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2509 Barrett Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 43.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

2509 Barrett Rd · Rochester, IN 46975
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 2016 1,742 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Absolutely adorable lakefront home, custom built new in 2016! Such nice quality, with open kitchen/great room, vaulted ceilings and gas fireplace on main level. Entry has both coat closet and pantry and cute half bath. Lower level has all mechanicals, laundry, full bath with tub/shower and the rest of the walkout space as large master bedroom suite, or creative sleeping space! Maintenance free wood-laminate flooring and bright white painted doors/trim throughout entire home. Fantastic north shore, main lake views of Lake Manitou. You won't find a better price point on the lake! Less is so much more!

Key facts

  • Furnished lake home
  • Brand new lift
  • Fully updated

Tags

FULLY UPDATEDFURNISHED LAKE HOMEUPPER-LEVEL COMPOSITE DECKPANORAMIC LAKE VIEWSBRAND NEW LIFT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking surface
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Public power
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; Storm door(s); No fencing; Shingle roof; Waterfront lot on Lake Manitou

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan cooling; Natural gas forced-air heating; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Laminate countertops; Blinds on windows; Finished basement with walk-out access and sump pump; Gas-log ventless fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $1).
  • Cap rate 823042.1% vs local median 2.4% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#206 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rochester Community School Corporation (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rochester Community Middle School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #164 of 330 statewide, top 50%, 317 students, 58% FRL); Rochester Community High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 610 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
86819.00%
Cap rate
823042.12%
Cash-on-cash
2939413.67%
DSCR
130788.37
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
156057.89×
Total profit
$43,696
Equity at exit
$0
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
336971.33×
Total profit
$94,352
Equity at exit
$0

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46975

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
97

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$868 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$686

Break-even live

Break-even rent
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 16%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2203 Indiana 14 Rochester, IN 2.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 43d 1 0.25mi
2203 E State Road 14 Unit 3 Rochester, IN 2.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 43d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 687-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,418
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$0
− Repairs & maintenance
−$833
− Management
−$833
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$8,751
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,100
After-tax cash flow
$6,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1809630
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,645
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6231
State rank
#188 of 301 in IN

Livability — Rochester

Score
69/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#9060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, IN
County
Fulton County · 13,824 people
City population
13,824
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
13,824
Household income
$61,185
Rent vs Own
21.3% rent · 78.7% own
Severe rent burden
238.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,537 people
By 2030
19,013 · -2.7%
By 2040
17,959 · -8.1%
By 2050
17,038 · -12.8%
By 2075
15,117 · -22.6%
By 2100
13,179 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.72%
Current HPI
212.9033
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $1 IRMLS
  • 2020-04-03 Sold (MLS) $205,000 IRMLS
  • 2020-02-04 Listed $225,000 IRMLS
  • 2015-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,468 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…