255 W Prairie St · De Valls Bluff, AR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HUGE PRICE DROP - SELLER WANTS THIS ONE SOLD!! Now priced at only $99,900 - reduced from $115,000!! Located on a quiet, spacious corner lot, this 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath home offers 1710 square feet of potential! Built in 1971, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to put in a little TLC and make it their own. Spacious layout with plenty of room to update and add value! Conveniently located in the heart of De Valls Bluff with small-town charm and easy access to I-40 and the White River is minutes away! Home is being sold AS-IS!! Don't miss this great opportunity to turn this property into something special!
Key facts
- Easy access to i-40
- Corner lot
- Spacious layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 0.6 acre lot (about 26,005 sqft)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Well; Septic; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas; Satellite TV available
- Home design: Single-family dwelling
- Construction: Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Brick and metal/vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Paved road access; Corner, level to sloped lot; Property borders the White River; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Double oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator stays
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Carpet, wood, tile and laminate flooring; Unfinished additional space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#482 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Hazen School District (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #175 of 238 in AR (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Prairie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Prairie County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.31%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,036
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -0.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $24,382
- Equity at exit
- $44,919
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $69,556
- Equity at exit
- $69,226
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72041
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $228 | +0% $194 | +5% $159 | +10% $125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $105 | -5% $149 | +0% $194 | +5% $238 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $244 | -0.5pp $219 | base $194 | +0.5pp $168 | +1.0pp $141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $99,900 Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $99,900 641-char remark
-
2026-05-08$115,000 New Listing 641-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$187
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,136/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazen School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,251
- Composite
- 22.48/100
- National rank
- #8100
- State rank
- #175 of 238 in AR
Livability — De Valls Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #482
- US rank
- #25620
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- De Valls Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,228
Population outlook (Prairie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,361 people
- By 2030
- 6,839 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 5,852 · -20.5%
- By 2050
- 4,973 · -32.4%
- By 2075
- 3,567 · -51.5%
- By 2100
- 2,654 · -63.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 20% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prairie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.4% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.0pp toward R · 2008: -34.8pp · 2024: -65.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.7 2020: R+61.0 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+40.6 2008: R+34.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-13.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $115,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $44 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…