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120 Overland Trl
F Composite 32.14
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$169,000

120 Overland Trl · Norwood, NC 27306
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 420 sqft · Manufactured public records · 43 Days on market
Built 2007 2,178 sqft lot Est $134k · 27% over $43/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This beautiful Park Model home is located directly across from the community pool in Twin Harbor Camping Resort. An enormous screened porch spans the entire home. This would make a great sleeping porch along with additional gathering space for entertaining. All furnishings are included. Behind the home is a large outbuilding that is currently being used for storage for the golf cart that is included in the sale as well. This move in ready Lake Tillery getaway is one of a kind. Make your appointment today to view this centrally located Twin Harbor beauty.

Key facts

  • Lake tillery getaway
  • Community pool
  • Park model home

Tags

PARK MODEL HOMECOMMUNITY POOLENORMOUS SCREENED PORCHLARGE OUTBUILDINGGOLF CART INCLUDEDLAKE TILLERY GETAWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Twin Harbor Camping Resort
  • HOA & community: Part of a homeowners association; Annual association fee of $520; Community amenities include boat dock, gated entry, playground, sport court, and pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel off-street parking
  • Utilities: Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Residential); One story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; See remarks for additional construction and foundation details
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; No fencing; Composition roof; Paved road access; Private road frontage; Has a view

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating with heat pump
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Furnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-770/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (6.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (26.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.9% in Norwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#410 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Montgomery County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #143 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mount Gilead Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 213 students, 87% FRL); West Middle (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 309 students, 72% FRL); Montgomery Central High (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #387 of 535 statewide, top 73%, 893 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 138 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $169k implies a 1107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $124,477 (26.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.63%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,560
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
152 Hollywood Cir 0.06mi 1/1.0 408 (-3%) 11mo $50,000 $123 83
200 Lake Tillery Trl 0.07mi 1/1.0 400 (-5%) 22mo $127,000 $318 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-16,395
Equity at exit
$41,297
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-5,509
Equity at exit
$43,794

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27306

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,245 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $574/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$43
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$-64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,326
Max offer price $157,664
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$43 · $516/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2025-11-24
    historical
  18. 2025-05-24
    listed $188,900 Active
  19. 2025-05-24
    listed $169,000 Active
  20. 2007-02-02
    soldstatus $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$574 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,386 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$811/yr (+$68/mo · 141.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,937
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$574
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,195
− Management
−$1,195
− HOA
−$516
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable loss
−$3,771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$905
After-tax cash flow
$135/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Schools
NCES district ID
3703060
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$34,706
Composite
25.97/100
National rank
#7328
State rank
#143 of 178 in NC

Livability — Norwood

Score
63/100
State rank
#410
US rank
#15485

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,457

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,533 people
By 2030
25,724 · -3.0%
By 2040
23,842 · -10.1%
By 2050
22,077 · -16.8%
By 2075
18,754 · -29.3%
By 2100
15,537 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 5% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.8% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -11.0pp · 2024: -37.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.8 2020: R+31.8 2016: R+25.9 2012: R+15.2 2008: R+11.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.94%
Current HPI
334.2599
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1107.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-24 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-24 Listed $169,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-24 Listed $188,900 Hive MLS
  • 2007-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2021): $574 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…