1082 S Cr 352 · Orange Grove, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.2/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Golden opportunity for you to own a slice of the pie! Country home with additional attached storage room comes with approximately 2 acres of fenced land that will offer many possibilities for the future. There are a few extras such as RV hook up and installed sprinkler system. There's even a small enclosed outdoor potty. Plenty of room here to build whatever you please. Although the home has a Robstown address, tax jurisdiction is that of Jim Wells county and OGISD! The home will need some TLC, but it's definitely worth your consideration. Come and take a look today.
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- Built 2006
- Listed 552 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Front entry parking; Rear/side/off-street parking; RV access/parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic available; Water available
- Home design: Single-story; Wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Construction: Built with wood siding
- Exterior features: Sprinkler/irrigation system; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Handicap access; Open floor plan; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#235 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Orange Grove ISD (rural): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #196 of 826 in TX (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Jim Wells County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jim Wells County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 553 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 553 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.59%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,268
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -62.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $14,160
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $46,261
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78380
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $465 | -5% $439 | +0% $413 | +5% $387 | +10% $361 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $320 | -5% $366 | +0% $413 | +5% $459 | +10% $506 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $451 | -0.5pp $432 | base $413 | +0.5pp $393 | +1.0pp $374 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 553 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 552 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 549 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 548 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 547 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 546 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 543 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 542 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 541 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 540 DOM
-
2025-09-04status Active
-
2023-07-21status Pending
-
2023-07-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-12-27status Active
-
2022-09-01status Pending
-
2022-06-27$75,000 Active
-
2020-05-31historical
-
2019-11-23$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,132
- − Management
- −$1,132
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,998
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$960
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange Grove ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833720
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,348
- Composite
- 41.9/100
- National rank
- #3367
- State rank
- #196 of 826 in TX
Livability — Orange Grove
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #5722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,752
Population outlook (Jim Wells County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,325 people
- By 2030
- 44,156 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 45,790 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 47,455 · +9.5%
- By 2075
- 51,800 · +19.6%
- By 2100
- 52,006 · +20.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 38% White 23%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 47%
Political lean MEDSL · Jim Wells
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.5) · D 42.0% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -15.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.5 2020: R+9.8 2016: D+10.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.51%
- Current HPI
- 286.19
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-16.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-04 Relisted — CBMLS
- 2023-07-21 Pending — CBMLS
- 2023-07-13 Contingent — CBMLS
- 2022-12-27 Relisted — CBMLS
- 2022-09-01 Pending — CBMLS
- 2022-06-27 Listed $75,000 CBMLS
- 2020-05-31 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2019-11-23 Listed $89,900 CBMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…