402 Pelletier St · La Grange, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice Bricked-in Manufactured Home with a great lot, ready for a Family to live in or an investor to have as a rental. Home features 2 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath, spacious Living room, Kitchen with appliances and Laundry area. First Bedroom comes with Carpet, Fan, two closets and a Full Bathroom with single vanity and Shower. Second Bedroom has carpet, Fan, Closet and Full bathroom with Shower. Home also features a glassed-in Front Porch as well as glassed-in Back Porch area. Separate storage building/Shed with rooms for workshop/storage/lawn equip. Property will be Sold, ''as is'' with no repairs from the seller.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1980
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R10; Lot dimensions approximately 128 x 108 x 126 x 105 (0.31 acres)
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces; Concrete parking surface
- Security: No security features specified
- Utilities: No utilities specified
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One story; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding over frame construction; Foundation described as other; Roof details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Patio; Front porch; Glass-enclosed porch; Paved road access; Has a view; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Listing does not specify bedroom count
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating with heat pump
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility appliances specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 4.3% in La Grange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#278 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lenoir County Public Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #147 of 178 in NC (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: La Grange Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #908 of 1,410 statewide, top 67%, 498 students, 99% FRL); North Lenoir High (math 52% / reading 36%, grade F, #367 of 535 statewide, top 69%, 975 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 65% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 148 units permitted in Lenoir County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lenoir County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.86%
- DSCR
- 4.24
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $57,109
- Equity at exit
- $9,244
- IRR
- 76.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.85×
- Total profit
- $136,267
- Equity at exit
- $5,361
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28551
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,866 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $831/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $1,054
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,089 | -5% $1,072 | +0% $1,054 | +5% $1,036 | +10% $1,019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $907 | -5% $980 | +0% $1,054 | +5% $1,128 | +10% $1,201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,085 | -0.5pp $1,070 | base $1,054 | +0.5pp $1,038 | +1.0pp $1,022 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $62,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $67,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $67,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $67,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $67,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 614-char remark
-
2026-06-03$80,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$831
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,792
- − Management
- −$1,792
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $12,393
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,974
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,674/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lenoir County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702610
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,958
- Composite
- 25.17/100
- National rank
- #7515
- State rank
- #147 of 178 in NC
Livability — La Grange
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #278
- US rank
- #12047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Grange, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,264
Population outlook (Lenoir County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,002 people
- By 2030
- 53,048 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 49,041 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 45,136 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 36,547 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 27,731 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Portuguese 1% Slovene 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Lenoir
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.8) · D 46.2% · R 53.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -6.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.8 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.90%
- Current HPI
- 216.483
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $831 · +327.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…