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450 Old Cranberry Rd
B+ Composite 78.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$135,000

450 Old Cranberry Rd · Hazleton, PA 18202
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,356 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1904 5,663 sqft lot Est $159k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Casa amplia y actualizada en Hazle Township, cerca de empleos y a solo minutos de Humboldt Industrial Park. Aunque es una casa de 2 dormitorios, se siente mucho m & Atilde; & iexcl; s grande: sala, comedor, cocina, porche trasero, patio, estacionamiento fuera de la calle y aproximadamente 1,356 pies & Acirc; & sup2;. La propiedad cuenta con pintura interior, cocina actualizada, ba & Atilde; & plusmn; o renovado, LVP en cocina/ba & Atilde; & plusmn; o, luces, herrajes, barandales y termostatos actualizados. Calefacci & Atilde; & sup3;n por fuel oil con boiler funcionando bien. Tambi & Atilde; & copy; n hay un ba & Atilde; & plusmn; o ad

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Generous yard
  • Spacious living room

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFUNCTIONAL KITCHENGENEROUS YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.5% in Hazleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#930 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.95%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,652
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
329 Ridge Ave 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-6%) 4mo $150,000 $117 75
407 Ridge Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 1,254 (-8%) 10mo $120,000 $96 66
214 Green St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,419 (+5%) 9mo $190,000 $134 61
927 Winters Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,300 (-4%) 5mo $129,000 $99 58
16 Third St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,435 (+6%) 3mo $76,000 $53 57
13 Branch St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,215 (-10%) 6mo $120,000 $99 53
536 Green St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-12%) 3mo $215,000 $179 53
106 Green St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,235 (-9%) 9mo $145,000 $117 53
929 Winters Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,458 (+8%) 10mo $100,000 $69 48
667 Roosevelt St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,488 (+10%) 3mo $180,000 $121 42
711 Boundary St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,240 (-9%) 6mo $154,000 $124 41
917 Winters Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,537 (+13%) 8mo $175,000 $114 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$95,290
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
7.97×
Total profit
$263,553
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18202

Home prices YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,604 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,172
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $418 -5% $380 +0% $341 +5% $303 +10% $265
Rent -10% $215 -5% $278 +0% $341 +5% $405 +10% $468
Rate -1.0pp $409 -0.5pp $376 base $341 +0.5pp $306 +1.0pp $271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1015 Lincoln St Hazleton, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,499 $1.67 44d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on marketlisting id $135,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,420 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,420 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,420 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 643-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $124,420 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,143 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,638 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$495/yr (+$41/mo · 43.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,251
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,143
− Insurance
−$1,472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,540
− Management
−$1,540
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$2,066
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$496
After-tax cash flow
$3,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazleton Area SD
NCES district ID
4211700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$42,247
Composite
20.44/100
National rank
#8582
State rank
#476 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hazleton

Score
67/100
State rank
#930
US rank
#10115

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Luzerne County · 118,885 people
City population
13,755
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,755
Household income
$55,153
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
369.0

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 9% Black 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 22%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.19%
Current HPI
306.1029
Rent YoY
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $124,420 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,143 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…