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10677 Hilltop Cir
B+ Composite 78.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,999

10677 Hilltop Cir · Quinlan, TX 75474
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1981 1.43 ac lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PROPERTY HAS THREE BEDROOM AND TWO BATH WITH SEPARATE LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, PORCH AND PATIO COVERED AND PROPERTY HAS 62291 SQ FT LOT SIZE WITH CONVENIENT TWO DETACHED CAR GARAGE.

Key facts

  • Rolling terrain
  • Concrete slab
  • Oversized lot

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTNATURAL TREE COVERROLLING TERRAINWORKSHOP WITH ELECTRICCONCRETE SLAB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Subdivision: Whiskers Retreat Ph 2-2; County: Hunt; Country: United States
  • Financial info: No second mortgage indicated; Listing is for sale
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage; Parking surfaces: Concrete and gravel
  • Security: Video surveillance present
  • Utilities: Aerobic septic; City water; Co-op electric service; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1981; Board & Batten siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Workshop with electric; Lot approximately 1.43 acres; Directions: Northeast on Hwy 34, right on FM 3701, left on Hilltop Cir, follow around the bend; property on the left

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (15 x 15) on main level; Total of 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating or cooling information provided
  • Interior features: Open plan with two living areas; One dining area; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry/utility appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.6% in Quinlan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#746 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Quinlan ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #610 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: D C Cannon El (765 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 335 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
11.94%
Cash-on-cash
20.17%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$356,720
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10883 Lakeview Trl 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-1%) 24mo $53,500 $37 59
10434 Pecan Valley Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,556 (+7%) 18mo $380,500 $245 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.4%
Equity multiple
4.02×
Total profit
$84,541
Equity at exit
$90,087
10-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
9.06×
Total profit
$225,589
Equity at exit
$194,276

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75474

Home prices YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
335
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,630 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$251 /mo · $3,012/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$471

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,034
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12046 Center St Unit 200 Quinlan, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 1d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 341-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $99,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,012 · $251/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,012 · $251/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,561
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$3,012
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,058
After-tax cash flow
$4,590/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quinlan ISD
NCES district ID
4836240
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$45,461
Composite
26.16/100
National rank
#7271
State rank
#610 of 826 in TX

Livability — Quinlan

Score
64/100
State rank
#746
US rank
#13776

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hunt County · 71,969 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
17,671
Household income
$64,103
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
181.0

Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,090 people
By 2030
100,452 · +3.5%
By 2040
106,544 · +9.7%
By 2050
111,218 · +14.6%
By 2075
121,695 · +25.3%
By 2100
123,683 · +27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunt

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 33.95%
Current HPI
484.21
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $99,999 NTREIS
  • 2016-09-30 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2016-08-18 Pending NTREIS
  • 2016-08-17 Price Changed $76,600 NTREIS
  • 2016-07-22 Price Changed $86,600 NTREIS
  • 2016-06-24 Price Changed $96,600 NTREIS
  • 2016-05-24 Price Changed $106,600 NTREIS
  • 2016-04-20 Listed $116,600 NTREIS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,012 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…