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205 Dayton Ave
A- Composite 82.65
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,900

205 Dayton Ave · Hallstead, PA 18822
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · Other · 90 Days on market
Built 1920 0.31 ac lot $60/sqft · 25% below area Est $134k · 25% under ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid starter home or excellent investment opportunity! Located on a quaint side street in Hallstead and close to town, this property offers great potential. The spacious lot features a 28x48 garage with three 9-foot doors, ideal for storage, workshop space, or multiple vehicles. The home includes public water and sewer. Enjoy relaxing in the sun porch and spending time in the charming backyard. This property is truly a must-see!Property is owned by the U. S. Dept. of HUD. HUD Case # 446-234870. Insurability Code: IE (Insured Escrow), Subject to Appraisal. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold AS-IS. Equal Housing Opportunity (EHO). Seller may contribute up to 3 percent for buyer's closing costs upon buyer request at time of bid submission. per HUD requirementsLBP Notice: Property built prior to 1978; lead-based paint potentially exists.

Key facts

  • 28x48 garage
  • Sun porch
  • Three 9-ft doors

Tags

SPACIOUS LOT28X48 GARAGETHREE 9-FT DOORSSUN PORCHCHARMING BACKYARDQUAINT SIDE STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $101k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $101k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,256 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Blue Ridge SD (rural): math 29% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #319 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($698 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,846 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.16%
Cash-on-cash
17.37%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,868
List price
$100,900
Delta
-24.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$37,047
Equity at exit
$44,082
10-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
4.43×
Total profit
$96,983
Equity at exit
$66,952

Cash invested: $28,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18822

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,464 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$529
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,117/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $946
Max offer price $100,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $466 -5% $438 +0% $409 +5% $380 +10% $352
Rent -10% $293 -5% $351 +0% $409 +5% $467 +10% $525
Rate -1.0pp $460 -0.5pp $435 base $409 +0.5pp $383 +1.0pp $356

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,225
Closing costs
$3,027
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    price $100,900 902-char remark
    Show marketing remark (902 chars)

    Solid starter home or excellent investment opportunity! Located on a quaint side street in Hallstead and close to town, this property offers great potential. The spacious lot features a 28x48 garage with three 9-foot doors, ideal for storage, workshop space, or multiple vehicles. The home includes public water and sewer. Enjoy relaxing in the sun porch and spending time in the charming backyard. This property is truly a must-see!Property is owned by the U. S. Dept. of HUD. HUD Case # 446-234870. Insurability Code: IE (Insured Escrow), Subject to Appraisal. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold AS-IS. Equal Housing Opportunity (EHO). Seller may contribute up to 3 percent for buyer's closing costs upon buyer request at time of bid submission. per HUD requirementsLBP Notice: Property built prior to 1978; lead-based paint potentially exists.

  2. 2026-04-16
    status Active 902-char remark
    Show marketing remark (902 chars)

    Solid starter home or excellent investment opportunity! Located on a quaint side street in Hallstead and close to town, this property offers great potential. The spacious lot features a 28x48 garage with three 9-foot doors, ideal for storage, workshop space, or multiple vehicles. The home includes public water and sewer. Enjoy relaxing in the sun porch and spending time in the charming backyard. This property is truly a must-see!Property is owned by the U. S. Dept. of HUD. HUD Case # 446-234870. Insurability Code: IE (Insured Escrow), Subject to Appraisal. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold AS-IS. Equal Housing Opportunity (EHO). Seller may contribute up to 3 percent for buyer's closing costs upon buyer request at time of bid submission. per HUD requirementsLBP Notice: Property built prior to 1978; lead-based paint potentially exists.

  3. 2026-01-14
    status Pending 902-char remark
    Show marketing remark (902 chars)

    Solid starter home or excellent investment opportunity! Located on a quaint side street in Hallstead and close to town, this property offers great potential. The spacious lot features a 28x48 garage with three 9-foot doors, ideal for storage, workshop space, or multiple vehicles. The home includes public water and sewer. Enjoy relaxing in the sun porch and spending time in the charming backyard. This property is truly a must-see!Property is owned by the U. S. Dept. of HUD. HUD Case # 446-234870. Insurability Code: IE (Insured Escrow), Subject to Appraisal. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold AS-IS. Equal Housing Opportunity (EHO). Seller may contribute up to 3 percent for buyer's closing costs upon buyer request at time of bid submission. per HUD requirementsLBP Notice: Property built prior to 1978; lead-based paint potentially exists.

  4. 2025-11-21
    listed $112,000 Active 902-char remark
    Show marketing remark (902 chars)

    Solid starter home or excellent investment opportunity! Located on a quaint side street in Hallstead and close to town, this property offers great potential. The spacious lot features a 28x48 garage with three 9-foot doors, ideal for storage, workshop space, or multiple vehicles. The home includes public water and sewer. Enjoy relaxing in the sun porch and spending time in the charming backyard. This property is truly a must-see!Property is owned by the U. S. Dept. of HUD. HUD Case # 446-234870. Insurability Code: IE (Insured Escrow), Subject to Appraisal. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold AS-IS. Equal Housing Opportunity (EHO). Seller may contribute up to 3 percent for buyer's closing costs upon buyer request at time of bid submission. per HUD requirementsLBP Notice: Property built prior to 1978; lead-based paint potentially exists.

  5. 2015-03-20
    soldstatus $124,900
  6. 2015-03-20
    soldstatus $124,900
  7. 2014-06-16
    listed $139,000
  8. 2014-06-16
    listed $139,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,117 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,117 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,568
− Mortgage interest
−$5,652
− Property taxes
−$2,117
− Insurance
−$504
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,405
− Management
−$1,405
− Depreciation
−$2,935
Taxable income
$3,549
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$852
After-tax cash flow
$4,056/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blue Ridge SD
NCES district ID
4203900
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,421
Composite
36.02/100
National rank
#4781
State rank
#319 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hallstead

Score
63/100
State rank
#1256
US rank
#15090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hallstead, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,079

Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,552 people
By 2030
35,270 · -6.1%
By 2040
30,663 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,492 · -29.5%
By 2075
19,658 · -47.7%
By 2100
15,179 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.77%
Current HPI
153.2588
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $100,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-01-14 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $112,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2015-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $124,900 Public Records
  • 2015-03-20 Sold (MLS) $124,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2014-06-16 Listed $139,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2014-06-16 Listed $139,000 GBAOR

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,117 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…