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22931 Arms Ave
C+ Composite 61.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

22931 Arms Ave · Euclid, OH 44123
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,590 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1956 6,098 sqft lot Est $153k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.8% in Euclid — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#204 in OH, #3,149 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment D-.
  • Euclid City (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #625 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $135k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $130,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.63%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22931 Arms Ave 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,590 (0%) 1mo $127,000 $80 97
871 E 232nd St 0.20mi 4/2.5 1,546 (-3%) 0mo $149,000 $96 82
23050 Tracy Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,662 (+4%) 7mo $185,000 $111 77
791 E 232 St 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,555 (-2%) 9mo $187,000 $120 70
841 E 216th St 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,566 (-2%) 7mo $185,000 $118 70
843 E 232nd St 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,412 (-11%) 8mo $110,000 $78 61
944 E 220th St 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (-8%) 4mo $124,000 $85 58
21851 Fuller Ave 0.57mi 4/2.5 1,524 (-4%) 8mo $150,000 $98 56
21131 Morris Ave 0.60mi 4/1.0 1,440 (-9%) 0mo $134,500 $93 54
21601 Fuller Ave 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,522 (-4%) 8mo $95,000 $62 49
917 E 214th St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,458 (-8%) 10mo $88,000 $60 45
21031 Westport Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 1,362 (-14%) 8mo $160,000 $117 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,860
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$33,133
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44123

Home prices YoY
-25.0%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,554 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$223 /mo · $2,675/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,250
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22370 Tracy Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1202 $1,575 $1.31 16d 1 0.23mi
21980 Ivan Ave Euclid, OH 4.0 2.0 1348 $1,350 $1.00 43d 1 0.32mi
824 E 236th St Euclid, OH 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,720 $1.56 1d 1 0.33mi
21301 Arbor Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 19d 1 0.52mi
21271 Nicholas Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,689 $1.30 43d 1 0.54mi
21252 Goller Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1161 $1,275 $1.10 20d 1 0.54mi
797 Babbitt Rd #22 Euclid, OH 3.0 1.5 1360 $1,600 $1.18 43d 1 0.56mi
21250 Goller Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1161 $1,275 $1.10 12d 1 0.57mi
21751 Priday Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1174 $1,545 $1.32 21d 1 0.61mi
26200 S Lake Shr Euclid, OH 3.0 1.5 1305 $1,225 $0.94 7d 1 0.63mi
645 Babbitt Rd Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 12d 1 0.65mi
871 E 212th St Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,399 $1.28 43d 1 0.66mi
884 E 248th St Euclid, OH 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,699 $1.18 1d 1 0.72mi
21000 Priday Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 43d 1 0.76mi
20664 Miller Ave Unit Down Unit Euclid, OH 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 0.77mi
21251 S Lake Shore Blvd Euclid, OH 3.0 2.0 1246 $1,595 $1.28 43d 1 0.79mi
21000 Crystal Ave Euclid, OH 5.0 2.0 1512 $2,150 $1.42 17d 1 0.79mi
20500 Morris Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,399 $1.27 43d 1 0.81mi
21860 Roberts Ave Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1253 $1,450 $1.16 7d 1 0.82mi
655 E 240th St Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1341 $1,550 $1.16 43d 1 0.84mi
20547 Fuller Ave Euclid, OH 5.0 3.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 16d 1 0.88mi
1550 E 256th St Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1054 $1,700 $1.61 1d 1 0.90mi
20500 Priday Ave Euclid, OH 4.0 1.5 1698 $1,750 $1.03 44d 1 0.90mi
23901 Puritan Rd Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1326 $1,595 $1.20 14d 1 0.91mi
24200 Puritan Rd Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,199 $1.09 12d 1 0.95mi
299 E 197th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1328 $1,400 $1.05 16d 1 1.06mi
23214 Gay St Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1634 $1,864 $1.14 23d 1 1.12mi
19450 Monterey Ave Cleveland, OH 5.0 1.5 1800 $1,690 $0.94 4d 1 1.13mi
22680 Coulter Ave Unit 1 Euclid, OH 4.0 2.0 1428 $1,600 $1.12 21d 1 1.14mi
374 E 232nd St Euclid, OH 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,995 $1.63 43d 1 1.16mi
19330 Monterey Ave Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.5 1200 $1,450 $1.21 2d 1 1.17mi
19330 Monterey Ave Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.5 1578 $1,450 $0.92 1d 1 1.17mi
23307 Williams Ave Euclid, OH 4.0 1.0 1220 $1,700 $1.39 23d 1 1.18mi
1485 E 221st St Euclid, OH 3.0 2.0 1561 $1,500 $0.96 14d 1 1.25mi
1485 E 221st St Euclid, OH 3.0 2.0 1561 $1,500 $0.96 10d 1 1.25mi
18800 Pasnow Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1348 $1,350 $1.00 16d 1 1.35mi
25291 Richards Ave Euclid, OH 4.0 1.0 1164 $1,850 $1.59 1d 1 1.37mi
1905 Braeburn Park Dr Euclid, OH 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,500 $1.19 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-17
    price $135,000
  4. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-22
    listed $150,000 Active
  6. 2018-05-11
    soldstatus $42,000 Sold 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.

  7. 2018-03-19
    status Pending 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.

  8. 2018-03-05
    listed $44,000 Active 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.

  9. 1997-12-26
    soldstatus $94,000 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Great Family Home/4 Bedroom, 1 Full 2 Half Baths Oversized Heated Garage W/ Heat, Water & Drain New Vinyl Siding/No City Violations/Show & Sell/Appt Only Do Not Let Dog Out - Small Dog Is Ok

  10. 1997-12-22
    historical 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Great Family Home/4 Bedroom, 1 Full 2 Half Baths Oversized Heated Garage W/ Heat, Water & Drain New Vinyl Siding/No City Violations/Show & Sell/Appt Only Do Not Let Dog Out - Small Dog Is Ok

  11. 1997-12-18
    soldstatus $94,000
  12. 1997-06-22
    listed $98,900 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Great Family Home/4 Bedroom, 1 Full 2 Half Baths Oversized Heated Garage W/ Heat, Water & Drain New Vinyl Siding/No City Violations/Show & Sell/Appt Only Do Not Let Dog Out - Small Dog Is Ok

  13. 1972-06-01
    soldstatus $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,675 · $223/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,675 · $223/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,646
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,675
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,492
− Management
−$1,492
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$198
After-tax cash flow
$2,688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Euclid City
NCES district ID
3904395
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$36,385
Composite
17.39/100
National rank
#9067
State rank
#625 of 656 in OH

Livability — Euclid

Score
77/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#3149

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Euclid, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
41,855
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,050
Household income
$55,676
Rent vs Own
54.6% rent · 45.4% own
Severe rent burden
1085.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.82%
Current HPI
188.4932
Rent YoY
▲ 5.28%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+351.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $135,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-11 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $150,000 MLSNOW
  • 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MLSNOW
  • 2018-03-19 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2018-03-05 Listed $44,000 MLSNOW
  • 1997-12-26 Sold (MLS) $94,000 MLSNOW
  • 1997-12-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 1997-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
  • 1997-06-22 Listed $98,900 MLSNOW
  • 1972-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,675 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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