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402 Pelletier St
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,000

402 Pelletier St · La Grange, NC 28551
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 938 sqft · Manufactured public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1980 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice Bricked-in Manufactured Home with a great lot, ready for a Family to live in or an investor to have as a rental. Home features 2 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath, spacious Living room, Kitchen with appliances and Laundry area. First Bedroom comes with Carpet, Fan, two closets and a Full Bathroom with single vanity and Shower. Second Bedroom has carpet, Fan, Closet and Full bathroom with Shower. Home also features a glassed-in Front Porch as well as glassed-in Back Porch area. Separate storage building/Shed with rooms for workshop/storage/lawn equip. Property will be Sold, ''as is'' with no repairs from the seller.

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1980

Tags

BRICKED-IN MANUFACTURED HOMEGLASSED-IN FRONT PORCHGLASSED-IN BACK PORCHSEPARATE STORAGE BUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R10; Lot dimensions approximately 128 x 108 x 126 x 105 (0.31 acres)
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces; Concrete parking surface
  • Security: No security features specified
  • Utilities: No utilities specified
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding over frame construction; Foundation described as other; Roof details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Patio; Front porch; Glass-enclosed porch; Paved road access; Has a view; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Listing does not specify bedroom count
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating with heat pump
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility appliances specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 4.3% in La Grange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#278 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lenoir County Public Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #147 of 178 in NC (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: La Grange Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #908 of 1,410 statewide, top 67%, 498 students, 99% FRL); North Lenoir High (math 52% / reading 36%, grade F, #367 of 535 statewide, top 69%, 975 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 65% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 148 units permitted in Lenoir County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenoir County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,070 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.01%
Cap rate
26.69%
Cash-on-cash
72.86%
DSCR
4.24
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.6%
Equity multiple
4.29×
Total profit
$57,109
Equity at exit
$9,244
10-year hold
IRR
76.5%
Equity multiple
8.85×
Total profit
$136,267
Equity at exit
$5,361

Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28551

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,866 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$325
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $831/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$1,054

Break-even live

Break-even rent $532
Max offer price $62,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,089 -5% $1,072 +0% $1,054 +5% $1,036 +10% $1,019
Rent -10% $907 -5% $980 +0% $1,054 +5% $1,128 +10% $1,201
Rate -1.0pp $1,085 -0.5pp $1,070 base $1,054 +0.5pp $1,038 +1.0pp $1,022

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,500
Closing costs
$1,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $62,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $67,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    price $67,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    remarks 614-char remark
  15. 2026-06-03
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$831 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$831 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,394
− Mortgage interest
−$3,473
− Property taxes
−$831
− Insurance
−$310
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,792
− Management
−$1,792
− Depreciation
−$1,804
Taxable income
$12,393
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,974
After-tax cash flow
$9,674/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lenoir County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3702610
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,958
Composite
25.17/100
National rank
#7515
State rank
#147 of 178 in NC

Livability — La Grange

Score
66/100
State rank
#278
US rank
#12047

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Grange, NC
Population (ZIP)
13,264

Population outlook (Lenoir County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,002 people
By 2030
53,048 · -3.6%
By 2040
49,041 · -10.8%
By 2050
45,136 · -17.9%
By 2075
36,547 · -33.6%
By 2100
27,731 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Portuguese 1% Slovene 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenoir

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.8) · D 46.2% · R 53.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -6.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.8 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.90%
Current HPI
216.483
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $831 · +327.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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