725 W Thornton Ave, Hemet, CA 92543 Ave #11 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come experience this beautiful, brand-new home, featuring a bright and inviting open-concept floor plan with 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms. The kitchen boasts brand-new, top-of-the-line appliances, while the large primary bathroom offers a luxurious retreat. With abundant storage throughout, this home combines modern convenience with functional design. Perfectly positioned in the vibrant 55+ community of London Spires, this home offers easy access to the community center, complete with a sparkling swimming pool, dog park, and recreation center—ideal for relaxation and socializing with neighbors. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home yours. Schedule your tour today and discover the perfect place to live! The home is on a leased park lot with a space rent of $730 per month.
Key facts
- Dog park
- Community center
- Swimming pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $679 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,996/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 408 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 408 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.41%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,416
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 16.59%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725 W Thornton Ave #109 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $23,900 | $17 | 97 |
| 601 Bermuda | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $208 | 88 |
| 1117 San Marcos Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $174 | 69 |
| 1631 Bella Vis | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $147,115 | $102 | 66 |
| 970 Vista Grande | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+3%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $128 | 64 |
| 1387 Bishop | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 5mo | $176,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 1116 Santa Maria | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-5%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 944 S Elk | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-5%) | 3mo | $71,000 | $52 | 56 |
| 1536 S State St #219 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 930 S Santa Victoria | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,356 (-6%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $103 | 50 |
| 1020 Tierra Linda | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,640 (+14%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $110 | 49 |
| 1470 San Marcos | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,600 (+11%) | 4mo | $221,000 | $138 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $19,778
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $63,200
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,996 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $679
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 E Thornton Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,912 | $1.97 | 2d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 1025 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,320 | $2.61 | 1d | 8 | 0.46mi |
| 1005 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,825 | $1.87 | 24d | 2 | 0.53mi |
| 390 Magnolia Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $2,400 | $2.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 640 Vista del Monte Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,650 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 678 Monterey Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,995 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 735 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 853 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 716 Robert Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,300 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 860 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 120 Santa Lucia Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $2,150 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 101 San Mateo Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,725 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 700 Johnston Ave Unit 708 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1955 Silver Oak Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1241 Sandlewood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1504 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 424 W Mayberry Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $850 | $0.51 | 7d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 415 S Tahquitz Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 733 S San Jacinto St Unit B Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,561 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1354 Jasmine Way Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1287 Olive Tree Ln Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,599 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1287 Olive Tree Ln Unit C Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 26450 San Jacinto St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,295 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 26416 S San Jacinto St Unit 26416 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,675 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2971 Peach Tree St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1834 | $2,395 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,448 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $129,900 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Come experience this beautiful, brand-new home, featuring a bright and inviting open-concept floor plan with 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms. The kitchen boasts brand-new, top-of-the-line appliances, while the large primary bathroom offers a luxurious retreat. With abundant storage throughout, this home combines modern convenience with functional design. Perfectly positioned in the vibrant 55+ community of London Spires, this home offers easy access to the community center, complete with a sparkling swimming pool, dog park, and recreation center—ideal for relaxation and socializing with neighbors. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home yours. Schedule your tour today and discover the perfect place to live! The home is on a leased park lot with a space rent of $730 per month.
-
2025-09-12price $134,900 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Come experience this beautiful, brand-new home, featuring a bright and inviting open-concept floor plan with 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms. The kitchen boasts brand-new, top-of-the-line appliances, while the large primary bathroom offers a luxurious retreat. With abundant storage throughout, this home combines modern convenience with functional design. Perfectly positioned in the vibrant 55+ community of London Spires, this home offers easy access to the community center, complete with a sparkling swimming pool, dog park, and recreation center—ideal for relaxation and socializing with neighbors. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home yours. Schedule your tour today and discover the perfect place to live! The home is on a leased park lot with a space rent of $730 per month.
-
2025-05-07price $163,900 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Come experience this beautiful, brand-new home, featuring a bright and inviting open-concept floor plan with 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms. The kitchen boasts brand-new, top-of-the-line appliances, while the large primary bathroom offers a luxurious retreat. With abundant storage throughout, this home combines modern convenience with functional design. Perfectly positioned in the vibrant 55+ community of London Spires, this home offers easy access to the community center, complete with a sparkling swimming pool, dog park, and recreation center—ideal for relaxation and socializing with neighbors. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home yours. Schedule your tour today and discover the perfect place to live! The home is on a leased park lot with a space rent of $730 per month.
-
2025-05-06$169,900 Active 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Come experience this beautiful, brand-new home, featuring a bright and inviting open-concept floor plan with 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms. The kitchen boasts brand-new, top-of-the-line appliances, while the large primary bathroom offers a luxurious retreat. With abundant storage throughout, this home combines modern convenience with functional design. Perfectly positioned in the vibrant 55+ community of London Spires, this home offers easy access to the community center, complete with a sparkling swimming pool, dog park, and recreation center—ideal for relaxation and socializing with neighbors. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home yours. Schedule your tour today and discover the perfect place to live! The home is on a leased park lot with a space rent of $730 per month.
-
2010-01-05historical
-
2009-09-19$23,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,953
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,916
- − Management
- −$1,916
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $6,467
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,552
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+464.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $129,900 SDMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $134,900 SDMLS
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $163,900 SDMLS
- 2025-05-06 Listed $169,900 SDMLS
- 2010-01-05 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-09-19 Listed $23,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2012): $110 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…