338 N Spring St · Wilmington, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two unit being sold as is. Will need a cash or conventional buyer. Downstairs apartment has living room, dining room, kitchen and bath. Upstairs has living room, 2 bedrooms, kitchen and bath. $1000 gross monthly income.
Key facts
- New metal roof
- New gutters
- Newer windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 5.3% in Wilmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in OH, #3,127 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
- Wilmington City (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #492 of 656 in OH (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Denver Place Elementary School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade C+, #721 of 1,584 statewide, top 46%, 473 students, 52% FRL); Rodger O. Borror Middle School (math 35% / reading 44%, grade F, #519 of 654 statewide, top 80%, 502 students, 48% FRL); Wilmington High School (math 24% / reading 62%, grade F, #494 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 663 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 119 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,250/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $963 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.89%
- DSCR
- 3.13
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,165
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -56.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 W Vine St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 1,638 (-0%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $137 | 91 |
| 146 N Spring St | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,650 (+0%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $136 | 81 |
| 570 N Walnut St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,605 (-2%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $137 | 77 |
| 459 N Spring St | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,827 (+11%) | 2mo | $268,000 | $147 | 74 |
| 680 Xenia Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-1%) | 1mo | $56,500 | $35 | 73 |
| 84 Fulton St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,806 (+10%) | 1mo | $236,500 | $131 | 70 |
| 231 Thorne Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,677 (+2%) | 4mo | $255,700 | $152 | 70 |
| 686 Kathryn Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (+0%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $164 | 65 |
| 413 S Mulberry St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,568 (-4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $96 | 58 |
| 196 Virginia Cir | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,770 (+8%) | 2mo | $229,500 | $130 | 51 |
| 346 Virginia Cir | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,888 (+15%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $156 | 42 |
| 269 Virginia Cir | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,408 (-14%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $185 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $72,808
- Equity at exit
- $33,917
- IRR
- 52.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.20×
- Total profit
- $173,561
- Equity at exit
- $44,928
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 19 active · 24 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.4 mo (30%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $285,900 ($166/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 57 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -16.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 45144
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,148/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $1,116
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,173 | -5% $1,145 | +0% $1,116 | +5% $1,088 | +10% $1,060 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $939 | -5% $1,027 | +0% $1,116 | +5% $1,205 | +10% $1,294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,167 | -0.5pp $1,142 | base $1,116 | +0.5pp $1,090 | +1.0pp $1,064 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 978 N South St Wilmington, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1657 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 98d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 996 N South St Wilmington, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1657 | $2,300 | $1.39 | 139d | 1 | 0.62mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Two rental units totalOne 1-bedroom unit (rent listed at $750)One 2-bedroom unit (rent listed at $850)
Exterior
- Parking
- Off-street parking via driveway1 open parking space
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerNatural gasWater paid by ownerHeat paid by ownerSeparate A/C: yesSeparate furnace: noSeparate gas/electric: no
- Home design
- DuplexTwo-storyResidential zoning
- Construction
- Wood sidingStone foundationMetal roofSecond floor area approximately 901
- Exterior features
- Vinyl windows
Interior
- Bedrooms
- Unit 1: 2 bedroomsUnit 2: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms
- Unit 1: 1 full bathroomUnit 2: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Gas heatingHeat pumpWindow A/C unit(s)
- Interior features
- Full basement
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-13days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $99,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $99,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $99,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $99,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-07-16pricedays on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-07-10remarks 699-char remark
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2026-07-10days on market $119,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $119,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $119,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $119,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $119,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $119,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $119,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $119,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $119,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $119,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $119,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $119,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $119,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,148 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,353 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$205/yr (+$17/mo · 17.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,148
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,160
- − Management
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $12,531
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,007
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This two-unit property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof and exterior siding repairs, to become move-in ready and increase its value for resale and rental.
Deferred maintenance Est. $40,000–$120,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows appear to be old and possibly in need of replacement.
- Major Electrical (electrical) — The electrical panel is not visible, but the house appears to be old, which may indicate outdated or substandard electrical systems.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior siding appears to be peeling and in need of repair or replacement.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The independent satellite image shows a roof with visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major exterior siding — The independent satellite image shows siding with peeling paint and visible damage.
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair roof — Repairing the roof will improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — Repairing the exterior siding will improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both landscape and fence — Landscape and fence improvements will enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilmington City
- NCES district ID
- 3904511
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,201
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4020
- State rank
- #492 of 656 in OH
Livability — Wilmington
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3127
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmington, OH
- County
- Adams · 41,352 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,256
- Household income
- $43,896
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,352 people
- By 2030
- 40,831 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 39,049 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 36,408 · -12.0%
- By 2075
- 29,652 · -28.3%
- By 2100
- 20,736 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.6) · D 22.3% · R 76.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -30.3pp · 2024: -54.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.6 2020: R+52.6 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+35.2 2008: R+30.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.9563
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-94.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $119,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $129,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $139,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $149,900 Cincy MLS
- 2021-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-28 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Cincy MLS
- 2021-05-15 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2021-04-22 Listed $55,000 Cincy MLS
- 2018-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $1,990,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,148 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…