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4290 Rancho Montes Dr
C Composite 58.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

4290 Rancho Montes Dr · Diamond Springs, CA 95667
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 64 Days on market
Built 1982 5.02 ac lot Est $407k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape the noise without sacrificing convenience in this unique barndominium retreat in Placerville. Situated on 5 usable acres, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers the perfect blend of rural charm and functional living. Ideal for locals seeking space or buyers looking for a peaceful foothill getaway within a manageable drive. The property provides room to roam, garden, store equipment, or simply enjoy the privacy and natural surroundings that El Dorado County is known for. Whether you're envisioning a full-time residence, weekend escape, or investment opportunity, the versatility of this barndominium delivers. Located just a short drive from outdoor destinations including hiking, wineries,

Key facts

  • 5 usable acres
  • Foothill living
  • Outdoor destinations

Tags

5 USABLE ACRESOUTDOOR DESTINATIONSYEAR-ROUND ADVENTUREFOOTHILL LIVINGONE OF A KIND OPPORTUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system; 220 volt electric service; Internet available; Underground utilities; Irrigation: other
  • Home design: Single-family residence (custom); Fixer / original condition; Built in 1982; One story entry with two interior levels; Shingle and wood roof
  • Construction: Shingle and wood roofing; Built in 1982; Other structures: shed(s) and storage
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Garden areas; Other yard features; Shed(s) / storage structure(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry cabinet; Insulated water heater; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level); Loft on the upper level
  • Flooring: Concrete floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower stall and window; Accessible full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Fireplace; Wood stove; Ceiling fans; Wall cooling unit; Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Accessible doors; Accessible full bathroom; Accessible kitchen; Roof deck; Caulked/sealed windows; Concrete flooring; Living room with a view; Pantry cabinet; Two-level interior with a loft
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hook-ups specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.3% in Diamond Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,239 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Pioneer Union Elementary (rural): math 30% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #638 of 1,400 in CA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.5%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 437 units permitted in El Dorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Dorado County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $210k implies a 2233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $187,693 (10.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.06%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$407,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3431 Elderberry Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,134 (+3%) 2mo $420,000 $370 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-8,436
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$57,692
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95667

Rents YoY
12.5%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,877 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $555/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,563
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $367 -5% $307 +0% $248 +5% $188 +10% $129
Rent -10% $99 -5% $174 +0% $248 +5% $322 +10% $396
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $301 base $248 +0.5pp $193 +1.0pp $138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 45 DOM
  17. 1980-01-29
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$555 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,596 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$1,041/yr (+$87/mo · 187.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,523
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$555
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$134
After-tax cash flow
$3,107/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pioneer Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0630480
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$52,807
Composite
39.11/100
National rank
#8246
State rank
#638 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Diamond Springs

Score
47/100
State rank
#1239
US rank
#26264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
El Dorado County · 144,198 people
City population
6,362
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
36,830
Household income
$89,938
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
1147.0

Population outlook (El Dorado County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
191,666 people
By 2030
193,662 · +1.0%
By 2040
192,583 · +0.5%
By 2050
185,904 · -3.0%
By 2075
169,543 · -11.5%
By 2100
139,623 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · El Dorado

2024 margin
R (+12.0) · D 42.6% · R 54.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-1.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -12.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.0 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -480.50%
Current HPI
262.6014
Rent YoY
▲ 12.48%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 1980-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $555 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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