22931 Arms Ave · Euclid, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1956
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.8% in Euclid — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#204 in OH, #3,149 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment D-.
- Euclid City (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #625 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $135k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.63%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22931 Arms Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,590 (0%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $80 | 97 |
| 871 E 232nd St | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 1,546 (-3%) | 0mo | $149,000 | $96 | 82 |
| 23050 Tracy Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,662 (+4%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $111 | 77 |
| 791 E 232 St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,555 (-2%) | 9mo | $187,000 | $120 | 70 |
| 841 E 216th St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,566 (-2%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $118 | 70 |
| 843 E 232nd St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,412 (-11%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 944 E 220th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,456 (-8%) | 4mo | $124,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 21851 Fuller Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 1,524 (-4%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 21131 Morris Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 | 1,440 (-9%) | 0mo | $134,500 | $93 | 54 |
| 21601 Fuller Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,522 (-4%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $62 | 49 |
| 917 E 214th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,458 (-8%) | 10mo | $88,000 | $60 | 45 |
| 21031 Westport Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,362 (-14%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $117 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,860
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $33,133
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44123
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,554 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22370 Tracy Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1202 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 21980 Ivan Ave Euclid, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 824 E 236th St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,720 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 21301 Arbor Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 21271 Nicholas Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,689 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 21252 Goller Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,275 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 797 Babbitt Rd #22 Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $1,600 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 21250 Goller Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,275 | $1.10 | 12d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 21751 Priday Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,545 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 26200 S Lake Shr Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1305 | $1,225 | $0.94 | 7d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 645 Babbitt Rd Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 871 E 212th St Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,399 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 884 E 248th St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,699 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 21000 Priday Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 20664 Miller Ave Unit Down Unit Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 21251 S Lake Shore Blvd Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,595 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 21000 Crystal Ave Euclid, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $2,150 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 20500 Morris Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,399 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 21860 Roberts Ave Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1253 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 7d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 655 E 240th St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $1,550 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 20547 Fuller Ave Euclid, OH | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1550 E 256th St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,700 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20500 Priday Ave Euclid, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1698 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 23901 Puritan Rd Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1326 | $1,595 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 24200 Puritan Rd Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 299 E 197th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,400 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 23214 Gay St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1634 | $1,864 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 19450 Monterey Ave Cleveland, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,690 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 22680 Coulter Ave Unit 1 Euclid, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 374 E 232nd St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,995 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 19330 Monterey Ave Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 19330 Monterey Ave Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1578 | $1,450 | $0.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 23307 Williams Ave Euclid, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1485 E 221st St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $1,500 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1485 E 221st St Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $1,500 | $0.96 | 10d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 18800 Pasnow Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1348 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 25291 Richards Ave Euclid, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1905 Braeburn Park Dr Euclid, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-17status Active
-
2026-04-17price $135,000
-
2026-03-11status Pending
-
2026-01-22$150,000 Active
-
2018-05-11soldstatus $42,000 Sold 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.
-
2018-03-19status Pending 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.
-
2018-03-05$44,000 Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Cape Cod style home with a fully finished basement available in Euclid. Home has many features to enjoy: 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 2 half baths, approximately 1,588 SF of living space, hardwood floors, open kitchen and approximately 6098 SF Lot. Make an offer today to secure this opportunity.
-
1997-12-26soldstatus $94,000 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great Family Home/4 Bedroom, 1 Full 2 Half Baths Oversized Heated Garage W/ Heat, Water & Drain New Vinyl Siding/No City Violations/Show & Sell/Appt Only Do Not Let Dog Out - Small Dog Is Ok
-
1997-12-22historical 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great Family Home/4 Bedroom, 1 Full 2 Half Baths Oversized Heated Garage W/ Heat, Water & Drain New Vinyl Siding/No City Violations/Show & Sell/Appt Only Do Not Let Dog Out - Small Dog Is Ok
-
1997-12-18soldstatus $94,000
-
1997-06-22$98,900 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great Family Home/4 Bedroom, 1 Full 2 Half Baths Oversized Heated Garage W/ Heat, Water & Drain New Vinyl Siding/No City Violations/Show & Sell/Appt Only Do Not Let Dog Out - Small Dog Is Ok
-
1972-06-01soldstatus $29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,675 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,675 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,675
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,492
- − Management
- −$1,492
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$198
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Euclid City
- NCES district ID
- 3904395
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,385
- Composite
- 17.39/100
- National rank
- #9067
- State rank
- #625 of 656 in OH
Livability — Euclid
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #3149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Euclid, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 41,855
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,050
- Household income
- $55,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1085.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.82%
- Current HPI
- 188.4932
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.28%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+351.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $135,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-11 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-01-22 Listed $150,000 MLSNOW
- 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MLSNOW
- 2018-03-19 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2018-03-05 Listed $44,000 MLSNOW
- 1997-12-26 Sold (MLS) $94,000 MLSNOW
- 1997-12-22 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1997-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-22 Listed $98,900 MLSNOW
- 1972-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,675 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…