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12351 Salisbury Rd
C+ Composite 60.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

12351 Salisbury Rd · Gulfport, MS 39503
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 192 Days on market
Built 1984 0.29 ac lot $127/sqft · 194% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully renovated mobile home, perfectly situated in the heart of Gulfport! This 2-bedroom, 2 bath home boasts modern upgrades and a cozy, inviting atmosphere. The spacious front porch is the ideal spot to enjoy your morning coffee or relax in the evening breeze. Conveniently located just minutes from Highway 49, you'll have quick access to everything Gulfport has to offer—shopping, dining, entertainment, and the beach! Whether you're looking for a starter home, downsizing, or an investment property, this move-in-ready gem is a must-see! Brand new HVCA system, cabinets, flooring and fresh touch of paint. Don't miss out on this perfect blend of comfort, style, and location!

Key facts

  • Move-in-ready gem
  • Spacious front porch
  • 0.29 acre lot

Tags

RENOVATED MOBILE HOMESPACIOUS FRONT PORCHQUICK ACCESS TO HIGHWAY 49BRAND NEW HVCA SYSTEMMOVE-IN-READY GEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.35%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,521
List price
$124,900
Delta
193.74%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,351
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$47,758
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
763
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,270 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $284/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $925
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $343 -5% $308 +0% $272 +5% $237 +10% $202
Rent -10% $172 -5% $222 +0% $272 +5% $323 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $335 -0.5pp $304 base $272 +0.5pp $240 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15373 Saint Charles St Gulfport, MS 3.0 1.0–3.0 1075 $1,182 $1.10 44d 2 1.19mi
15235 Oneal Rd Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.0 1101 $1,200 $1.09 14d 1 1.40mi
15235 Oneal Rd Gulfport, MS 1.0 1.0 873 $1,050 $1.20 44d 1 1.40mi
15235 Oneal Rd Gulfport, MS 1.0 1.0 873 $1,050 $1.20 21d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-02-04
    price $124,900 707-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully renovated mobile home, perfectly situated in the heart of Gulfport! This 2-bedroom, 2 bath home boasts modern upgrades and a cozy, inviting atmosphere. The spacious front porch is the ideal spot to enjoy your morning coffee or relax in the evening breeze. Conveniently located just minutes from Highway 49, you'll have quick access to everything Gulfport has to offer—shopping, dining, entertainment, and the beach! Whether you're looking for a starter home, downsizing, or an investment property, this move-in-ready gem is a must-see! Brand new HVCA system, cabinets, flooring and fresh touch of paint. Don't miss out on this perfect blend of comfort, style, and location!

  4. 2026-01-13
    price $129,900 707-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully renovated mobile home, perfectly situated in the heart of Gulfport! This 2-bedroom, 2 bath home boasts modern upgrades and a cozy, inviting atmosphere. The spacious front porch is the ideal spot to enjoy your morning coffee or relax in the evening breeze. Conveniently located just minutes from Highway 49, you'll have quick access to everything Gulfport has to offer—shopping, dining, entertainment, and the beach! Whether you're looking for a starter home, downsizing, or an investment property, this move-in-ready gem is a must-see! Brand new HVCA system, cabinets, flooring and fresh touch of paint. Don't miss out on this perfect blend of comfort, style, and location!

  5. 2025-11-20
    listed $139,900 Active 707-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully renovated mobile home, perfectly situated in the heart of Gulfport! This 2-bedroom, 2 bath home boasts modern upgrades and a cozy, inviting atmosphere. The spacious front porch is the ideal spot to enjoy your morning coffee or relax in the evening breeze. Conveniently located just minutes from Highway 49, you'll have quick access to everything Gulfport has to offer—shopping, dining, entertainment, and the beach! Whether you're looking for a starter home, downsizing, or an investment property, this move-in-ready gem is a must-see! Brand new HVCA system, cabinets, flooring and fresh touch of paint. Don't miss out on this perfect blend of comfort, style, and location!

  6. 2024-10-30
    historical
  7. 2024-10-09
    listed $139,900 Active
  8. 2023-09-25
    soldstatus
  9. 2023-09-05
    soldstatus Closed
  10. 2023-08-20
    status Pending
  11. 2023-08-20
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$284 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$987 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$703/yr (+$59/mo · 247.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,237
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$284
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,219
− Management
−$1,219
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$1,261
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$303
After-tax cash flow
$2,966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+177.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $124,900 MLSU
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $129,900 MLSU
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $139,900 MLSU
  • 2024-10-30 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-10-09 Listed $139,900 MLSU
  • 2023-09-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-09-05 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-08-20 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-08-20 Listed $45,000 MLSU

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $284 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…