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7136 Tannery Rd #19
B- Composite 66.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

7136 Tannery Rd #19 · Two Rivers, WI 54241
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Condo · 2 Days on market
Built 1995

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 bedroom with full bath off of the master bedroom. Laundry facility off the kitchen. 2 decks. One car garage and a storage shed which could possibly be another garage.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Partially fenced
  • 0.44 acre lot

Tags

MOVE-IN READYNEIGHBORHOOD PLAYGROUNDLOW-MAINTENANCE OWNERSHIPPARTIALLY FENCED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Estimated living area between 1251 and 1500 square feet

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; One additional parking space
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Private septic system; Natural gas
  • Home design: Single-family home; One-story layout; Approximately 1/2 to 1 acre lot; Zoned R3
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Built/Information source: Owner
  • Exterior features: Deck; Garden shed/outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main-level primary bedroom (11 x 12); Main-level bedroom 2 (11 x 9); Main-level bedroom 3 (12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom with tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Seller-leased water softener
  • Laundry & utility: Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.9% in Two Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Two Rivers Public School District (town): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 342 in WI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Two Rivers High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 474 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Manitowoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manitowoc County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $110k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.76%
Cash-on-cash
19.51%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$14,042
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$53,181
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54241

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,504 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $788/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$500

Break-even live

Break-even rent $871
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 553-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $109,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$788 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,410 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$623/yr (+$52/mo · 79.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,048
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$788
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,444
− Management
−$1,444
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$4,470
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,073
After-tax cash flow
$4,932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Two Rivers Public School District
NCES district ID
5515120
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,006
Composite
20.63/100
National rank
#8545
State rank
#318 of 342 in WI

Livability — Two Rivers

Score
71/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#7250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Manitowoc County · 55,069 people
City population
14,120
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
Population (ZIP)
14,120
Household income
$61,014
Rent vs Own
22.3% rent · 77.7% own
Severe rent burden
199.0

Population outlook (Manitowoc County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,561 people
By 2030
74,096 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,752 · -11.5%
By 2050
60,731 · -20.7%
By 2075
48,723 · -36.4%
By 2100
39,250 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Manitowoc

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.4) · D 37.6% · R 61.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-30.9pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -23.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.4 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+2.8 2008: D+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.14%
Current HPI
261.6254
Rent YoY
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+475.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $109,900 METROMLS
  • 2020-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $47,800 Public Records
  • 2013-01-12 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2013-01-12 Listed $44,921 METROMLS
  • 2009-05-15 Sold (MLS) $32,300 METROMLS
  • 2001-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $19,100 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $788 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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