32 Hopkins Ter · Valley Falls, RI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
In over 40 years experience this is one of the most deceivingly charming homes I have seen. A wonderful not too open floor plan and closets and cubbies, nooks and crannies. The house just goes on and on. Four bedrooms, two and a half baths, sunroom, woodstove, dining room, eat in kitchen, semi finished basement w/ bulkhead, huge deck, two (yes 2) car garage. The quaint character of an older home updated for modern living. (Even has a brand new heating system (gas)). All of this overlooking the Blackstone River!! Definitely not a book to judge by it's cover.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1935
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Two covered garage spaces (2-car garage); Total of 6 parking spaces
- Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Two-story vinyl-sided home; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater (appliance noted)
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas baseboard heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement with interior and exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-366/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $355k (1.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $294k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.3% in Valley Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in RI, #4,293 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Cumberland (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #9 of 39 in RI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.36%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $454,046
- List price
- $360,000
- Delta
- -20.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Hewes St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,744 (-1%) | 3mo | $422,000 | $242 | 66 |
| 4 Meadowcrest Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (-7%) | 1mo | $477,700 | $290 | 54 |
| 6 Belmont Ter | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,716 (-3%) | 21mo | $410,000 | $239 | 54 |
| 20 Pleasant St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,756 (-1%) | 11mo | $450,000 | $256 | 49 |
| 20 E Barrows St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,026 (+15%) | 1mo | $478,000 | $236 | 46 |
| 18 Meadowcrest Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,615 (-9%) | 6mo | $490,000 | $303 | 46 |
| 464 High St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,525 (-14%) | 18mo | $399,900 | $262 | 38 |
| 45 E Earle St | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,686 (-5%) | 22mo | $589,000 | $349 | 38 |
| 53 Minerva Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,930 (+9%) | 12mo | $465,000 | $241 | 36 |
| 127 Mcgirr St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+14%) | 12mo | $415,000 | $206 | 36 |
| 37 A Union St | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,560 (-12%) | 9mo | $547,000 | $351 | 31 |
| 12 Redwood Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,029 (+15%) | 22mo | $480,000 | $237 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-68,938
- Equity at exit
- $53,677
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-96,012
- Equity at exit
- $31,126
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02864
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,943 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$318 /mo · $3,811/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$618
- Net cashflow
- $-30
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 Mendon Rd Unit 1 Attleboro, MA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,979 | $2.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 515 Mendon Rd Unit 2 Attleboro, MA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,950 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 417 Brown St #43 Attleboro, MA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2070 | $2,600 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 14 Courtland St Unit 2 Central Falls, RI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,850 | $1.49 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 408-char remark
-
2026-05-06$360,000 Active 408-char remark
-
2022-12-16soldstatus $380,000 Closed 564-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
In over 40 years experience this is one of the most deceivingly charming homes I have seen. A wonderful not too open floor plan and closets and cubbies, nooks and crannies. The house just goes on and on. Four bedrooms, two and a half baths, sunroom, woodstove, dining room, eat in kitchen, semi finished basement w/ bulkhead, huge deck, two (yes 2) car garage. The quaint character of an older home updated for modern living. (Even has a brand new heating system (gas)). All of this overlooking the Blackstone River!! Definitely not a book to judge by it's cover.
-
2022-12-16soldstatus $380,000
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
In over 40 years experience this is one of the most deceivingly charming homes I have seen. A wonderful not too open floor plan and closets and cubbies, nooks and crannies. The house just goes on and on. Four bedrooms, two and a half baths, sunroom, woodstove, dining room, eat in kitchen, semi finished basement w/ bulkhead, huge deck, two (yes 2) car garage. The quaint character of an older home updated for modern living. (Even has a brand new heating system (gas)). All of this overlooking the Blackstone River!! Definitely not a book to judge by it's cover.
-
2022-11-30status Pending 564-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
In over 40 years experience this is one of the most deceivingly charming homes I have seen. A wonderful not too open floor plan and closets and cubbies, nooks and crannies. The house just goes on and on. Four bedrooms, two and a half baths, sunroom, woodstove, dining room, eat in kitchen, semi finished basement w/ bulkhead, huge deck, two (yes 2) car garage. The quaint character of an older home updated for modern living. (Even has a brand new heating system (gas)). All of this overlooking the Blackstone River!! Definitely not a book to judge by it's cover.
-
2022-11-06historical Active Under Contract 564-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
In over 40 years experience this is one of the most deceivingly charming homes I have seen. A wonderful not too open floor plan and closets and cubbies, nooks and crannies. The house just goes on and on. Four bedrooms, two and a half baths, sunroom, woodstove, dining room, eat in kitchen, semi finished basement w/ bulkhead, huge deck, two (yes 2) car garage. The quaint character of an older home updated for modern living. (Even has a brand new heating system (gas)). All of this overlooking the Blackstone River!! Definitely not a book to judge by it's cover.
-
2022-10-14$374,900 Active 564-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
In over 40 years experience this is one of the most deceivingly charming homes I have seen. A wonderful not too open floor plan and closets and cubbies, nooks and crannies. The house just goes on and on. Four bedrooms, two and a half baths, sunroom, woodstove, dining room, eat in kitchen, semi finished basement w/ bulkhead, huge deck, two (yes 2) car garage. The quaint character of an older home updated for modern living. (Even has a brand new heating system (gas)). All of this overlooking the Blackstone River!! Definitely not a book to judge by it's cover.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,811 · $318/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,840 · $403/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,028/yr (+$86/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$3,811
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,825
- − Management
- −$2,825
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$6,584
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,580
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland
- NCES district ID
- 4400270
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,407
- Composite
- 41.85/100
- National rank
- #3382
- State rank
- #9 of 39 in RI
Livability — Valley Falls
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #4293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Valley Falls, RI
- County
- Providence County · 548,917 people
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,820
- Household income
- $117,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 771.0
Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 653,469 people
- By 2030
- 660,819 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 672,747 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 683,741 · +4.6%
- By 2075
- 720,435 · +10.2%
- By 2100
- 741,582 · +13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Russian 10% Romanian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Providence
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -461.15%
- Current HPI
- 313.0341
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.48%
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
||
| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — RIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $360,000 RIS
- 2022-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $380,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $380,000 RIS
- 2022-11-30 Pending — RIS
- 2022-11-06 Contingent — RIS
- 2022-10-14 Listed $374,900 RIS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,811 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…