7136 Tannery Rd #19 · Two Rivers, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom with full bath off of the master bedroom. Laundry facility off the kitchen. 2 decks. One car garage and a storage shed which could possibly be another garage.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Partially fenced
- 0.44 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Estimated living area between 1251 and 1500 square feet
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; One additional parking space
- Utilities: Shared well water; Private septic system; Natural gas
- Home design: Single-family home; One-story layout; Approximately 1/2 to 1 acre lot; Zoned R3
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Built/Information source: Owner
- Exterior features: Deck; Garden shed/outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main-level primary bedroom (11 x 12); Main-level bedroom 2 (11 x 9); Main-level bedroom 3 (12 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Seller-leased water softener
- Laundry & utility: Washer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.9% in Two Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Two Rivers Public School District (town): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 342 in WI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Two Rivers High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 474 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Manitowoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manitowoc County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $110k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.51%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $14,042
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $53,181
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54241
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,504 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 553-char remark
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2026-06-17$109,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,410 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$623/yr (+$52/mo · 79.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,444
- − Management
- −$1,444
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $4,470
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,073
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,932/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Two Rivers Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5515120
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,006
- Composite
- 20.63/100
- National rank
- #8545
- State rank
- #318 of 342 in WI
Livability — Two Rivers
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #7250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manitowoc County · 55,069 people
- City population
- 14,120
- Metro
- Manitowoc, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,120
- Household income
- $61,014
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 199.0
Population outlook (Manitowoc County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,561 people
- By 2030
- 74,096 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 67,752 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 60,731 · -20.7%
- By 2075
- 48,723 · -36.4%
- By 2100
- 39,250 · -48.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Manitowoc
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.4) · D 37.6% · R 61.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.9pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.4 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+2.8 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.14%
- Current HPI
- 261.6254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Manitowoc, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+475.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $109,900 METROMLS
- 2020-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $47,800 Public Records
- 2013-01-12 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-01-12 Listed $44,921 METROMLS
- 2009-05-15 Sold (MLS) $32,300 METROMLS
- 2001-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $19,100 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $788 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…