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615 Cuthbert Rd
B+ Composite 76.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,500

615 Cuthbert Rd · Toledo, OH 43607
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,336 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 234 Days on market
Built 1947 7,501 sqft lot $71/sqft · 25% below area Est $128k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 5-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 11-unit sub-portfolio is $1,045,000. The sub-portfolio includes 549 Spencer, 560 Williamsville, 26 Magyar, 3256 Jeannette, 1413 Colburn, 1912 Greenwood, 2074 Price, 4321 Burnham, 4345 Burnham, 615 Cuthbert Rd, and 4228 N Lockwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1947

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $660 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.32%
Cash-on-cash
21.54%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,596
List price
$95,500
Delta
-25.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
712 Underwood Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,312 (-2%) 1mo $80,000 $61 78
823 N Byrne Rd 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,245 (-7%) 2mo $112,500 $90 72
904 Mackow Dr 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,369 (+2%) 9mo $147,000 $107 70
802 Cuthbert Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,443 (+8%) 7mo $150,000 $104 70
3226 Inverness Ave 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,266 (-5%) 3mo $113,300 $89 64
830 N Byrne Rd 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,157 (-13%) 4mo $105,000 $91 64
732 Moran Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,145 (-14%) 8mo $152,000 $133 52
539 Independence Rd 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,202 (-10%) 6mo $115,000 $96 48
729 Southbriar Rd 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,500 (+12%) 9mo $166,000 $111 46
4053 Nebraska Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,221 (-9%) 9mo $95,000 $78 45
3811 House Of Stuart Ave 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+12%) 4mo $193,000 $129 42
914 Turner Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,174 (-12%) 9mo $35,000 $30 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$22,557
Equity at exit
$14,239
10-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$92,987
Equity at exit
$8,257

Cash invested: $26,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43607

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,412 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$501
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,140/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$480

Break-even live

Break-even rent $805
Max offer price $95,500
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,875
Closing costs
$2,865
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
536 Carver Blvd Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1204 $1,195 $0.99 23d 1 0.66mi
932 Turner Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $1,295 $1.35 13d 1 0.69mi
4021 Hillandale Rd Unit 4 Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1750 $1,695 $0.97 13d 1 1.30mi
4033 Hillandale Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1170 $1,495 $1.28 23d 1 1.32mi
4012 W Bancroft St Ottawa Hills, OH 2.0 1.0 1008 $972 $0.96 23d 1 1.40mi
2637 Greenway St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1082 $900 $0.83 43d 1 1.40mi
2030 Wyndhurst Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1042 $950 $0.91 43d 1 1.47mi
2037 Alvin St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,175 $0.93 43d 1 1.49mi
2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1123 $1,478 $1.32 23d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,500 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,500 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,500 Active 232 DOM
  4. 2026-01-14
    price $95,500 783-char remark
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 5-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 11-unit sub-portfolio is $1,045,000. The sub-portfolio includes 549 Spencer, 560 Williamsville, 26 Magyar, 3256 Jeannette, 1413 Colburn, 1912 Greenwood, 2074 Price, 4321 Burnham, 4345 Burnham, 615 Cuthbert Rd, and 4228 N Lockwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.

  5. 2025-12-24
    status Active 783-char remark
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 5-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 11-unit sub-portfolio is $1,045,000. The sub-portfolio includes 549 Spencer, 560 Williamsville, 26 Magyar, 3256 Jeannette, 1413 Colburn, 1912 Greenwood, 2074 Price, 4321 Burnham, 4345 Burnham, 615 Cuthbert Rd, and 4228 N Lockwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.

  6. 2025-12-12
    status Pending 783-char remark
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 5-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 11-unit sub-portfolio is $1,045,000. The sub-portfolio includes 549 Spencer, 560 Williamsville, 26 Magyar, 3256 Jeannette, 1413 Colburn, 1912 Greenwood, 2074 Price, 4321 Burnham, 4345 Burnham, 615 Cuthbert Rd, and 4228 N Lockwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.

  7. 2025-11-10
    price $100,410 783-char remark
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 5-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 11-unit sub-portfolio is $1,045,000. The sub-portfolio includes 549 Spencer, 560 Williamsville, 26 Magyar, 3256 Jeannette, 1413 Colburn, 1912 Greenwood, 2074 Price, 4321 Burnham, 4345 Burnham, 615 Cuthbert Rd, and 4228 N Lockwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.

  8. 2025-09-25
    listed $102,000 Active 783-char remark
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 5-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 11-unit sub-portfolio is $1,045,000. The sub-portfolio includes 549 Spencer, 560 Williamsville, 26 Magyar, 3256 Jeannette, 1413 Colburn, 1912 Greenwood, 2074 Price, 4321 Burnham, 4345 Burnham, 615 Cuthbert Rd, and 4228 N Lockwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.

  9. 2023-07-31
    soldstatus $1,315,000
  10. 2023-07-21
    soldstatus $46,964 Closed 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom near UT. Perfect investment opportunity to add to your portfolio! MINIMUM BID AUCTION $39,000 on Thurs. March 16th at 4 PM. Preview and registration will begin at 3 PM.

  11. 2023-03-15
    status Pending 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom near UT. Perfect investment opportunity to add to your portfolio! MINIMUM BID AUCTION $39,000 on Thurs. March 16th at 4 PM. Preview and registration will begin at 3 PM.

  12. 2023-03-15
    price $46,964 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom near UT. Perfect investment opportunity to add to your portfolio! MINIMUM BID AUCTION $39,000 on Thurs. March 16th at 4 PM. Preview and registration will begin at 3 PM.

  13. 2023-02-19
    listed $39,000 Active 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom near UT. Perfect investment opportunity to add to your portfolio! MINIMUM BID AUCTION $39,000 on Thurs. March 16th at 4 PM. Preview and registration will begin at 3 PM.

  14. 2008-10-06
    soldstatus $13,150
  15. 2008-09-17
    price $13,150
  16. 2008-05-27
    listed $12,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,140 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,315 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$175/yr (+$15/mo · 15.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,944
− Mortgage interest
−$5,349
− Property taxes
−$1,140
− Insurance
−$478
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,356
− Management
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$2,778
Taxable income
$4,488
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,077
After-tax cash flow
$4,681/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,469
Household income
$41,335
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1157.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.58%
Current HPI
175.2772
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+640.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $95,500 NORIS
  • 2025-12-24 Relisted NORIS
  • 2025-12-12 Pending NORIS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $100,410 NORIS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $102,000 NORIS
  • 2023-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $1,315,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-21 Sold (MLS) $46,964 NORIS
  • 2023-03-15 Pending NORIS
  • 2023-03-15 Price Changed $46,964 NORIS
  • 2023-02-19 Listed $39,000 NORIS
  • 2008-10-06 Sold (MLS) $13,150 NORIS
  • 2008-09-17 Price Changed $13,150 NORIS
  • 2008-05-27 Listed $12,900 NORIS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,140 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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