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105 Elm St
C Composite 59.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$169,000

105 Elm St · Westwood, CA 96137
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,010 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1930 7,918 sqft lot Est $119k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is move-in ready and beautifully updated, this home offers flexibility, value, and future upside. The recent remodel makes it perfect to enjoy as-is, while the layout easily allows for adding a half bath and two additional bedrooms for growing needs or increased equity. The two-car garage features a spacious second level, perfect for storage, a workshop, or potential ADU conversion, with power already in place. Enjoy paved off-street parking, fresh interior paint, and a new oven and dishwasher done and ready for you. Cozy up with both a wood-burning fireplace and a gas fireplace, adding charm and comfort year-round. Located in an excellent neighborhood with thoughtful neighbors, you're

Key facts

  • Recent remodel
  • Gas fireplace
  • Two car garage

Tags

RECENT REMODELTWO CAR GARAGESPACIOUS SECOND LEVELPAVED OFF STREET PARKINGWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEGAS FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached rear-facing garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Propane tank owned; 220-volt electrical service; Public water; Public sewer; Irrigation from public district
  • Home design: Detached single-family residence; Built in 1930; Single-story
  • Construction: Detached construction
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot noted as 'See Remarks'

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Dishwasher; Pantry closet; Breakfast bar/space for dining
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with double sinks, tub with shower over, and window
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Hot water heating; Wood stove; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Great room living area; Two fireplaces (wood burning and gas-piped); Breakfast area and breakfast room; Pantry closet; Breakfast nook and dining bar with space in the kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#547 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Westwood Unified (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #995 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fletcher Walker Elementary (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,420 of 1,571 statewide, top 91%, 89 students, 80% FRL); Westwood High (math 15% / reading 44%, grade F, #723 of 1,170 statewide, top 64%, 85 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 239 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Lassen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Lassen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $169k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $166,465 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.26%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,180
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
120 Fair Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 992 (-2%) 14mo $165,000 $166 81
124 Fir Street St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-0%) 15mo $80,000 $79 77
220 Elm Street St 0.21mi 2/1.0 1,097 (+9%) 7mo $115,000 $105 70
215 Elm St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,118 (+11%) 4mo $132,000 $118 66
112 Fir Street St 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+13%) 2mo $207,000 $181 64
210 Elm Street St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,078 (+7%) 22mo $50,000 $46 58
608 Delwood Street St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,122 (+11%) 12mo $140,000 $125 39
403 Elm Street St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+13%) 22mo $127,500 $111 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$37,033
Equity at exit
$61,035
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$107,301
Equity at exit
$83,759

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96137

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,896 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $690/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,284
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $579 -5% $531 +0% $484 +5% $436 +10% $388
Rent -10% $334 -5% $409 +0% $484 +5% $558 +10% $633
Rate -1.0pp $569 -0.5pp $527 base $484 +0.5pp $440 +1.0pp $395

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $169,000 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2025-08-18
    soldstatus $70,000
  11. 2004-09-24
    soldstatus $134,000
  12. 1994-07-29
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$690 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,284 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$595/yr (+$50/mo · 86.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,750
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$690
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,820
− Management
−$1,820
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$3,192
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$766
After-tax cash flow
$5,037/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westwood Unified
NCES district ID
0642300
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,831
Composite
29.93/100
National rank
#11664
State rank
#995 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Westwood

Score
61/100
State rank
#547
US rank
#18201

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westwood, CA
Population (ZIP)
2,717

Population outlook (Lassen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,112 people
By 2030
26,732 · -1.4%
By 2040
25,536 · -5.8%
By 2050
23,262 · -14.2%
By 2075
18,620 · -31.3%
By 2100
14,679 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lassen

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.0) · D 21.8% · R 75.8% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -34.2pp · 2024: -54.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.0 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+39.8 2008: R+34.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
153.1005
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
  • 1994-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $690 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…