13322 Via Real · Desert Hot Springs, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Cozy starter home. 3Br. 2 Bath ideal for first time home buyers or investors. 2 carPleAW garage.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-174 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (9.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (27.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $244k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Desert Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,149 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,439/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $220k; list at $335k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.23%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $373,593
- List price
- $335,000
- Delta
- -10.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13595 West Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,220 (-3%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $270 | 86 |
| 13547 Caliente Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+2%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $264 | 71 |
| 13423 Ramona Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,159 (-8%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $259 | 65 |
| 66-274 Hacienda Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (+9%) | 3mo | $399,000 | $291 | 63 |
| 12400 Cholla | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-9%) | 1mo | $399,000 | $346 | 62 |
| 65565 Acoma #77 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,313 (+4%) | 2mo | $273,000 | $208 | 62 |
| 65565 Acoma Ave #80 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,313 (+4%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $190 | 61 |
| 13285 Caliente Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,355 (+8%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $236 | 61 |
| 66201 Estrella Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $207 | 56 |
| 65565 Acoma Ave #1 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (+11%) | 3mo | $287,500 | $206 | 55 |
| 13902 El Cajon Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+11%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $250 | 53 |
| 13576 La Mesa Dr | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,134 (-10%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $287 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-63,858
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-63,517
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92240
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 515
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,439 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,454/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $-174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13322 El Rio Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,750 | $2.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 13715 El Rio Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,600 | $1.97 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 13950 West Dr Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 13244 El Cajon Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1320 | $3,200 | $2.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 65565 Acoma Ave #49 Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $2,300 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 13987 El Cajon Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,600 | $2.14 | 7d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 66444 Desert View Ave Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $2,275 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 66369 Buena Vista Ave Apt A Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,499 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 65568 Acoma Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1320 | $2,095 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 66629 Joseph Way Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,900 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 66212 2nd St Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,000 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 14777 Palm Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $1,995 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 66023 4th St Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1743 | $2,600 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 13175 Little Morongo Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1056 | $1,995 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 66824 Estrella Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 11693 Mountain Hawk Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1666 | $2,500 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 65841 6th St Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,250 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 66688 First St Unit 3 Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,499 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 66300 6th St Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,550 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 66755 1st St Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 66800 Pierson Blvd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 11625 Mesquite Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10792 Santa Cruz Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1321 | $2,295 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 66815 Vista Pl Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $2,600 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12300 Ambrosio Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 15300 Palm Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 66700 Crescent Dr Unit A Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,195 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 12385 Sumac Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1804 | $2,450 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $335,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $335,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $335,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $335,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $335,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $335,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $335,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2025-12-29$335,000 Active 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Beautiful Cozy starter home. 3Br. 2 Bath ideal for first time home buyers or investors. 2 carPleAW garage.
-
2025-08-12soldstatus $220,000
-
2000-10-11historical
-
2000-10-04$48,000
-
1992-11-09soldstatus $78,000
-
1986-01-17soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,454 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,546 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 3.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$2,454
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,341
- − Management
- −$2,341
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$8,059
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,934
- After-tax cash flow
- $-159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Desert Hot Springs
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1149
- US rank
- #25774
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Desert Hot Springs, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 41,615
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,615
- Household income
- $54,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2095.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 53%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.10%
- Current HPI
- 418.4691
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.66%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+679.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-29 Listed $335,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2000-10-11 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2000-10-04 Listed $48,000 GPSMLS
- 1992-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 1986-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,454 · +35.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…