16707 Prevost St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Strong revenue generating turnkey rental in Detroit. This maintained property has a proven rental history, consistent income making it a solid, hassle-free investment opportunity. Perfect for Investors looking to add a reliable, income producing asset to their portfolio.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1946
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.74%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,878
- List price
- $99,995
- Delta
- 7.66%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16727 Mansfield St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,207 (+2%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $137 | 87 |
| 16818 Gilchrist St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (+0%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $70 | 77 |
| 16709 Lindsay St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (+3%) | 2mo | $124,888 | $103 | 70 |
| 15800 Biltmore St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,188 (+0%) | 3mo | $112,000 | $94 | 67 |
| 15725 Asbury Park | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (+2%) | 2mo | $80,200 | $67 | 65 |
| 15771 Rutherford St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,289 (+9%) | 1mo | $55,106 | $43 | 64 |
| 15508 Saint Marys St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-7%) | 0mo | $59,900 | $54 | 62 |
| 17540 Asbury Park St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-7%) | 4mo | $57,500 | $52 | 57 |
| 15316 Prevost St NE | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,193 (+1%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 15727 Mansfield St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+10%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $42 | 56 |
| 15868 Whitcomb St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,332 (+12%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $71 | 55 |
| 16174 Lauder St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,084 (-9%) | 3mo | $102,900 | $95 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $270
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $22,896
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $27,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,451 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$330 /mo · $3,959/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,999
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16535 Asbury Park Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,425 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 1d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 17201 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,386 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 15736 Biltmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 16151 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 16876 Harlow Ave Unit (NO) Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15810 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15100 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $980 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 16d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,175 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14893 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 18481 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 19d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 18675 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 14580 Forrer St Unit Unit Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $900 | $0.69 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14615 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 18257 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,507 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,995 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,995 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,995 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,995 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,995 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,995 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,995 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,995 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,995 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,995 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,995 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,995 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,995 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-04-04price $99,995 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Strong revenue generating turnkey rental in Detroit. This maintained property has a proven rental history, consistent income making it a solid, hassle-free investment opportunity. Perfect for Investors looking to add a reliable, income producing asset to their portfolio.
-
2026-04-03price $99,995 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Strong revenue generating turnkey rental in Detroit. This maintained property has a proven rental history, consistent income making it a solid, hassle-free investment opportunity. Perfect for Investors looking to add a reliable, income producing asset to their portfolio.
-
2026-03-26$110,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Strong revenue generating turnkey rental in Detroit. This maintained property has a proven rental history, consistent income making it a solid, hassle-free investment opportunity. Perfect for Investors looking to add a reliable, income producing asset to their portfolio.
-
2026-03-26$110,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Strong revenue generating turnkey rental in Detroit. This maintained property has a proven rental history, consistent income making it a solid, hassle-free investment opportunity. Perfect for Investors looking to add a reliable, income producing asset to their portfolio.
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2024-01-10soldstatus $70,000
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2023-12-15soldstatus $70,000 Sold
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2023-12-15soldstatus $70,000 Closed
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2023-11-28status Pending
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2023-11-28status Pending
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2023-11-15historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2023-11-15historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2023-10-13$75,000 Active
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2023-10-13$75,000 Active
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2019-05-02soldstatus $70,000
-
2018-08-23soldstatus $49,500
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $49,500 Sold
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $49,500 Closed
-
2018-07-03status Pending
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2018-07-02status Pending
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2018-04-26$58,000 Active
-
2018-04-26$58,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,959 · $330/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,959 · $330/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,416
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$3,959
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,393
- − Management
- −$1,393
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,660
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$398
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,609/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+72.4% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $99,995 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $99,995 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-26 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-26 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-15 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-15 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-13 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-13 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $49,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $49,500 REALCOMP
- 2018-07-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-04-26 Listed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-26 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,959 · -54.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…