Multi-family
15 Truman St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$525,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
Key facts
- Easy access to i-95
- Easy access to i-91
- Private yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 9-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $525k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $525k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,638/mo this rent would consume 161% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1321% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $55k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$89k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $390k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.49%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $464,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Truman St | 0.00mi | 9/3.0 | 3,630 (0%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $138 | 100 |
| 57 Stevens St | 0.59mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 3,652 (+1%) | 7mo | $550,000 | $151 | 57 |
| 8 Hurlburt St | 0.31mi | 9/3.0 | 3,314 (-9%) | 18mo | $400,000 | $121 | 56 |
| 124 Minor St | 0.42mi | 9/3.0 | 3,894 (+7%) | 16mo | $400,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 556 Howard Ave | 0.28mi | 9/3.0 | 3,276 (-10%) | 19mo | $419,900 | $128 | 55 |
| 51 Salem St | 0.39mi | 10/3.5 (+1) | 3,940 (+8%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $127 | 54 |
| 56 Dewitt St | 0.30mi | 9/3.0 | 4,032 (+11%) | 17mo | $475,000 | $118 | 53 |
| 34 Cassius St | 0.45mi | 8/2.5 (-1) | 3,744 (+3%) | 17mo | $400,000 | $107 | 53 |
| 37 Cassius St | 0.43mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,249 (-10%) | 13mo | $420,000 | $129 | 47 |
| 28 Cassius St | 0.46mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,292 (-9%) | 16mo | $417,050 | $127 | 45 |
| 55 Elliott St | 0.60mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,413 (-6%) | 18mo | $475,000 | $139 | 42 |
| 248 - 250 Howard Ave | 0.65mi | 10/5.0 (+1) | 3,857 (+6%) | 11mo | $565,000 | $146 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.81% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $386,416
- Equity at exit
- $465,685
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.19×
- Total profit
- $1,057,660
- Equity at exit
- $996,621
Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06519
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 19.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,638 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,753
- Tax from tax record
- −$620 /mo · $7,437/yr
- Insurance
- −$219
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,394
- Net cashflow
- $1,652
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $6,639 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,213 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,213 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $2,213 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,638 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $131,250
- Closing costs
- $15,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-21status Under Contract
-
2026-04-15$525,000 Active
-
2023-11-06soldstatus $390,000 Closed 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
-
2023-09-06status Under Contract 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
-
2023-08-28historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
-
2023-08-24status Active 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
-
2023-05-24status Under Contract 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
-
2023-05-22historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
-
2023-05-16$390,000 Active 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Incredible opportunity for an owner-occupied buyer or Investor. This 3 unit asset is located in the historical Hill neighborhood of New Haven. All 3 units contain 3 bedrooms/1 bathroom and are 1,210 SF. Unit 1 rents for $1,180, Unit 2 rents for $1,095 and Unit 3 is ready for occupancy. Both units are Month to Month. Rents of similar units are upwards of $1450/month. The tenants pay utilities. This asset features newly installed windows, off street parking & a fenced in backyard. AGENTS PLEASE READ AGENT to AGENT REMARKS!
-
2012-05-31soldstatus $82,000
-
2012-05-24soldstatus $82,000 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
Three family featuring all 3br units. Motivated seller wants offers! Can also be purchased as a pkg with 11 & 45 truman
-
2011-10-13$134,900 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
Three family featuring all 3br units. Motivated seller wants offers! Can also be purchased as a pkg with 11 & 45 truman
-
2008-11-20soldstatus $80,000
-
2008-09-15$84,900
-
2005-02-10soldstatus $85,000
-
2004-12-23soldstatus $39,900
-
1999-09-21soldstatus $132,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,437 · $620/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,336 · $778/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,899/yr (+$158/mo · 25.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $79,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,408
- − Property taxes
- −$7,437
- − Insurance
- −$2,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,372
- − Management
- −$6,372
- − Depreciation
- −$15,273
- Taxable income
- $12,168
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,920
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $49,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1321.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 26% White 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.81%
- Current HPI
- 377.4885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+297.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $525,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-11-06 Sold (MLS) $390,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-09-06 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2023-08-28 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2023-08-24 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2023-05-24 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2023-05-22 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2023-05-16 Listed $390,000 Smart MLS
- 2012-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 2012-05-24 Sold (MLS) $82,000 Smart MLS
- 2011-10-13 Listed $134,900 Smart MLS
- 2008-11-20 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Smart MLS
- 2008-09-15 Listed $84,900 Smart MLS
- 2005-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
- 1999-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2023): $7,437 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…