129 Beech St · Cottonport, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$124,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Escape to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home, perfectly situated just a short walk from the bayou in picturesque Cottonport, Louisiana. The expansive deck and covered patio areas provide ample space to take in the serene surroundings, while the fully fenced-in backyard ensures safety and privacy. Two large storage sheds offer plenty of extra space and storage. The quarter-acre lot boasts a fully fenced in back yard and a mature oak tree shading the front yard. Inside, the spacious bedrooms provide plenty of room for family and guests. The large living room is great for gathering, featuring a working gas fireplace that's sure to become the heart of the home. Appliances stay with the ho
Key facts
- Large storage sheds
- Covered patio
- Mature oak tree
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard (other type); Workshop / outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2; Gas log fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (8.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#272 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cottonport Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 646 statewide, top 88%, 318 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 12% at this address vs 26% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Avoyelles Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $125k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.06%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $20,139
- Equity at exit
- $51,661
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $63,921
- Equity at exit
- $76,249
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71327
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $547/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,999 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $124,999 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,999 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,999 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $124,999 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $124,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,999 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $124,999 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $124,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,999 Active 90 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $124,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $124,999
-
2026-03-30price $139,999
-
2026-03-02$150,000 Active
-
2005-04-26soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $547 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $687 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$141/yr (+$12/mo · 25.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,683
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$547
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,095
- − Management
- −$1,095
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$316
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$76
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avoyelles Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200150
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,891
- Composite
- 21.32/100
- National rank
- #8378
- State rank
- #56 of 98 in LA
Livability — Cottonport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #19797
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cottonport, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,100
Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,084 people
- By 2030
- 37,784 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 35,049 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 32,225 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 25,695 · -34.3%
- By 2100
- 18,985 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Current HPI
- 92.0693
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+119.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $124,999 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $139,999 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $547 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…