305 E Webster Ave · Ava, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- Appreciation +9.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$137,499
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This one will wow you right when you walk in! This beautifully renovated 2 bedroom/1 bath bungalow has all the charm with all the newness of a new build such as new windows and appliances. Every room is spacious even the laundry/pantry room off the kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee off the covered back porch! This home is located within walking distance from the thriving town square. Also, would make a great nightly rental being it's not far from several tourist attractions such MO Fox Trotters, Laura Ingalls Wilder Museum and Glad Top Trail and other state parks!
Key facts
- Pantry area
- Front and back yards
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with gravel surface
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Covered porch; Front porch; Deck; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric and natural gas heating; Baseboard heat; Fireplace heating
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Insulated double-pane windows; Fireplace in the family room (gas)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $137k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($394/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (23.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#12 in MO, #1,299 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Ava R-I (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #177 of 324 in MO (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ava Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 544 students, 64% FRL); Ava Middle (math 36% / reading 38%, grade F, #220 of 391 statewide, top 59%, 390 students, 62% FRL); Ava High (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #179 of 521 statewide, top 39%, 451 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 21 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($950 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $137k implies a 485% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.02%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,986
- List price
- $137,499
- Delta
- 28.52%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
9.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $68,053
- Equity at exit
- $114,458
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.11×
- Total profit
- $196,777
- Equity at exit
- $237,458
Cash invested: $38,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65608
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$721
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $308/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $111 | -5% $72 | +0% $33 | +5% $-6 | +10% $-45 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-51 | -5% $-9 | +0% $33 | +5% $75 | +10% $116 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $68 | base $33 | +0.5pp $-3 | +1.0pp $-39 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,375
- Closing costs
- $4,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205D Knaack CT Unit 1 Ava, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1322 Springfield Rd Unit 7 Ava, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-14status $137,499 Pending 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $137,499 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $137,499 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $137,499 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $137,499 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $137,499 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $137,499 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $137,499 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$139,000 Active 1623-char remark
-
2026-04-12status Active
-
2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-03-02status Pending
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2026-01-28historical Active Under Contract
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2025-09-17$139,000 Active
-
2023-05-05soldstatus
-
2023-05-04soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
This one will wow you right when you walk in! This beautifully renovated 2 bedroom/1 bath bungalow has all the charm with all the newness of a new build such as new windows and appliances. Every room is spacious even the laundry/pantry room off the kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee off the covered back porch! This home is located within walking distance from the thriving town square. Also, would make a great nightly rental being it's not far from several tourist attractions such MO Fox Trotters, Laura Ingalls Wilder Museum and Glad Top Trail and other state parks!
-
2023-03-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
This one will wow you right when you walk in! This beautifully renovated 2 bedroom/1 bath bungalow has all the charm with all the newness of a new build such as new windows and appliances. Every room is spacious even the laundry/pantry room off the kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee off the covered back porch! This home is located within walking distance from the thriving town square. Also, would make a great nightly rental being it's not far from several tourist attractions such MO Fox Trotters, Laura Ingalls Wilder Museum and Glad Top Trail and other state parks!
-
2023-03-19status Active
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
This one will wow you right when you walk in! This beautifully renovated 2 bedroom/1 bath bungalow has all the charm with all the newness of a new build such as new windows and appliances. Every room is spacious even the laundry/pantry room off the kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee off the covered back porch! This home is located within walking distance from the thriving town square. Also, would make a great nightly rental being it's not far from several tourist attractions such MO Fox Trotters, Laura Ingalls Wilder Museum and Glad Top Trail and other state parks!
-
2023-03-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
This one will wow you right when you walk in! This beautifully renovated 2 bedroom/1 bath bungalow has all the charm with all the newness of a new build such as new windows and appliances. Every room is spacious even the laundry/pantry room off the kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee off the covered back porch! This home is located within walking distance from the thriving town square. Also, would make a great nightly rental being it's not far from several tourist attractions such MO Fox Trotters, Laura Ingalls Wilder Museum and Glad Top Trail and other state parks!
-
2023-03-06price $119,900
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
This one will wow you right when you walk in! This beautifully renovated 2 bedroom/1 bath bungalow has all the charm with all the newness of a new build such as new windows and appliances. Every room is spacious even the laundry/pantry room off the kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee off the covered back porch! This home is located within walking distance from the thriving town square. Also, would make a great nightly rental being it's not far from several tourist attractions such MO Fox Trotters, Laura Ingalls Wilder Museum and Glad Top Trail and other state parks!
-
2023-01-21$124,900 Active
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
This one will wow you right when you walk in! This beautifully renovated 2 bedroom/1 bath bungalow has all the charm with all the newness of a new build such as new windows and appliances. Every room is spacious even the laundry/pantry room off the kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee off the covered back porch! This home is located within walking distance from the thriving town square. Also, would make a great nightly rental being it's not far from several tourist attractions such MO Fox Trotters, Laura Ingalls Wilder Museum and Glad Top Trail and other state parks!
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2018-07-02soldstatus
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2018-05-27$16,900
-
2004-06-23soldstatus $23,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $308 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,334 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,026/yr (+$85/mo · 333.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,711
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,702
- − Property taxes
- −$308
- − Insurance
- −$687
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,017
- − Management
- −$1,017
- − Depreciation
- −$4,000
- Taxable loss
- −$2,020
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$485
- After-tax cash flow
- $878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ava R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2904050
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,148
- Composite
- 32.25/100
- National rank
- #5766
- State rank
- #177 of 324 in MO
Livability — Ava
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1299
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ava, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,478
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,395 people
- By 2030
- 11,690 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 10,185 · -17.8%
- By 2050
- 8,805 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 6,716 · -45.8%
- By 2100
- 5,493 · -55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Native American 1% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.7% · R 85.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -72.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.0 2020: R+69.8 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+44.8 2008: R+33.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.05%
- Current HPI
- 249.1557
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+485.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $137,499 SOMO
- 2026-05-15 Listed $139,000 SOMO
- 2026-04-12 Relisted — SOMO
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — SOMO
- 2026-03-02 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-01-28 Contingent — SOMO
- 2025-09-17 Listed $139,000 SOMO
- 2023-05-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-05-04 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2023-03-24 Pending — SOMO
- 2023-03-19 Relisted — SOMO
- 2023-03-15 Pending — SOMO
- 2023-03-06 Price Changed $119,900 SOMO
- 2023-01-21 Listed $124,900 SOMO
- 2018-07-02 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2018-05-27 Listed $16,900 SOMO
- 2004-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $308 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…