8182 Mobile Hwy · Gonzalez, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This move-in ready home boasts numerous recent upgrades, including a brand-new 2025 roof, new hot water heater, new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, and elegant new crown molding. The spacious master suite features a large walk-in closet and a large master bathroom with both a shower and relaxing jet tub. Offering 1,836 sq ft of living space on 1.3 acres, this property is perfectly located in the highly sought-after Beulah area — just minutes from I-10 and within walking distance to Beulah Regional Park. Outdoor storage is a major bonus with a massive 29x20 pole barn (perfect for RV storage), a 19x19 two-car shed, and a 19x19 carport.
Key facts
- Jet tub
- Walk-in closet
- New crown molding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 1.31 acres; Building area reported as 1,836 (units not listed per instructions)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 4 total parking spaces; 2-car garage (attached); 2-car carport; RV access/parking
- Utilities: Copper wiring for electric; Septic tank
- Home design: Mobile/Manufactured home; One story; Off-grade foundation; Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Off-grade foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Paved road access; County maintained road; Does not allow horses; Ridge vent for ventilation
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen; New sink; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on first level; Additional bedrooms on first level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; New vanity in bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Updated bathrooms; Updated kitchen; Living/dining combo; Carpet flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.2% in Gonzalez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#385 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.87%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-23,427
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $12,111
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32526
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 417
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,280 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9470 Lutoo Ln Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1774 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7540 Oak Lake Blvd Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,085 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7805 Lakeside Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,400 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7416 Oak Lake Blvd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1979 | $2,145 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9845 Beulah Rd Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2016 | $2,000 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5251 W Nine Mile Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $2,494 | $2.42 | 13d | 45 | 1.20mi |
| 7068 Whitetail Run Dr Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $255,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $255,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $255,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $255,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $255,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $255,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $255,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $255,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 643-char remark
-
2026-06-02$255,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,528 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,116 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$588/yr (+$49/mo · 38.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$1,528
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,189
- − Management
- −$2,189
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$1,523
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$365
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gonzalez
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #385
- US rank
- #6813
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,680
- Household income
- $75,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.68%
- Current HPI
- 252.6406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $255,000 PARMLS
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,528 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…