1534 Dunham St · South Bend, IN 46619

$105,000

5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 173 Days on market

Built 1902 5,371 sqft lot $45/sqft · 12% below area Est $91k · 15% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0
• ARV discount +0.7/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious South Bend home brimming with potential. With 4 bedrooms, a generous kitchen, and a formal dining room, you’ll find plenty of room to tailor the space to your style. A little TLC will make this home truly shine. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

• 5,371 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1902

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $693 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
• Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
• South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $18k; list at $105k implies a 468% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.66% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.28%
• DSCR: 2.26
• GRM: 5.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $91,253
• List price: $105,000
• Delta: 15.06%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1529 Fisher St	0.03mi	5/1.0	2,116 (-10%)	14mo	$92,500	$44	71
722 S Warren St	0.34mi	5/2.0	2,200 (-6%)	6mo	$181,700	$83	65
1106 W Washington St	0.74mi	5/2.5	2,371 (+1%)	6mo	$83,000	$35	52
2633 Dunham St	0.72mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,304 (-2%)	8mo	$37,500	$16	48
828 Harris St	0.11mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,994 (-15%)	23mo	$155,000	$78	44
420 S Olive St	0.61mi	4/1.5 (-1)	2,034 (-13%)	5mo	$118,000	$58	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 22.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.92×
• Total profit: $27,114
• Equity at exit: $15,656

10-year hold

• IRR: 30.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.74×
• Total profit: $80,433
• Equity at exit: $9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46619

• Home prices YoY: -29.9%
• Active inventory: 52
• Price-to-rent: 5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,742 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$551
• Tax from tax record: −$89 /mo · $1,072/yr
• Insurance: −$44
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$366
• Net cashflow: $693

Break-even live

Break-even rent $865

Max offer price $105,000

Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $26,250
• Closing costs: $3,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
721 S Arnold St South Bend, IN	4.0	2.0	2568	$1,800	$0.70	13d	1	0.28mi
609 N Scott St South Bend, IN	5.0	1.5	1951	$1,450	$0.74	44d	1	1.30mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $105,000 Active 173 DOM
2. 2025-12-09
   listed $105,000 Active 271-char remark

   Show marketing remark (271 chars)

   Welcome to this spacious South Bend home brimming with potential. With 4 bedrooms, a generous kitchen, and a formal dining room, you’ll find plenty of room to tailor the space to your style. A little TLC will make this home truly shine. Schedule your showing today!

3. 2017-10-17
   soldstatus $18,500
4. 2017-09-08
   listed $19,900
5. 2015-11-10
   listed $19,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,072 · $89/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,072 · $89/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,910
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,882
• − Property taxes: −$1,072
• − Insurance: −$525
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,673
• − Management: −$1,673
• − Depreciation: −$3,055
• Taxable income: $7,031
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,687
• After-tax cash flow: $6,627/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: South Bend Community School Corporation
• NCES district ID: 1810290
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $41,935
• Composite: 14.21/100
• National rank: #9452
• State rank: #284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #365
• US rank: #13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: South Bend, IN
• City population: 99,767
• Population (ZIP): 21,179

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 273,186 people
• By 2030: 273,594 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 271,641 · -0.6%
• By 2050: 269,187 · -1.5%
• By 2075: 263,136 · -3.7%
• By 2100: 245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: White 40% Hispanic / Latino 37% Black 19% Two or more races 19%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 32% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 12% English 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 69% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -95.16%
• Current HPI: 223.6464
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

+438.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-12-09 Listed $105,000 IRMLS
• 2017-10-17 Sold (MLS) $18,500 IRMLS
• 2017-09-08 Listed $19,900 IRMLS
• 2015-11-10 Listed $19,500 IRMLS

Property tax history

+64.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,072 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.