884 Dogwood Ter · Pigeon Creek, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A full general home, septic, and well inspection, along with a third-party appraisal have been completed and are available upon request. The listing price is a starting price. Offers are due by 8 pm on June 23. The seller reserves the right to accept an offer before the deadline. Nestled on a secluded, wooded 0.53-acre lot in Bluebird Lake & located within the highly rated Copley-Fairlawn School District, this mid-century modern gem offers exceptional space, character, & versatility! Designed for entertaining, the open floor plan welcomes you w/ a skylit foyer that leads into a dramatic living room featuring soaring ceilings, wall of windows, & striking stone accent wall. Th
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Dramatic living room
- Soaring ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community features include fishing, lake access, and a playground
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Driveway parking; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Wood-sided construction; 2 main stories (3 total levels reported); Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built year per public records; Wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Finished basement
- Exterior features: Lot just over half an acre; Community access to fishing, a lake, and a playground
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms present (room-level details not provided)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Finished basement; Fireplace in the family room; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer location not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $287k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.3% in Pigeon Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#522 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Copley-Fairlawn City (suburban): math 77% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #58 of 656 in OH (top 9%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,114 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Summit County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.95%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $415,912
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 944 Wallwood Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 2,032 (-4%) | 0mo | $375,000 | $185 | 85 |
| 4401 Conestoga Trl | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,076 (-2%) | 9mo | $420,000 | $202 | 59 |
| 4512 Conestoga Trl | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,898 (-11%) | 12mo | $330,000 | $174 | 54 |
| 941 S Hametown Rd | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,016 (-5%) | 4mo | $397,000 | $197 | 52 |
| 4388 Wedgewood Dr | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,196 (+4%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $173 | 50 |
| 892 Clearwood Rd | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,208 (+4%) | 5mo | $415,000 | $188 | 50 |
| 5116 Shillings Way | 0.57mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,184 (+3%) | 9mo | $420,000 | $192 | 48 |
| 649 S Medina Line Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,972 (-7%) | 5mo | $500,000 | $254 | 47 |
| 813 Bridlewood Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,932 (-9%) | 7mo | $390,000 | $202 | 43 |
| 4366 Ridgewood Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,824 (-14%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $175 | 41 |
| 5205 Fairington Ave | 0.42mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,417 (+14%) | 7mo | $490,000 | $203 | 38 |
| 4395 Wedgewood Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,425 (+14%) | 1mo | $476,250 | $196 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-35,443
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-13,811
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44321
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,866 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$360 /mo · $4,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$602
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $376 | -5% $291 | +0% $206 | +5% $121 | +10% $36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-20 | -5% $93 | +0% $206 | +5% $319 | +10% $433 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $357 | -0.5pp $283 | base $206 | +0.5pp $129 | +1.0pp $49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4582 Devereux Dr Copley, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2753 | $3,000 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4509 Millbrook Way Copley, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2550 | $3,200 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 167 Creekledge Ln Copley, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,600 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-17$300,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,316 · $360/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,498 · $375/mo
- Expected delta
- +$182/yr (+$15/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$4,316
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,751
- − Management
- −$2,751
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$2,459
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,065/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Copley-Fairlawn City
- NCES district ID
- 3904998
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,228
- Composite
- 67.55/100
- National rank
- #370
- State rank
- #58 of 656 in OH
Livability — Pigeon Creek
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #522
- US rank
- #8886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pigeon Creek, OH
- County
- Summit County · 440,783 people
- Metro
- Akron, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,878
- Household income
- $119,178
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (Summit County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,583 people
- By 2030
- 544,028 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 531,363 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 514,923 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 481,765 · -11.9%
- By 2100
- 432,265 · -20.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Summit
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 53.0% · R 46.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+9.6 2016: D+8.2 2012: D+14.8 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.90%
- Current HPI
- 195.821
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Akron, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $300,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-06-16 Listed $300,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-06-12 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2026-06-12 Listed $350,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,316 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…