408 S Gilmor St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 6/26/2025 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/30/2025 @ 11:40 AM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. Two-story townhome located in the Mount Clare neighborhood. Within +/- 1 mile of Carroll Park and Westside Shopping Center. Nearest major traffic arteries include S Monroe St and Wilkens Ave. Vacant and in need of renovation.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Fully renovated home
- Brand-new kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Two or more access/exit points
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Electric hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse / rowhouse
- Construction: Brick construction; Block and brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Property is inside city limits (Baltimore City)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; Two bedrooms on the lower level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the upper level; One full bathroom on the lower level; Three full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Fully finished basement with windows; Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $812 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,215/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $155k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.44%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,182
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -3.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1933 W Pratt St | 0.33mi | 4/— (-1) | 1,365 (+11%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $22 | 60 |
| 508 Wyeth St | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,234 (0%) | 8mo | $173,500 | $141 | 57 |
| 1180 Cleveland St | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,248 (+1%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $196 | 56 |
| 19 N Smallwood St | 0.64mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,230 (-0%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $171 | 55 |
| 609 S Pulaski St S | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,395 (+13%) | 11mo | $201,000 | $144 | 47 |
| 6 N Stockton St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-5%) | 11mo | $50,000 | $43 | 46 |
| 614 Scott St | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,304 (+6%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $207 | 41 |
| 1 N Smallwood St | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,352 (+10%) | 10mo | $39,000 | $29 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $37,041
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $145,960
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $728/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $812
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $899 | -5% $856 | +0% $812 | +5% $768 | +10% $724 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $637 | -5% $724 | +0% $812 | +5% $899 | +10% $987 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $890 | -0.5pp $851 | base $812 | +0.5pp $772 | +1.0pp $731 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1125 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,750 | $2.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 11d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2509 Christian St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,699 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,175 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 662 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,700 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 834 N Stricker St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 910 N Arlington Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,850 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1914 Mosher St Unit 1914 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,050 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-04pricedays on market $155,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $219,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-03-09$219,900 Active 1172-char remark
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2025-08-29soldstatus $44,000 Closed 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 6/26/2025 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/30/2025 @ 11:40 AM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. Two-story townhome located in the Mount Clare neighborhood. Within +/- 1 mile of Carroll Park and Westside Shopping Center. Nearest major traffic arteries include S Monroe St and Wilkens Ave. Vacant and in need of renovation.
-
2025-07-01status Pending 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 6/26/2025 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/30/2025 @ 11:40 AM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. Two-story townhome located in the Mount Clare neighborhood. Within +/- 1 mile of Carroll Park and Westside Shopping Center. Nearest major traffic arteries include S Monroe St and Wilkens Ave. Vacant and in need of renovation.
-
2025-06-11$15,000 Active 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 6/26/2025 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/30/2025 @ 11:40 AM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. Two-story townhome located in the Mount Clare neighborhood. Within +/- 1 mile of Carroll Park and Westside Shopping Center. Nearest major traffic arteries include S Monroe St and Wilkens Ave. Vacant and in need of renovation.
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2011-08-09historical Withdrawn
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2011-08-09historical
-
2011-06-20price
-
2011-05-09Active
-
2011-05-08$30,000
-
2005-12-08soldstatus $196,000
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2000-09-24soldstatus $52,000
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2000-08-01historical
-
2000-07-03$9,800
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1998-08-05historical
-
1998-05-23
-
1990-07-05soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $728 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,209 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$481/yr (+$40/mo · 66.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$728
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,126
- − Management
- −$2,126
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $7,632
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,832
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+545.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $44,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-11 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-08-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2011-08-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-06-20 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2011-05-09 Listed — MRIS
- 2011-05-08 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $196,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-24 Sold (MLS) $52,000 MRIS
- 2000-08-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-07-03 Listed $9,800 MRIS
- 1998-08-05 Delisted — MRIS
- 1998-05-23 Listed — MRIS
- 1990-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $728 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…