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Skyline 49 Worthington Arms Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B+ Composite 76.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,500

Skyline 49 Worthington Arms Plan · Delaware, OH 43035
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 170 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Worthington Arms manufactured home community is located in Lewis Center, Ohio, owned and operated by UMH Properties, Inc. Our turnkey ready homes at Worthington Arms are built to fit your carefree lifestyle. The floor plans include 2 to 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom homes with open concept designs. Our homes include large living areas, eat-in kitchens, and primary suites. Worthington Arms is perfectly suited for community social gatherings with exclusive amenities like a playground, a pool, a laundry facility, and a fish pond for our residents to use. Call Worthington Arms today to schedule a tour of your new home! Located just 20 miles from Columbus, Worthington Arms community is in a prime location conveniently located near fitness centers, food stores, shopping, restaurants and schools, all while offering a tranquil neighborhood feel. An outdoor enthusiast's dream, the Lewis Center area is home to lakes, parks and trails. Nestled near the beautiful Alum Creek State Park, Worthington Arms residents can enjoy camping, hiking, and picnics. Enjoy the best of both worlds-urban and rural-in a new home uniquely built for you. The Worthington Arms community is located in the Olentangy Central School District.

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchens
  • Exclusive amenities
  • Turnkey ready homes

Tags

TURNKEY READY HOMESOPEN CONCEPT DESIGNSLARGE LIVING AREASEAT-IN KITCHENSPRIMARY SUITESEXCLUSIVE AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $116k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 2.5% in Delaware — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#116 in OH, #1,717 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($155k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $799 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $101,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
16.92%
Cash-on-cash
37.94%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$43,889
Equity at exit
$17,221
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$111,991
Equity at exit
$9,986

Cash invested: $32,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43035

Home prices YoY
-12.0%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$606
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,732/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$1,022

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,010
Max offer price $115,500
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,875
Closing costs
$3,465
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5654 Orange Summit Dr Lewis Center, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1220 $2,650 $2.17 3d 11 0.45mi
505 Wintergreen Way Lewis Center, OH 2.0 2.0 1415 $2,250 $1.59 23d 1 0.72mi
5983 Bluestone Way Lewis Center, OH 3.0 2.0 1415 $2,150 $1.52 43d 1 0.80mi
5901 Blackbird Way Lewis Center, OH 2.0 2.0 1442 $2,199 $1.52 43d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,500 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,500 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,500 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,500 Active 167 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,500 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,500 Active 164 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,500 Active 161 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,500 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,500 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,500 Active 156 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,500 Active 155 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,500 Active 154 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,500 Active 153 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,500 Active 152 DOM
  15. 2025-12-30
    listed $115,500 Active 1217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1217 chars)

    Worthington Arms manufactured home community is located in Lewis Center, Ohio, owned and operated by UMH Properties, Inc. Our turnkey ready homes at Worthington Arms are built to fit your carefree lifestyle. The floor plans include 2 to 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom homes with open concept designs. Our homes include large living areas, eat-in kitchens, and primary suites. Worthington Arms is perfectly suited for community social gatherings with exclusive amenities like a playground, a pool, a laundry facility, and a fish pond for our residents to use. Call Worthington Arms today to schedule a tour of your new home! Located just 20 miles from Columbus, Worthington Arms community is in a prime location conveniently located near fitness centers, food stores, shopping, restaurants and schools, all while offering a tranquil neighborhood feel. An outdoor enthusiast's dream, the Lewis Center area is home to lakes, parks and trails. Nestled near the beautiful Alum Creek State Park, Worthington Arms residents can enjoy camping, hiking, and picnics. Enjoy the best of both worlds-urban and rural-in a new home uniquely built for you. The Worthington Arms community is located in the Olentangy Central School District.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,654
− Mortgage interest
−$6,470
− Property taxes
−$1,732
− Insurance
−$578
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,212
− Management
−$2,212
− Depreciation
−$3,360
Taxable income
$11,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,662
After-tax cash flow
$9,607/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms. It is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting fixtures can improve the home's ambiance and energy efficiency.
  • Both Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value.
  • Both Appliances — Updating appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting fixtures can improve the home's ambiance and energy efficiency.
  • Both Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value.
  • Both Appliances — Updating appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Olentangy Local
NCES district ID
3904676
Math proficiency
81% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
84% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$111,074
Composite
75.56/100
National rank
#132
State rank
#18 of 656 in OH

Livability — Delaware

Score
80/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#1717

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Delaware County · 203,207 people
City population
61,401
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
36,012
Household income
$154,683
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
599.0

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,854 people
By 2030
249,294 · +8.0%
By 2040
284,223 · +23.1%
By 2050
315,314 · +36.6%
By 2075
379,462 · +64.4%
By 2100
403,158 · +74.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Asian 18% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
2008→2024 swing
+13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.23%
Current HPI
214.3911
Rent YoY
▲ 1.89%
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $115,500 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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