236 Par Cv · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$146,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Byram Schools!!! Cute updated home on a quiet cul-de-sac. This is a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home with a formal living area including a fireplace, formal dining area, and a breakfast area off of kitchen. The home has been freshly painted throughout the interior with a light gray color. The home also has beautiful stained concrete floors that were just re-stained and shined. Stainless appliances and lots of storage in the kitchen! The master bedroom is spacious and has a double sink in the master bath as well as a large walk-in closet! Call your realtor today to take a look before its gone!
Key facts
- Formal living area
- Double sink
- Nice size backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $146k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Hinds County School District (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #70 of 130 in MS (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gary Road Elementary (672 students, 100% FRL); Byram Middle School (math 29% / reading 29%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 772 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.45%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $176,616
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 Torrence Cv | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-1%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $143 | 74 |
| 4007 Torrey Pines Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+3%) | 16mo | $192,000 | $140 | 73 |
| 5068 Raintree Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 16mo | $169,000 | $130 | 73 |
| 624 Cedar Springs Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (-1%) | 3mo | $148,900 | $112 | 72 |
| 5017 Raintree Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (+9%) | 17mo | $185,000 | $127 | 66 |
| 548 Vineland Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (+8%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $125 | 59 |
| 235 Gaddy Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (+4%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $137 | 59 |
| 100 Torrence Cv | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (+4%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 344 Red Oak Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,429 (+7%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 637 Cedar Springs Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (+9%) | 14mo | $205,000 | $141 | 52 |
| 430 Trent Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+8%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $97 | 48 |
| 4957 Forest Hill Rd | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,141 (-15%) | 11mo | $89,500 | $78 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,343
- Equity at exit
- $21,769
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $18,883
- Equity at exit
- $12,623
Cash invested: $40,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39272
- Home prices YoY
- -9.8%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,557 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$766
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,393/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $370 | -5% $329 | +0% $288 | +5% $247 | +10% $205 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $165 | -5% $226 | +0% $288 | +5% $349 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $361 | -0.5pp $325 | base $288 | +0.5pp $250 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,500
- Closing costs
- $4,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Gary Daniels Dr Byram, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 257 Gaddy Dr Byram, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 350 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,215 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 100 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 100 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,380 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 100 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1000 Spring Lake Blvd Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,485 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1000 Spring Lake Blvd Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,470 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1000 Spring Lake Blvd Byram, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,615 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-17status $146,000 Pending 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $146,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $146,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $146,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 637-char remark
-
2026-06-14status $146,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-04-04status Pending
-
2026-03-28status Active
-
2026-03-28price $146,000
-
2026-03-15status Pending
-
2026-03-10status Active
-
2026-02-26status Pending
-
2026-02-18price $152,000
-
2025-12-18price $157,000
-
2025-11-22$167,500 Active
-
2019-04-29soldstatus 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Byram Schools!!! Cute updated home on a quiet cul-de-sac. This is a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home with a formal living area including a fireplace, formal dining area, and a breakfast area off of kitchen. The home has been freshly painted throughout the interior with a light gray color. The home also has beautiful stained concrete floors that were just re-stained and shined. Stainless appliances and lots of storage in the kitchen! The master bedroom is spacious and has a double sink in the master bath as well as a large walk-in closet! Call your realtor today to take a look before its gone!
-
2019-04-29soldstatus
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Byram Schools!!! Cute updated home on a quiet cul-de-sac. This is a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home with a formal living area including a fireplace, formal dining area, and a breakfast area off of kitchen. The home has been freshly painted throughout the interior with a light gray color. The home also has beautiful stained concrete floors that were just re-stained and shined. Stainless appliances and lots of storage in the kitchen! The master bedroom is spacious and has a double sink in the master bath as well as a large walk-in closet! Call your realtor today to take a look before its gone!
-
2019-02-20$124,900 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Byram Schools!!! Cute updated home on a quiet cul-de-sac. This is a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home with a formal living area including a fireplace, formal dining area, and a breakfast area off of kitchen. The home has been freshly painted throughout the interior with a light gray color. The home also has beautiful stained concrete floors that were just re-stained and shined. Stainless appliances and lots of storage in the kitchen! The master bedroom is spacious and has a double sink in the master bath as well as a large walk-in closet! Call your realtor today to take a look before its gone!
-
2018-10-19soldstatus
-
2003-07-15soldstatus 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Byram Schools - Cul-de-sac location with 3br/2ba and separate dining area. Ceramic tile in kitchen including backsplash. Large master bedroom with walk-in closet. Fenced back yard.
-
2003-04-10$83,900 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Byram Schools - Cul-de-sac location with 3br/2ba and separate dining area. Ceramic tile in kitchen including backsplash. Large master bedroom with walk-in closet. Fenced back yard.
-
1991-02-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,393 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,393 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,689
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,178
- − Property taxes
- −$1,393
- − Insurance
- −$730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,495
- − Management
- −$1,495
- − Depreciation
- −$4,247
- Taxable income
- $1,151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$276
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hinds County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801860
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,335
- Composite
- 24.02/100
- National rank
- #7771
- State rank
- #70 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- City population
- 140,204
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,161
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 22% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.11%
- Current HPI
- 184.3215
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+74.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-28 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $146,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-26 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $152,000 MLSU
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $157,000 MLSU
- 2025-11-22 Listed $167,500 MLSU
- 2019-04-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-04-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2019-02-20 Listed $124,900 MLSU
- 2018-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-07-15 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2003-04-10 Listed $83,900 MLSU
- 1991-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,393 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…