369 Skyline Dr · Toccoa, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- New hvac
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential single-family; Lot size approximately 0.5 acre (21,780 sq ft); Listing terms include Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA, and VA loans
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad providing two open parking spaces; Parking at kitchen level
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; 220-volt electric service; Cable, high-speed internet, phone, and natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story; Resale property
- Construction: Built in 1960; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Double-pane windows
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Back yard with chain link fencing; Level lot; Has a view; Outbuilding on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp and an accessible full bath; One-level living; Dining room and living room combined; Country-style kitchen with pantry; Great room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-398 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (35.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (44.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (44.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#131 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Stephens County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #74 of 174 in GA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Big A Elementary School (436 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 51% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 52 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Stephens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.56%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 15.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,206
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369 Skyline Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,071 (0%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $205 | 95 |
| 926 Skyline Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+3%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $191 | 69 |
| 704 Skyline Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+4%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $202 | 69 |
| 74 Briarwood Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+3%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $195 | 66 |
| 286 Hilltop Way | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,145 (+7%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $153 | 61 |
| 232 Hilltop Ln | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,134 (+6%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $163 | 58 |
| 253 Stancil Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,184 (+11%) | 0mo | $203,900 | $172 | 57 |
| 158 Poplar St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,105 (+3%) | 13mo | $182,000 | $165 | 57 |
| 1055 Skyline Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+12%) | 2mo | $226,500 | $189 | 48 |
| 226 Poplar St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,189 (+11%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $156 | 46 |
| 372 Hilltop Way | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,225 (+14%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $153 | 45 |
| 189 Julia Ln | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+12%) | 4mo | $223,000 | $186 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $35,096
- Equity at exit
- $128,308
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $122,213
- Equity at exit
- $235,500
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30577
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 15.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,105 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,731/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $-398
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-285 | -5% $-341 | +0% $-398 | +5% $-454 | +10% $-510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-485 | -5% $-441 | +0% $-398 | +5% $-354 | +10% $-310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-297 | -0.5pp $-347 | base $-398 | +0.5pp $-449 | +1.0pp $-502 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Andrews Ct Unit 103 Toccoa, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $895 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 37 Andrews Ct Unit 103 Toccoa, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $795 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 16 Andrews Ct Unit 101 Toccoa, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $950 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 115 Forest Ave Toccoa, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-11$199,000 New
-
2023-12-08soldstatus $165,000 Sold 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
-
2023-11-06historical Active Under Contract 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
-
2023-10-25status Back On Market 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
-
2023-10-17status Under Contract 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
-
2023-10-12status Back On Market 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
-
2023-10-06status Under Contract 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
-
2023-10-04$160,000 New 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Charming 1960's ranch style home features 3 Bedrooms and 1 Bath. Living room and hallway have laminate floor covering. Being within 1/2 mile from HWY 17A/Big A Road you have the convenience of shopping and restaurants. This property also features a wired storage building, metal roof and a fenced back yard for great entertaining, children and pets.
-
2014-12-10historical
-
2014-06-09$69,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,731 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,831 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$100/yr (+$8/mo · 5.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,261
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,731
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,061
- − Management
- −$1,061
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$8,522
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,045
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stephens County
- NCES district ID
- 1304560
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,416
- Composite
- 28.42/100
- National rank
- #6759
- State rank
- #74 of 174 in GA
Livability — Toccoa
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #9152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toccoa, GA
- County
- Stephens County · 22,964 people
- City population
- 22,964
- Metro
- Toccoa, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,964
- Household income
- $53,818
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,797 people
- By 2030
- 22,785 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 20,653 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 18,745 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 14,780 · -37.9%
- By 2100
- 11,079 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephens
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.4% · R 81.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.7 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Current HPI
- 320.5275
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toccoa, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+186.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $199,000 GAMLS
- 2023-12-08 Sold (MLS) $165,000 GAMLS
- 2023-11-06 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2023-10-25 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2023-10-17 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-10-12 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2023-10-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-10-04 Listed $160,000 GAMLS
- 2014-12-10 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2014-06-09 Listed $69,500 GAMLS
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,731 · +43.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…