7339 Phillips St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1-story, 2bedroom, 1bath home in Highland Acre Homes ready for you. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 20740904, 25103302, 32779410, 32822403, 41976464, 49921589, 61829172, 61926388, 69519531, 72855195, 93291054, 2813307, 41322797, 26845286, 60423355
Key facts
- 5,035 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.17%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,918
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -18.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7331 Phillips St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (+7%) | 0mo | $97,000 | $114 | 87 |
| 7421 North Star St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 676 (-15%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $185 | 38 |
| 2409 Areba St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 906 (+14%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $149 | 30 |
| 2249 Wilburforce St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (+12%) | 22mo | $110,000 | $124 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $6,083
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $22,211
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77088
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,458/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1825 W Little York Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $880 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2432 W Little York Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1464 Ferguson Way Houston, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1010 Junell St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2602 Dalview St Unit B Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 929 Marjorie St Unit 1060806P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $3,091 | $2.87 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,188 | $1.22 | 21d | 9 | 1.16mi |
| 7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 2d | 8 | 1.16mi |
| 1200 W Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $1,050 | $1.12 | 2d | 12 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2025-11-15$95,000 Active 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
1-story, 2bedroom, 1bath home in Highland Acre Homes ready for you. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 20740904, 25103302, 32779410, 32822403, 41976464, 49921589, 61829172, 61926388, 69519531, 72855195, 93291054, 2813307, 41322797, 26845286, 60423355
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,458 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,458 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,458
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $3,596
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$863
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aldine ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807710
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,081
- Composite
- 15.42/100
- National rank
- #9317
- State rank
- #790 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,047
- Household income
- $54,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2294.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% Black 37% Two or more races 18% White 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 47% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.37%
- Current HPI
- 325.0499
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.01%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-15 Listed $95,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,458 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…