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239 W College St
B Composite 72.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

239 W College St · Hickory, MS 39332
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,778 sqft · Other public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1970 1.40 ac lot $50/sqft · 60% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The property is a 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home located in Hickory, MS, featuring a welcoming living room with a fireplace, a kitchen, and a traditional layout designed for comfortable everyday living. It also offers a spacious front yard and backyard, providing ample outdoor space for relaxation, gardening, or family activities. The home is located in a rural-suburban area, presenting strong potential for an owner-occupant or investor looking to make it their own.

Key facts

  • Spacious front yard
  • Spacious backyard
  • 1.4 acre lot

Tags

LIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACESPACIOUS FRONT YARDSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#71 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Newton County School District (rural): math 46% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #25 of 130 in MS (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Newton County Elementary School (math 63% / reading 59%, grade B, #25 of 375 statewide, top 7%, 877 students, 100% FRL); Newton County High School (math 34% / reading 38%, grade F, #65 of 197 statewide, top 33%, 811 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 47% district-wide (53 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Newton County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.57%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$411,576
List price
$139,900
Delta
-66.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$38,870
Equity at exit
$56,244
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$107,013
Equity at exit
$81,818

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39332

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,858 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,797/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,298
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $522 -5% $483 +0% $443 +5% $403 +10% $364
Rent -10% $296 -5% $370 +0% $443 +5% $516 +10% $590
Rate -1.0pp $513 -0.5pp $479 base $443 +0.5pp $407 +1.0pp $370

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $149,900 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    The property is a 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home located in Hickory, MS, featuring a welcoming living room with a fireplace, a kitchen, and a traditional layout designed for comfortable everyday living. It also offers a spacious front yard and backyard, providing ample outdoor space for relaxation, gardening, or family activities. The home is located in a rural-suburban area, presenting strong potential for an owner-occupant or investor looking to make it their own.

  18. 2026-04-10
    listed $159,900 Active 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    The property is a 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home located in Hickory, MS, featuring a welcoming living room with a fireplace, a kitchen, and a traditional layout designed for comfortable everyday living. It also offers a spacious front yard and backyard, providing ample outdoor space for relaxation, gardening, or family activities. The home is located in a rural-suburban area, presenting strong potential for an owner-occupant or investor looking to make it their own.

  19. 2024-06-06
    soldstatus Closed 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This home is in Newton County school district, this is a 4 bedroom 3 full bath home. This is approximate 2800 ft. This home is located in a very quiet neighborhood in Hickory. This home has been completely remodeled, new interior and exterior paint, new floor, covering throughout, this home has a brand new central heat and air system, this home has new countertops, lights, toilets, etc. .This home will not last long

  20. 2024-04-25
    status Active 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This home is in Newton County school district, this is a 4 bedroom 3 full bath home. This is approximate 2800 ft. This home is located in a very quiet neighborhood in Hickory. This home has been completely remodeled, new interior and exterior paint, new floor, covering throughout, this home has a brand new central heat and air system, this home has new countertops, lights, toilets, etc. .This home will not last long

  21. 2024-03-18
    listed $179,900 Active 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This home is in Newton County school district, this is a 4 bedroom 3 full bath home. This is approximate 2800 ft. This home is located in a very quiet neighborhood in Hickory. This home has been completely remodeled, new interior and exterior paint, new floor, covering throughout, this home has a brand new central heat and air system, this home has new countertops, lights, toilets, etc. .This home will not last long

  22. 2024-02-07
    price $179,900
  23. 2024-01-21
    price $198,500
  24. 2024-01-09
    price $199,000
  25. 2023-10-23
    price $199,900
  26. 2023-09-23
    price $219,900
  27. 2023-08-30
    status Active
  28. 2023-08-30
    price $249,900
  29. 2023-08-13
    historical
  30. 2023-08-13
    listed $275,000 Active
  31. 2023-04-07
    soldstatus
  32. 2022-12-22
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,797 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,797 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,300
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,797
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,784
− Management
−$1,784
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$3,328
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$799
After-tax cash flow
$4,517/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newton County School District
NCES district ID
2803150
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$38,029
Composite
38.74/100
National rank
#4127
State rank
#25 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hickory

Score
68/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#10021

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hickory, MS
Population (ZIP)
2,112

Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,329 people
By 2030
20,990 · -1.6%
By 2040
20,188 · -5.3%
By 2050
19,212 · -9.9%
By 2075
16,424 · -23.0%
By 2100
13,006 · -39.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 33% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Newton

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+39.3 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.14%
Current HPI
130.4089
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+114.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $149,900 MLSU
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $159,900 MLSU
  • 2024-06-06 Sold (MLS) EMR
  • 2024-04-25 Relisted EMR
  • 2024-03-18 Listed $179,900 EMR
  • 2024-02-07 Price Changed $179,900 EMR
  • 2024-01-21 Price Changed $198,500 EMR
  • 2024-01-09 Price Changed $199,000 EMR
  • 2023-10-23 Price Changed $199,900 EMR
  • 2023-09-23 Price Changed $219,900 EMR
  • 2023-08-30 Relisted EMR
  • 2023-08-30 Price Changed $249,900 EMR
  • 2023-08-13 Delisted EMR
  • 2023-08-13 Listed $275,000 EMR
  • 2023-04-07 Sold (MLS) EMR
  • 2022-12-22 Listed $69,900 EMR

Property tax history

+15.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,797 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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