Humboldt Industrial Park. Aunque es una casa de 2 dormitorios, se siente mucho m & Atilde; & iexcl; s grande: sala, comedor, cocina, porche trasero, patio, estacionamiento fuera de la calle y aproximadamente 1,356 pies & Acirc; & sup2;. La propiedad cuenta con pintura interior, cocina actualizada, ba & Atilde; & plusmn; o renovado, LVP en cocina/ba & Atilde; & plusmn; o, luces, herrajes, barandales y termostatos actualizados. Calefacci & Atilde; & sup3;n por fuel oil con boiler funcionando bien. Tambi & Atilde; & copy; n hay un ba & Atilde; & plusmn; o ad
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Generous yard
- Spacious living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.5% in Hazleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#930 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.95%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,652
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 Ridge Ave | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-6%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $117 | 75 |
| 407 Ridge Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,254 (-8%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 214 Green St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,419 (+5%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 927 Winters Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 5mo | $129,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 16 Third St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,435 (+6%) | 3mo | $76,000 | $53 | 57 |
| 13 Branch St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,215 (-10%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $99 | 53 |
| 536 Green St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $179 | 53 |
| 106 Green St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,235 (-9%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $117 | 53 |
| 929 Winters Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,458 (+8%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 667 Roosevelt St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+10%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $121 | 42 |
| 711 Boundary St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-9%) | 6mo | $154,000 | $124 | 41 |
| 917 Winters Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,537 (+13%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $114 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $95,290
- Equity at exit
- $121,619
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.97×
- Total profit
- $263,553
- Equity at exit
- $262,275
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18202
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,604 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $341
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $418 | -5% $380 | +0% $341 | +5% $303 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $215 | -5% $278 | +0% $341 | +5% $405 | +10% $468 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $409 | -0.5pp $376 | base $341 | +0.5pp $306 | +1.0pp $271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 Lincoln St Hazleton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,499 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $135,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,420 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,420 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,420 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 643-char remark
-
2026-06-12$124,420 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,143 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,638 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$495/yr (+$41/mo · 43.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,251
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,143
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,540
- − Management
- −$1,540
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,066
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$496
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hazleton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #930
- US rank
- #10115
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- City population
- 13,755
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,755
- Household income
- $55,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 369.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 9% Black 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.19%
- Current HPI
- 306.1029
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $124,420 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,143 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…