4080 Morning Light Dr SE · Bolivia, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in Bolivia, Bella Point keeps you close to everything you love while offering a peaceful, coastal lifestyle. Residents enjoy access to thoughtfully designed amenities, including a swimming pool, fitness center, and fire pit. This 1,618-square-foot home features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath open floor plan with spacious bedrooms and an attached two-car garage. Enjoy relaxing on the front porch and the added comfort of 9-foot ceilings throughout. The kitchen includes granite countertops and stainless steel appliances--range, microwave, and dishwasher--while the bathrooms feature cultured marble countertops. The home features LVP flooring throughout.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Swimming pool
- Fire pit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $291k (7.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.6% in Bolivia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#549 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Virginia Williamson Elem (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 502 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); South Brunswick High (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 1,172 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 690 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.87%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $315,734
- List price
- $314,999
- Delta
- -0.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4124 Morning Light Dr SE #310 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+0%) | 2mo | $322,990 | $200 | 91 |
| 4218 Pitcher Plant Ct SE Lot 297 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+0%) | 4mo | $314,000 | $194 | 86 |
| 4329 Bright Blossom Way SE Lot 267 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-9%) | 3mo | $302,390 | $205 | 78 |
| 4322 Bright Blossom Way SE #260 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-9%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $197 | 77 |
| 4317 Bright Blossom Way SE #264 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-9%) | 4mo | $288,590 | $196 | 76 |
| 4197 Morning Light Dr SE #286 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-9%) | 1mo | $295,290 | $200 | 75 |
| 4189 Morning Light Dr SE #284 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-9%) | 4mo | $284,999 | $193 | 72 |
| 1804 Willowtree Ct SE | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,527 (-5%) | 1mo | $246,000 | $161 | 71 |
| 4132 Morning Light Dr SE Lot 308 | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (+10%) | 2mo | $336,990 | $190 | 70 |
| 4185 Morning Light Dr SE Lot 283 | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (+10%) | 1mo | $329,999 | $186 | 68 |
| 2187 Bella Point Dr SE Lot 127 | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,526 (-6%) | 2mo | $248,000 | $163 | 67 |
| 4214 Pitcher Plant Ct SE Lot 298 | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (+10%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $192 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-59,918
- Equity at exit
- $46,967
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-63,930
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 11 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.2 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $309,994 ($191/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 104 d
- This list price
- 59% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 28422
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 690
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,268 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,062/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$58
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $-137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $41 | -5% $-48 | +0% $-137 | +5% $-227 | +10% $-316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-317 | -5% $-227 | +0% $-137 | +5% $-48 | +10% $42 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $21 | -0.5pp $-57 | base $-137 | +0.5pp $-219 | +1.0pp $-302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2140 Bella Point Dr SE Bolivia, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1774 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 72d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1004 Arborside Cir Bolivia, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1307 | $2,170 | $1.66 | 63d | 15 | 0.83mi |
| 2208 Lakefront Dr SE Bolivia, NC | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1595 | $1,825 | $1.14 | 63d | 61 | 0.99mi |
| 2617 Provence Dr SE Bolivia, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,920 | $1.08 | 72d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 756 Pantego Blvd SE Bolivia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 72d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2537 Provence Dr SE Bolivia, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 72d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2502 Kenton Ct SE Bolivia, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 72d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4024 Cypress Forest Way Bolivia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,700 | $1.35 | 72d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Subdivision: Bella PointPrivate road frontagePaved road surfaceZoning: Co-R-7500
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee (listed annually)Community poolSidewalksStreet lightsAssociation amenities include fitness center and management
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 total parking spacesAttached 2-car garageGarage faces frontGarage door openerConcrete and paved surfaces
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterSewer connectedWater connectedElectric service
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne storyEntry level: 1
- Construction
- Vinyl siding and frame constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt on one level
- Exterior features
- Covered patioPatioHas viewNo poolNo fencing
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric ovenElectric cooktopDishwasherMicrowaveGarbage disposalKitchen islandPantryElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- Master Downstairs
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathroomsAccessible full bath
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump heatingElectric heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Master bedroom on main levelWalk-in closet(s)High ceilingsEntrance foyerKitchen islandPantryInsulated windowsWindow coverings
- Laundry & utility
- Dedicated laundry room
HOA detail $58/mo · $696/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $314,999 Active 113 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $314,999 Active 112 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $314,999 Active 111 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $314,999 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $314,999 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $314,999 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $314,999 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $314,999 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $314,999 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $314,999 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $314,999 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $314,999 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $314,999 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $314,999 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $314,999 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $314,999 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $314,999 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $314,999 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $314,999 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $314,999 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $314,999 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $314,999 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $314,999 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $314,999 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $314,999 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $314,999 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $314,999 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $314,999 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $314,999 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $314,999 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $314,999 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $314,999 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $314,999 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $314,999 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $314,999 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $314,999 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $314,999 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $314,999 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $314,999 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $314,999 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $314,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $314,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $314,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $314,999 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $314,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $314,999 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $314,999 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $314,999 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $314,999 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $314,999 Active 48 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,062 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,583 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,521/yr (+$127/mo · 143.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$1,062
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,178
- − Management
- −$2,178
- − HOA
- −$696
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$7,275
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,746
- After-tax cash flow
- $96/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with fresh paint and modern finishes. It's move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace countertops in kitchen and bathrooms — Granite and cultured marble countertops are durable and add value ↑
- Both Upgrade appliances in kitchen — Stainless steel appliances are standard but could be replaced with more modern models ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Bolivia
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #20206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Brunswick County · 152,111 people
- City population
- 10,059
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,059
- Household income
- $69,412
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.19%
- Current HPI
- 141.1956
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $314,999 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…