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2708 Hardy Springs Rd
D+ Composite 48.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

2708 Hardy Springs Rd · McAlester, OK 74501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1958 1.59 ac lot Est $211k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home on 1.59 Acres in Frink, SD – In-Town Convenience with Country Feel! New Roof March 2026!! Fresh Paint Inside!! Don’t miss this great opportunity to own a 3-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on 1.59 acres right in town—just minutes from shopping and local amenities. Enjoy the comfort of central air and heat, plus the cozy charm of a wood-burning fireplace for those chilly winters. HVAC system only 2 years old. .New storm windows on the south side for added energy efficiency. The property also features a working well, giving you flexibility and potential cost savings. Appliances stay! The stove, washer, and dryer are all included with the home. The curtains & shades r

Key facts

  • 1.59 acres
  • Working well
  • New storm windows

Tags

1.59 ACRESNEW ROOFCENTRAL AIRWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEWORKING WELLNEW STORM WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Carport
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Built with vinyl and wood siding over wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Storage structure; Partial fencing; Mature trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vinyl window frames; Laminate countertops; Electric range connection; No additional interior safety shelter noted
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($373/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#34 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, schools D, crime D.
  • Frink-Chambers (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #21 of 270 in OK (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Pittsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pittsburg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,631 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.89%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,120
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
812 Cedar Rdg 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,506 (+3%) 20mo $219,000 $145 58
810 Cedar Ridge Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,580 (+8%) 10mo $205,000 $130 57
700 Cedar Ridge Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,544 (+6%) 22mo $232,000 $150 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-22,402
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-17,269
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74501

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,156 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $399/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,117
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $116 -5% $74 +0% $31 +5% $-11 +10% $-54
Rent -10% $-60 -5% $-15 +0% $31 +5% $77 +10% $122
Rate -1.0pp $107 -0.5pp $69 base $31 +0.5pp $-8 +1.0pp $-47

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-27
    listed $165,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-15
    historical
  18. 2025-07-15
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$399 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,350 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$951/yr (+$79/mo · 238.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,876
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$399
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,110
− Management
−$1,110
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,259
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$542
After-tax cash flow
$916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frink-Chambers
NCES district ID
4012240
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$69,406
Composite
33.43/100
National rank
#5466
State rank
#21 of 270 in OK

Livability — McAlester

Score
71/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#7274

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McAlester, OK
Population (ZIP)
28,687

Population outlook (Pittsburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,795 people
By 2030
41,901 · -2.1%
By 2040
40,680 · -4.9%
By 2050
39,952 · -6.6%
By 2075
38,858 · -9.2%
By 2100
36,031 · -15.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Two or more races 17% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pittsburg

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.0) · D 19.8% · R 78.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-22.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.6pp · 2024: -59.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.0 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+38.3 2008: R+36.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.14%
Current HPI
212.9867
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $165,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-15 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $165,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $399 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…