2204 W Highway 96 · Mansfield, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property offers a wide range of possibilities, whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a private retreat. The acreage provides ample space, mature trees, and room for future expansion such as outbuildings, gardens, or livestock. With plenty of usable land and the opportunity to customize the property to your needs, this is a great fit for anyone seeking a project with long-term potential. If you're looking for a place where you can put in some work, build equity, and make something uniquely your own, this property deserves a look!
Key facts
- Over 11 acres
- Private retreat
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (0.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#255 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mansfield School District (rural): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #110 of 238 in AR (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $115k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.23%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,869
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -58.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $41,248
- Equity at exit
- $73,140
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $115,492
- Equity at exit
- $133,371
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72944
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $115,000 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
This property offers a wide range of possibilities, whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a private retreat. The acreage provides ample space, mature trees, and room for future expansion such as outbuildings, gardens, or livestock. With plenty of usable land and the opportunity to customize the property to your needs, this is a great fit for anyone seeking a project with long-term potential. If you're looking for a place where you can put in some work, build equity, and make something uniquely your own, this property deserves a look!
-
2026-02-21price $125,000 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
This property offers a wide range of possibilities, whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a private retreat. The acreage provides ample space, mature trees, and room for future expansion such as outbuildings, gardens, or livestock. With plenty of usable land and the opportunity to customize the property to your needs, this is a great fit for anyone seeking a project with long-term potential. If you're looking for a place where you can put in some work, build equity, and make something uniquely your own, this property deserves a look!
-
2025-12-24price $130,000 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
This property offers a wide range of possibilities, whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a private retreat. The acreage provides ample space, mature trees, and room for future expansion such as outbuildings, gardens, or livestock. With plenty of usable land and the opportunity to customize the property to your needs, this is a great fit for anyone seeking a project with long-term potential. If you're looking for a place where you can put in some work, build equity, and make something uniquely your own, this property deserves a look!
-
2025-11-28price $135,000 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
This property offers a wide range of possibilities, whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a private retreat. The acreage provides ample space, mature trees, and room for future expansion such as outbuildings, gardens, or livestock. With plenty of usable land and the opportunity to customize the property to your needs, this is a great fit for anyone seeking a project with long-term potential. If you're looking for a place where you can put in some work, build equity, and make something uniquely your own, this property deserves a look!
-
2025-11-17$180,000 Active 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
This property offers a wide range of possibilities, whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create a private retreat. The acreage provides ample space, mature trees, and room for future expansion such as outbuildings, gardens, or livestock. With plenty of usable land and the opportunity to customize the property to your needs, this is a great fit for anyone seeking a project with long-term potential. If you're looking for a place where you can put in some work, build equity, and make something uniquely your own, this property deserves a look!
-
2000-07-10soldstatus $59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,797
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$498
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$119
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509330
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,056
- Composite
- 30.41/100
- National rank
- #6245
- State rank
- #110 of 238 in AR
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #18362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,669
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.12%
- Current HPI
- 273.7329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+94.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $115,000 WRVBOR
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $125,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $130,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $135,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-11-17 Listed $180,000 WRVBOR
- 2000-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $176 · -26.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…