807 Maple Dr · White Oak, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HSA home warranty on this affordable and adorable 3-bedroom cape cod. Many updates and ample off-street parking. Newer furnace, windows, porch, vinyl tile. Vinyl siding, ceramic bath, walk-in closet, 3 ceiling fans, nicely landscaped rear yard, deco fireplace in LR. Relax on the front porch and enjoy the view.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Built-in cabinetry
- Vinyl-sided exterior
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding exterior; Frame construction
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.1% in White Oak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#339 in PA, #2,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 356% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.77%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,498
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -37.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Park Way | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,119 (-6%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $76 | 78 |
| 3009 State St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+4%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $62 | 75 |
| 3113 Quay St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (-3%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $95 | 73 |
| 124 Carmella Dr | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,196 (+0%) | 5mo | $84,000 | $70 | 71 |
| 400 Congress St | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,318 (+11%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 3072 Auberle St | 0.37mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,080 (-9%) | 2mo | $18,500 | $17 | 59 |
| 3012 Cronemeyer St | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-6%) | 9mo | $23,000 | $21 | 56 |
| 473 Mccully St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,260 (+6%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $163 | 47 |
| 3830 Anderson Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,331 (+12%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $34 | 43 |
| 3806 Sarah St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,324 (+11%) | 0mo | $129,900 | $98 | 42 |
| 3247 Turner St | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,014 (-15%) | 7mo | $127,000 | $125 | 40 |
| 3601 Foster Rd | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,353 (+14%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $196 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $3,857
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $27,155
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15131
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,156 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,376/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 Prescott St White Oak, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1735 Ohio Ave Unit 6 White Oak, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1827 California Ave Apt 2 Front Second Floor White Oak, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1114-1116 Ohio St Unit 2R McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $850 | $0.97 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1314 | $1,095 | $0.83 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3506 Mayfair St Unit B McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 200 Delaware Ave North Versailles, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1470 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,165 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$90,000 Active 675-char remark
-
2014-02-21soldstatus $19,717
-
2012-05-30$35,000 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
HSA home warranty on this affordable and adorable 3-bedroom cape cod. Many updates and ample off-street parking. Newer furnace, windows, porch, vinyl tile. Vinyl siding, ceramic bath, walk-in closet, 3 ceiling fans, nicely landscaped rear yard, deco fireplace in LR. Relax on the front porch and enjoy the view.
-
1989-08-08soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,376 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$23/yr (+$2/mo · 1.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,873
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,376
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,110
- − Management
- −$1,110
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,169
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$520
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,950/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckeesport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214940
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,779
- Composite
- 15.88/100
- National rank
- #9257
- State rank
- #499 of 539 in PA
Livability — White Oak
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #2982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White Oak, PA
- City population
- 8,451
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,451
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Scotch-Irish 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.53%
- Current HPI
- 233.6591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+592.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $90,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $19,717 Public Records
- 2012-05-30 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
- 1989-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,376 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…