🏗️ New Construction
Skyline 49 Worthington Arms Plan · Delaware, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Worthington Arms manufactured home community is located in Lewis Center, Ohio, owned and operated by UMH Properties, Inc. Our turnkey ready homes at Worthington Arms are built to fit your carefree lifestyle. The floor plans include 2 to 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom homes with open concept designs. Our homes include large living areas, eat-in kitchens, and primary suites. Worthington Arms is perfectly suited for community social gatherings with exclusive amenities like a playground, a pool, a laundry facility, and a fish pond for our residents to use. Call Worthington Arms today to schedule a tour of your new home! Located just 20 miles from Columbus, Worthington Arms community is in a prime location conveniently located near fitness centers, food stores, shopping, restaurants and schools, all while offering a tranquil neighborhood feel. An outdoor enthusiast's dream, the Lewis Center area is home to lakes, parks and trails. Nestled near the beautiful Alum Creek State Park, Worthington Arms residents can enjoy camping, hiking, and picnics. Enjoy the best of both worlds-urban and rural-in a new home uniquely built for you. The Worthington Arms community is located in the Olentangy Central School District.
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchens
- Exclusive amenities
- Turnkey ready homes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $116k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 2.5% in Delaware — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#116 in OH, #1,717 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($155k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $799 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.94%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $43,889
- Equity at exit
- $17,221
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $111,991
- Equity at exit
- $9,986
Cash invested: $32,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43035
- Home prices YoY
- -12.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$606
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,732/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $1,022
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,875
- Closing costs
- $3,465
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5654 Orange Summit Dr Lewis Center, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1220 | $2,650 | $2.17 | 3d | 11 | 0.45mi |
| 505 Wintergreen Way Lewis Center, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $2,250 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5983 Bluestone Way Lewis Center, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $2,150 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5901 Blackbird Way Lewis Center, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $2,199 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,500 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,500 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,500 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,500 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,500 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,500 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,500 Active 152 DOM
-
2025-12-30$115,500 Active 1217-char remark
Show marketing remark (1217 chars)
Worthington Arms manufactured home community is located in Lewis Center, Ohio, owned and operated by UMH Properties, Inc. Our turnkey ready homes at Worthington Arms are built to fit your carefree lifestyle. The floor plans include 2 to 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom homes with open concept designs. Our homes include large living areas, eat-in kitchens, and primary suites. Worthington Arms is perfectly suited for community social gatherings with exclusive amenities like a playground, a pool, a laundry facility, and a fish pond for our residents to use. Call Worthington Arms today to schedule a tour of your new home! Located just 20 miles from Columbus, Worthington Arms community is in a prime location conveniently located near fitness centers, food stores, shopping, restaurants and schools, all while offering a tranquil neighborhood feel. An outdoor enthusiast's dream, the Lewis Center area is home to lakes, parks and trails. Nestled near the beautiful Alum Creek State Park, Worthington Arms residents can enjoy camping, hiking, and picnics. Enjoy the best of both worlds-urban and rural-in a new home uniquely built for you. The Worthington Arms community is located in the Olentangy Central School District.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,470
- − Property taxes
- −$1,732
- − Insurance
- −$578
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,212
- − Management
- −$2,212
- − Depreciation
- −$3,360
- Taxable income
- $11,090
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,662
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,607/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms. It is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting fixtures can improve the home's ambiance and energy efficiency.
- Both Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value.
- Both Appliances — Updating appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting fixtures can improve the home's ambiance and energy efficiency. ↑
- Both Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value. ↑
- Both Appliances — Updating appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olentangy Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904676
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,074
- Composite
- 75.56/100
- National rank
- #132
- State rank
- #18 of 656 in OH
Livability — Delaware
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #1717
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Delaware County · 203,207 people
- City population
- 61,401
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,012
- Household income
- $154,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 599.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,854 people
- By 2030
- 249,294 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 284,223 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 315,314 · +36.6%
- By 2075
- 379,462 · +64.4%
- By 2100
- 403,158 · +74.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Asian 18% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.23%
- Current HPI
- 214.3911
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.89%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-12-30 Listed $115,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…