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1008 S Madison St
D Composite 44.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

1008 S Madison St · Marion, IL 62959
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,587 sqft · Other · 11 Days on market
Built 1920 0.36 ac lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unique, 1-1/2 story home setting on 2 lots, (1 corner), has the possibility of 6 bedrooms, new roof in 2004, gas forced air unit new in 2008, along with newer hot water heater, attached garage, and much more.

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Built before 1978
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot (approximately 109.4 x 141.7); Lot between 0.25 and 0.49 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (Master Bedroom on main level; other bedrooms on main and second levels)
  • Flooring: Carpet and hardwood in bedrooms; mixed/other flooring in main living areas
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $898 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 44.4% vs local median 4.0% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#896 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Marion CUSD 2 (urban): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #317 of 620 in IL (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Marion High School (math 14% / reading 18%, grade F, #457 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 1,159 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.90%
Cap rate
44.42%
Cash-on-cash
136.18%
DSCR
7.06
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.16×
Total profit
$60,134
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.23×
Total profit
$161,550
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62959

Rents YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,469 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$38 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$898

Break-even live

Break-even rent $333
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 895-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    status Temporarily No Showings 895-char remark
  3. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 895-char remark
  4. 2026-04-25
    listed $30,000 Active 895-char remark
  5. 2024-01-04
    soldstatus $50,000
  6. 2010-07-23
    soldstatus $32,000 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Unique, 1-1/2 story home setting on 2 lots, (1 corner), has the possibility of 6 bedrooms, new roof in 2004, gas forced air unit new in 2008, along with newer hot water heater, attached garage, and much more.

  7. 2010-07-23
    soldstatus $32,000 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Unique, 1-1/2 story home setting on 2 lots, (1 corner), has the possibility of 6 bedrooms, new roof in 2004, gas forced air unit new in 2008, along with newer hot water heater, attached garage, and much more.

  8. 2009-03-26
    listed $39,900 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Unique, 1-1/2 story home setting on 2 lots, (1 corner), has the possibility of 6 bedrooms, new roof in 2004, gas forced air unit new in 2008, along with newer hot water heater, attached garage, and much more.

  9. 2009-03-26
    listed $39,900 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Unique, 1-1/2 story home setting on 2 lots, (1 corner), has the possibility of 6 bedrooms, new roof in 2004, gas forced air unit new in 2008, along with newer hot water heater, attached garage, and much more.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,629
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$816
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$10,989
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,637
After-tax cash flow
$8,135/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion CUSD 2
NCES district ID
1724600
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,221
Composite
22.07/100
National rank
#8189
State rank
#317 of 620 in IL

Livability — Marion

Score
61/100
State rank
#896
US rank
#17434

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, IL
County
Williamson County · 38,451 people
City population
27,793
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
27,793
Household income
$71,063
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
763.0

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,553 people
By 2030
70,090 · +0.8%
By 2040
70,345 · +1.1%
By 2050
69,394 · -0.2%
By 2075
63,590 · -8.6%
By 2100
51,154 · -26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.0pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -38.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.8 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.41%
Current HPI
137.5955
Rent YoY
▲ 8.40%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2010-07-23 Sold (MLS) $32,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-23 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-26 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-26 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,731 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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